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Robert (Bob) Kubinec

@rmkubinec

Political scientist University of South Carolina. Interests: business politics/corruption, Middle East, measurement, Bayesian statistics The Bayesian Hitman: https://a.co/d/e4QmtKo Website: www.robertkubinec.com

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Latest posts by Robert (Bob) Kubinec @rmkubinec

Record high support for abolishing ICE in latest YouGov/Economist data

06.03.2026 16:54 πŸ‘ 127 πŸ” 53 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 2

I was a Republican during the GW Bush years and I remember very well defending the Iraq War (I was on the college debate circuit). As I kept hearing arguments & seeing consequences, though, it became harder and harder to do defend.

GW Bush finished his 2nd term with a 22 percent approval rating.

06.03.2026 15:37 πŸ‘ 4 πŸ” 1 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0
Preview
The Most Chilling Detail in the U.S. Attack on an Iranian Naval Ship The Iranian warship was taking part in an international exercise with many other countriesβ€”including the United States.

This is a chilling crime. A shame on our country. The Iranian ship was unarmed. The US knew this. The sailors were murdered by our navy, and the survivors were left to die at sea.
newrepublic.com/post/207429/...

06.03.2026 12:29 πŸ‘ 6570 πŸ” 3242 πŸ’¬ 406 πŸ“Œ 512

Which is disappointing, but important to remember this kind of dissimulation is costly. The way that Tillis snapped at Noem shows the type of strain that this form of hypocrisy creates. It's hard, but we need to keep confronting people with their shifting stances and broken promises.

06.03.2026 15:27 πŸ‘ 2 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 1

Excellent anti-nudge arguments here

06.03.2026 14:48 πŸ‘ 16 πŸ” 2 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

I thought for Biden you might be thinking of anti-ISIS fighting

06.03.2026 14:53 πŸ‘ 1 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

For sure, I'm just being a pedantic academic online

06.03.2026 14:51 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

Mmm not sure I want to go with you there

06.03.2026 14:49 πŸ‘ 1 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0

Biden?

06.03.2026 14:37 πŸ‘ 1 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0
Post image Post image

Did Dobbs have a chilling effect on survey responses?

In POQ, Kam & Marcellin find that women were less willing to disclose their pregnancy status in the nation's premier health survey (BRFSS), on the heels of the Dobbs decision.

Read now: doi.org/10.1093/poq/...

05.03.2026 18:04 πŸ‘ 21 πŸ” 7 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 1

I think someone should point out that if China were to attack Taiwan, now would be the perfect time.

06.03.2026 14:18 πŸ‘ 1 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0

β€œAnd when you pray, you must not be like the hypocrites. For they love to stand and pray in the synagogues and at the street corners, that they may be seen by others...But when you pray, go into your room and shut the door and pray to your Father who is in secret." (Matthew 6:5-6)

06.03.2026 02:53 πŸ‘ 11 πŸ” 5 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0
Preview
Iranian Ship Was Leaving Indian Naval Exercise When Sunk, Raising Concerns in New Delhi The Iranian frigate sunk by a U.S. submarine last week had just left an Indian naval exercise. Now India's political opposition is demanding answers.

My lord! The frigate the US submarine torpedoed, the one the White House has been bragging about, was unarmed and headed home from an international naval exercise, hosted by India, that the US pulled out of at the last minute! www.military.com/daily-news/i...

06.03.2026 00:08 πŸ‘ 250 πŸ” 137 πŸ’¬ 12 πŸ“Œ 10
A screenshot of the Bluesky app demonstrating how you can now tap the "Translate" button to translate a post without leaving the app.

A screenshot of the Bluesky app demonstrating how you can now tap the "Translate" button to translate a post without leaving the app.

v1.118 rolls out today!

New in this update: You can now translate posts without leaving the app.

Simply tap "translate" on mobile and your phone's built-in translation takes it from there.

