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@andrewpmiller

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16.11.2024
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Latest posts by @andrewpmiller

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Trump Is Potentially Leading the United States Into an Unnecessary War With Iran President Donald Trump is poised to carry out military action in Iran, but intervention is unlikely to achieve its objectives and brings grave risks of retaliation and a longer regional entanglement.

Make no mistake. Trump is on the verge of ordering an act of war in Iran. The risks are considerable and a diplomatic alternative exists, as I explain in the piece below. Congress must exercise its constitutional authority to stop another war of choice.

www.americanprogress.org/article/trum...

27.02.2026 18:52 👍 0 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0
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STATEMENT: Ceasefire Agreement Is Long Overdue, But All Sides Must Work Hard To Resolve Remaining Issues

My statement for @americanprogress.bsky.social on today’s phase one agreement on a ceasefire in Gaza.

www.americanprogress.org/press/statem...

09.10.2025 19:17 👍 2 🔁 1 💬 0 📌 0
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The Trump Administration’s Retreat from the United Nations Harms the American People President Donald Trump’s disengagement from the United Nations is not just contrary to lofty American ideals but also a threat to the material welfare of Americans.

President Donald Trump’s disengagement from the United Nations is not just contrary to lofty American ideals but also a threat to the material welfare of Americans. The latest from @andrewpmiller.bsky.social:

22.09.2025 16:15 👍 11 🔁 4 💬 1 📌 0
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The Trump Administration’s Retreat from the United Nations Harms the American People President Donald Trump’s disengagement from the United Nations is not just contrary to lofty American ideals but also a threat to the material welfare of Americans.

Most Americans don’t think about the UN on a regular basis. But, as I argue, the UN performs essential functions that improve the life of every American. So, naturally, Trump wants the US to walk away from this 80-year old institution.
www.americanprogress.org/article/the-...

22.09.2025 16:16 👍 2 🔁 1 💬 0 📌 0
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Save the PMF Program or Risk Losing a Generation of Public Servants The Trump administration's elimination of the PMF program will have negative long-term consequences for an entire generation of policymakers.

Eliminating the PMF program as President Trump ordered could mean losing a new generation of bright public servants. PMF alums @andrewpmiller.bsky.social and Kelly Razzouk explain in @justsecurity.org:

06.08.2025 13:01 👍 9 🔁 9 💬 0 📌 0
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America Is on the Verge of Catastrophe in the Middle East U.S. intervention in Iran would be a terrible gamble.

In my latest piece for @foreignaffairs.com, I explain why “U.S. intervention in Iran would be a terrible gamble.”

“Even if a limited U.S. operation goes according to plan with no retaliation, a decision to intervene in the conflict would…make a sustainable solution harder to achieve.”

21.06.2025 13:56 👍 9 🔁 3 💬 0 📌 1
6.17.25 | CNN News Central | Kim Dozier and Andrew Miller on Israel/Iran
6.17.25 | CNN News Central | Kim Dozier and Andrew Miller on Israel/Iran YouTube video by Kim Dozier

Good discussion about Israel-Iran conflict on @cnn.com about Israel-Iran conflict with @kimdozier.bsky.social.

17.06.2025 22:20 👍 0 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0

To fight antisemitism, we need to understand it. The DC and Boulder attacks were antisemitic, yet instead of calling them what they are, Trump uses them as pretexts for implementing an authoritarian agenda that harms Jews and other minorities. More in my newsletter today: conta.cc/3SFsUq8

08.06.2025 14:04 👍 36 🔁 9 💬 1 📌 0
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President Trump’s Gulf Trip Is Heavy on Theatrics, Light on Policy President Trump’s Middle East trip was a wasted opportunity to secure major progress on a diplomatic solution to Iran’s nuclear program and resolving the war in Gaza.

The major themes of President Trump’s visit to the Arab Gulf states are rooted in his personal biases rather than any coherent vision for U.S. policy, let alone one that delivers for the American people. The latest from CAP's @andrewpmiller.bsky.social‬:

29.05.2025 17:00 👍 8 🔁 4 💬 1 📌 0
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Trump Should Not Give Israel a Pass on Gaza Blockade By doing so, he makes Palestinian suffering U.S. policy.

In @foreignpolicy.com, @philgordondc.bsky.social and I show how Trump has made Palestinian suffering U.S. policy. We we in the Biden administration failed to meet Palestinian needs, Trump shouldn’t get a pass for backing a humanitarian siege of Gaza.

foreignpolicy.com/2025/04/29/t...

30.04.2025 13:38 👍 3 🔁 1 💬 0 📌 0
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What Just Happened: Trump Admin’s State Dept Reorganization If implemented, Rubio's State Department reorganization will reflect a significant shift in how the United States engages with the world.

The Trump admin’s proposed State Department reorg is a realignment of diplomatic priorities that seems set to constrain US soft power & reduce institutional capacity in key areas.

Dani Shulkin, @tessbridgeman.bsky.social & @andrewpmiller.bsky.social unpack the proposal & its likely consequences.

23.04.2025 12:49 👍 57 🔁 46 💬 4 📌 4
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What Just Happened: Trump Admin’s State Dept Reorganization If implemented, Rubio's State Department reorganization will reflect a significant shift in how the United States engages with the world.

The Trump admin’s proposed State Department reorg is a realignment of diplomatic priorities that seems set to constrain U.S. soft power & reduce institutional capacity in key areas.

