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Vali Nasr

@valinasr

Professor Johns Hopkins-SAIS, Fr Sr Advisor, State Dept, author of Iran's Grand Strategy https://a.co/d/egLBCgz

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10.10.2023
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Latest posts by Vali Nasr @valinasr

Israel's campaign to destroy south Beirut and force its population to leave is the most clear and dangerous escalation of the ongoing war with Iran. Its implications will be grave and log term.

05.03.2026 15:08 πŸ‘ 16 πŸ” 5 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0
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Eskandar Sadeghi-Boroujerdi | The dry and the wet burn together The war launched against Iran by the United States and Israel is a war of choice and of hubris. There is scarcely even...

Best essay I have read on the war so far by @eskandarsadeghi.bsky.social www.lrb.co.uk/blog/2026/ma...

05.03.2026 06:10 πŸ‘ 12 πŸ” 7 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 1
Iran war: Redrawing the map of the Middle East, Israeli style? | The Bottom Line
Iran war: Redrawing the map of the Middle East, Israeli style? | The Bottom Line YouTube video by Al Jazeera English

My interview with Steve Clemons on Aljazeera The Bottom Line on US and Israel trying to reshape the Middle East through war on Iran youtu.be/uDtzEvDuj48?...

05.03.2026 01:30 πŸ‘ 4 πŸ” 4 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0
This Isn’t Going the Way Trump Thought. Vali Nasr on Iran’s War Strategy
This Isn’t Going the Way Trump Thought. Vali Nasr on Iran’s War Strategy YouTube video by BreakThrough News

Rania( @raniakhalek.bsky.social )Khalek Dispatches "Iran Prepared for a Long War. Vali( @valinasr.bsky.social )Nasr on Trump’s Miscalculation" #BreakThroughNews www.youtube.com/watch?v=nHUs...

04.03.2026 20:53 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 1 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0
Iran war: Redrawing the map of the Middle East, Israeli style? | The Bottom Line
Iran war: Redrawing the map of the Middle East, Israeli style? | The Bottom Line YouTube video by Al Jazeera English

My interview with Steve Clemons on Aljazeera The Bottom Line on US and Israel trying to reshape the Middle East through war on Iran youtu.be/uDtzEvDuj48?...

05.03.2026 01:29 πŸ‘ 2 πŸ” 1 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0
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Iran’s Strategy: Expand the War, Increase the Cost, Outlast Trump

I told NYT Iran’s strategy is to expand the war, increase the cost to Trump. Iran is facing qualitatively superior militaries, so the strategy is to test their will by expanding the battlefield, complicating the war and increasing the danger to the world economy. www.nytimes.com/2026/03/03/w...

03.03.2026 16:58 πŸ‘ 9 πŸ” 8 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0
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Iran After the Attacks On Saturday morning, Israel and the United States launched strikes on key military targets across Iran. Tehran has responded with a missile barrage aimed at Israel and key U.S. bases in the region. Ho...

My interview with Foreign Policy on what is Iran's strategy of war, why is it attacking the Gulf states, and how is it gaming the outcome foreignpolicy.com/live/iran-af...

02.03.2026 23:04 πŸ‘ 4 πŸ” 2 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0
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Video US, Israel launch strikes on Iran in β€˜Operation Epic Fury’ On β€œThis Week,” ABC News’ panel of experts discusses what’s next after U.S. and Israeli strikes are met with retaliatory attacks from Iran.

My interview with ABC This Week on the impact of war on Iranians nam02.safelinks.protection.outlook.com?url=https%3A...

01.03.2026 22:07 πŸ‘ 4 πŸ” 1 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0
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Trump’s strikes on Iran are an illegal war of choiceβ€”and Europeans should say so – European Council on Foreign Relations As the conflict threatens to escalate, European governments must make an assertive case for diplomacy and prepare for humanitarian catastrophe

Trump’s strikes on Iran are an illegal war of choiceβ€”and Europeans should say so: ecfr.eu/article/trum...