05.03.2026 19:03 πŸ‘ 5389 πŸ” 953 πŸ’¬ 221 πŸ“Œ 328
Preview
Data Visualization A Practical Introduction

@kjhealy.co has a new version of his data visualization book coming out and 1) you’d be a fool not to get it especially if you do R stuff 2) it’s gonna be even more beautiful than the first one, which is truly lovely book 3) he put the ENTIRE content on his website for free, you lucky so-and-so

06.03.2026 00:09 πŸ‘ 33 πŸ” 15 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0

Let's just come out and say it -- this is worst U.S. war crime since the Vietnam War.

06.03.2026 13:01 πŸ‘ 6 πŸ” 2 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

Efren, a piece of advice, if you see a lady like that with an ice cream truck, DO NOT EAT THE ICE CREAM!!

06.03.2026 12:59 πŸ‘ 2 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0
06.03.2026 12:58 πŸ‘ 3 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0
Preview
Capitol rioter pardoned by Trump given life sentence for molesting two children β€” Guardian US Andrew Paul Johnson, 45, of Florida among several January 6 defendants charged with new crimes

🀬 trump

06.03.2026 02:53 πŸ‘ 1888 πŸ” 794 πŸ’¬ 157 πŸ“Œ 74
Preview
Lingering under the radar Strongyloides stercoralis is an intestinal parasite rarely seen in the U.S. University of South Carolina researchers Dr. Melissa Nolan and Dr. Matthew Haldeman wondered if these worms might still be l...

UofSC researchers found an incidence rate of 5% in South Carolina for a rare parasite 😬. It was very prevalent in Spartanburg, the same place where we've seen the big measles outbreak...

apparently it spreads through groundwater contaminated with human fecal matter 🀒

www.sc.edu/uofsc/posts/...

06.03.2026 12:52 πŸ‘ 4 πŸ” 3 πŸ’¬ 2 πŸ“Œ 0

An artful exercise in circular reasoning.

06.03.2026 02:32 πŸ‘ 1 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0
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ICE detains reporter Estefany RodrΓ­guez in Nashville - Nashville Banner Reporter Estefany RodrΓ­guez, detained by ICE with no arrest warrant, may face deportation. Her attorneys seek immediate review of the legality of her case.

ICE has arrested and detained a Nashville journalist who reported stories critical of ICE. She’s married to a U.S. citizen and has been seeking asylum here after fleeing death threats in Colombia because of her journalism there.

They’ve already sent her to Louisiana.

05.03.2026 23:41 πŸ‘ 11718 πŸ” 7130 πŸ’¬ 281 πŸ“Œ 325

Offspring of western civilization? Ok, Grok πŸ™„

06.03.2026 01:04 πŸ‘ 2 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

Just mentioning that Trump's pardons would not apply at The Hague.

05.03.2026 22:27 πŸ‘ 7 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

This an enormous null effect. Social media ads did nothing in terms of voting.

05.03.2026 21:20 πŸ‘ 10 πŸ” 1 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0
Preview
The effects of Facebook and Instagram political advertisements on the 2020 US election Nature Human Behaviour, Published online: 05 March 2026; doi:10.1038/s41562-025-02329-9To study the effects of political advertising, we conducted a field experiment with over 60,000 participants. Removing political advertisements from the Facebook and Instagram feeds of randomly selected participants before the 2020 US election did not have a detectable effect on political knowledge, polarization, turnout or political participation.

The effects of Facebook and Instagram political advertisements on the 2020 US election

05.03.2026 12:16 πŸ‘ 15 πŸ” 11 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 7

Let's be real about what's going on.

The people running this country have enormous security details to keep them safe. They do not care if Iran starts targeting regular Americans.

In fact, if Iran kills some American civilians, it will serve them politically.

05.03.2026 19:32 πŸ‘ 3 πŸ” 1 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

offices of the APSR

05.03.2026 18:51 πŸ‘ 1 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0
Stock market returns ytd

Stock market returns ytd

I feel like Bondi shouldn't have tied her legitimacy so closely to the stock market 🫣

05.03.2026 17:51 πŸ‘ 5 πŸ” 2 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

I did that though it was for a weird interdisciplinary course. tl; dr was that it worked well for ppl without stats background and less well for people with stats background. Also aren't books out there that teach Bayes stats and assume no prior background in the topic.

05.03.2026 16:49 πŸ‘ 2 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 2 πŸ“Œ 0