28.02.2026 17:49 πŸ‘ 38 πŸ” 16 πŸ’¬ 2 πŸ“Œ 0
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Opinion | The Iranian Regime Has Committed a Massacre We surveyed medical workers across 14 cities and 11 provinces in Iran about their experiences treating wounded protesters.

A harrowing account of what doctors and health workers saw and experienced during the bloody crackdown on the protests. Tough to read www.nytimes.com/interactive/...

26.02.2026 12:11 πŸ‘ 7 πŸ” 7 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0
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β€˜Crisis of his own making’: Donald Trump weighs another war with Iran The US military build-up was designed to coerce Tehran β€” but has failed

proverbial definition of "sleep walking into war" www.ft.com/content/0408...

24.02.2026 16:47 πŸ‘ 5 πŸ” 1 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0
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The United States Is Dangerously Misreading Iran Washington can start a war, but it may not be able to control the escalation.

Must read piece by Ali Hashem argues that US is misreading Iran thinking it can start a war and then avoid escalation. Iran is preparing for a very different scenario foreignpolicy.com/2026/02/23/t...

23.02.2026 18:05 πŸ‘ 16 πŸ” 9 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0
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The United States Is Dangerously Misreading Iran Washington can start a war, but it may not be able to control the escalation.

Must read piece by Ali Hashem argues that US is misreading Iran thinking it can start a war and then avoid escalation. Iran is preparing for a very different scenario foreignpolicy.com/2026/02/23/t...

23.02.2026 18:05 πŸ‘ 16 πŸ” 9 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0
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Inside Iran’s Preparation for War and Plans for Survival

Told NYT Khamenei is expecting to be martyred & thinking this is my system and legacy and I will stand until the end. He is distributing power & preparing the state for the next big thing, both succession and war, aware that succession may come as a consequence of war www.nytimes.com/2026/02/22/w...

22.02.2026 09:12 πŸ‘ 27 πŸ” 9 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0
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Inside Iran’s Preparation for War and Plans for Survival

Told NYT Khamenei is expecting to be martyred & thinking this is my system and legacy and I will stand until the end. He is distributing power & preparing the state for the next big thing, both succession and war, aware that succession may come as a consequence of war www.nytimes.com/2026/02/22/w...

22.02.2026 09:12 πŸ‘ 27 πŸ” 9 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0
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β€˜Don’t go to the US – not with Trump in charge’: the UK tourist with a valid visa detained by ICE for six weeks Karen Newton was in America on the trip of a lifetime when she was shackled, transported and held for weeks on end. With tourism to the US under increasing strain, she says, β€˜If it can happen to me, i...

A retired British primary school administrator with a British passport and a valid visa was shackled, chained and detained for six weeks by ICE

www.theguardian.com/us-news/2026...

21.02.2026 06:54 πŸ‘ 7240 πŸ” 4210 πŸ’¬ 250 πŸ“Œ 631
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Tehran on edge as residents fear US attack Many in Iran’s capital think it is only a matter of time until war returns to their lives

@Najmeh_Tehran Tehran is on edge with fear of US attack. Many who are still traumatised by the war with Israel in June and a deadly crackdown on anti-regime protests last month β€” fear it is only a matter of time until violence returns to their lives.
www.ft.com/content/c8f3...

21.02.2026 11:57 πŸ‘ 9 πŸ” 3 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0
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Trump Administration Live Updates: President Acknowledges That He Is Weighing Limited Strike on Iran

I told New York Times that the problem with Trump's limited strike idea is Iran could calculate that its muted response to previous American military operations had only invited more threats from the United States, and that it must escalate the cost of war for the US www.nytimes.com/live/2026/02...

20.02.2026 20:32 πŸ‘ 12 πŸ” 4 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0
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The Dream Palace of the West A Response to β€œThe West’s Last Chance”

Excellent and must read by Kishore Mahbubani on what Europe gets wrong about the world order www.foreignaffairs.com/united-state...

20.02.2026 12:41 πŸ‘ 3 πŸ” 1 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 2
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Why Iran is betting on war [FREE TO READ] Tehran thinks a drawn-out conflict could eventually yield a better deal than what Trump is offering today

My piece in Financial Times on why Iran may pursue diplomacy but may take its chances with war as.ft.com/r/ef11ca76-6...

19.02.2026 19:58 πŸ‘ 17 πŸ” 11 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 1
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Why Iran is betting on war [FREE TO READ] Tehran thinks a drawn-out conflict could eventually yield a better deal than what Trump is offering today

My piece in Financial Times on why Iran may pursue diplomacy but may take its chances with war as.ft.com/r/ef11ca76-6...

19.02.2026 19:58 πŸ‘ 17 πŸ” 11 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 1
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Iran Dangerously Misunderstands Its Situation Tehran thinks it has negotiations with the United States under control. The results could be catastrophic.

Excellent piece by Ali Hashem: Iran Dangerously Misunderstands Its Situation - Tehran thinks it has negotiations with the United States under control. The results could be catastrophic. foreignpolicy.com/2026/02/18/i...

18.02.2026 14:23 πŸ‘ 24 πŸ” 11 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 1
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United States and Iran on the Brink: What's at Stake? YouTube video by Center for Strategic & International Studies

It was great to join this CSIS panel on: the risks of war between US and Iran and the implications for the region www.youtube.com/live/XaaS-zB...

18.02.2026 20:57 πŸ‘ 5 πŸ” 3 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0
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United States and Iran on the Brink: What's at Stake? YouTube video by Center for Strategic & International Studies

It was great to join this CSIS panel on: the risks of war between US and Iran and the implications for the region www.youtube.com/live/XaaS-zB...

18.02.2026 20:57 πŸ‘ 5 πŸ” 3 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0
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Iran Dangerously Misunderstands Its Situation Tehran thinks it has negotiations with the United States under control. The results could be catastrophic.

Excellent piece by Ali Hashem: Iran Dangerously Misunderstands Its Situation - Tehran thinks it has negotiations with the United States under control. The results could be catastrophic. foreignpolicy.com/2026/02/18/i...

18.02.2026 14:23 πŸ‘ 24 πŸ” 11 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 1
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United States and Iran on the Brink: What's at Stake? | CSIS Events CSIS Middle East Program Experts unpack the latest developments between the United States and Iran.

I am looking forward to joining this CSIS panel on state of play between US and #Iran www.csis.org/events/unite...

13.02.2026 21:58 πŸ‘ 3 πŸ” 2 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0
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What does Trump actually want from Iran? - ABC listen As Trump continues nuclear talks with Iran, Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu has rushed to Washington to influence any potential deal. But amid uprisings, sanctions, and conflict with Israel,...

My conversation with Australian Broadcasting Corp on: What does Trump actually want from Iran? www.abc.net.au/listen/progr...

15.02.2026 21:12 πŸ‘ 2 πŸ” 2 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0
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What does Trump actually want from Iran? - ABC listen As Trump continues nuclear talks with Iran, Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu has rushed to Washington to influence any potential deal. But amid uprisings, sanctions, and conflict with Israel,...

My conversation with Australian Broadcasting Corp on: What does Trump actually want from Iran? www.abc.net.au/listen/progr...

15.02.2026 21:12 πŸ‘ 2 πŸ” 2 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0
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United States and Iran on the Brink: What's at Stake? | CSIS Events CSIS Middle East Program Experts unpack the latest developments between the United States and Iran.

I am looking forward to joining this CSIS panel on state of play between US and #Iran www.csis.org/events/unite...

13.02.2026 21:58 πŸ‘ 3 πŸ” 2 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0
Is War With Iran Looming? Vali Nasr & Joshua Landis
Is War With Iran Looming? Vali Nasr & Joshua Landis YouTube video by Switzerland with Tom Switzer

Interesting interview with @valinasr.bsky.social on Iran’s future.

youtu.be/ZDXdrPsn1DI

13.02.2026 00:11 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 1 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0