Dani Shulkin, @tessbridgeman.bsky.social & @andrewpmiller.bsky.social unpack the proposal & its likely consequences:

23.04.2025 00:11 👍 60 🔁 47 💬 5 📌 0
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Opinion | Former Top Pentagon Spokesperson Details ‘Month From Hell’ Inside the Agency The total chaos at the Department of Defense is becoming a major distraction for the Trump administration, writes John Ullyot.

1. As someone who served for a number of years at the Pentagon, words cannot express how totally messed up and dangerous the current situation is at DOD. SecDef’s front office staff plays an absolutely vital role and right now they’ve all been fired. www.politico.com/news/magazin...

21.04.2025 10:48 👍 1332 🔁 347 💬 54 📌 22

#Trump calling @vanhollen.senate.gov a grandstander is comical. Grandstanding is literally all Trump does. It’s not the pot calling the kettle black; it’s the pot calling the kettle a pot. Meanwhile, Senator Van Hollen is fighting for our constitutional right to due process.

18.04.2025 13:43 👍 7 🔁 3 💬 0 📌 0
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The Trump Administration’s Responsibility for the Failed Ceasefire in Gaza The Trump administration’s failure to enforce the terms of the January 15 ceasefire between Israel and Hamas has wasted the best opportunity to achieve a permanent end to the war in Gaza.

The Trump administration’s failure to enforce the terms of the January 15 ceasefire between Israel and Hamas has wasted the best opportunity to achieve a permanent end to the war in Gaza. The latest from CAP's @andrewpmiller.bsky.social:

14.04.2025 21:30 👍 12 🔁 10 💬 0 📌 0
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The Trump Administration’s Responsibility for the Failed Ceasefire in Gaza The Trump administration’s failure to enforce the terms of the January 15 ceasefire between Israel and Hamas has wasted the best opportunity to achieve a permanent end to the war in Gaza.

My latest for @americanprogress.bsky.social

I explain that #Trump wasted the best oppty to end the Gaza war by making no real effort to negotiate an agreement on the 2nd phase of the Biden administration’s January 15 ceasefire.

www.americanprogress.org/article/the-...

14.04.2025 13:54 👍 4 🔁 3 💬 1 📌 0
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Education Dept. layoffs cut half the staff investigating campus antisemitism Experts say the Office for Civil Rights, which probes discrimination at K-12 schools and universities, may have to change tack with the shuttering of more than half of its regional offices

As we said last fall, if the Project 2025 plan to shut the Department of Ed is implemented, so goes the office conducting the campus antisemitism investigations. Half the staff doing that work now gone. jewishinsider.com/2025/03/educ...

13.03.2025 13:54 👍 231 🔁 75 💬 11 📌 4

1. This decision to cut millions in funding to Columbia is dangerous and not going to help counter antisemitism on campus. If anything it might just make the problem worse.

07.03.2025 20:44 👍 309 🔁 68 💬 20 📌 25

“The desire for personal wealth and power” is the key point. Everything they do is motivated by their own narrow self-interest. And what’s good for them is seldom good for the American public.

22.02.2025 19:00 👍 0 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0

Fourth, and finally, refrain from pushing for early elections and instead focus on supporting the development of a new constitution guaranteeing civil and minority rights, with a particular emphasis on electoral laws.

14.02.2025 15:22 👍 0 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0

Third, engage freely with the interim Syrian government and other relevant political actors, but withhold formal legal recognition of that government until it demonstrates control over all Syrian territory and takes tangible steps to govern inclusively.

14.02.2025 15:22 👍 0 🔁 0 💬 1 📌 0

Second, prioritize the need for immediate economic relief by lifting U.S. sanctions on Syria that targeted the now-deposed regime of Bashar al-Assad

14.02.2025 15:22 👍 0 🔁 0 💬 1 📌 0

First, use all available tools, up to and including sanctions, to prevent external spoilers from hindering democratic progress.

14.02.2025 15:22 👍 0 🔁 0 💬 1 📌 0

In this report, I lay out the following four lessons I derived from my experience working on the Arab Spring/Uprisings during the Obama administration that I believe are relevant to Syria’s transition.

14.02.2025 15:22 👍 0 🔁 0 💬 1 📌 0
https://www.americanprogress.org/article/syrias-transition-and-the-shadow-of-the-arab-uprisings/

Re-upping my @americanprogress.bsky.social report on #Syria published yesterday. 🧵

www.americanprogress.org/article/syri...

14.02.2025 15:22 👍 0 🔁 0 💬 1 📌 0
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Syria’s Transition and the Shadow of the Arab Uprisings While the Syrian people should ultimately determine their own future, the United States must learn from its mistakes during the Arab uprisings to best facilitate a democratic transition.

My latest for @americanprogress.bsky.social is a report on U.S. policy toward #Syria’s transition. The United States will almost certainly make mistakes but it can at least avoid repeating the same mistakes from the 2010s Arab Uprisings.

www.americanprogress.org/article/syri...

13.02.2025 14:24 👍 3 🔁 1 💬 0 📌 0
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Here’s my view:

JD Vance is in no position to call for the reinstatement of a DOGE employee while he’a callously cutting thousands of jobs on no objective basis whatsoever. Show the same empathy for govt employees and their families that you show for “this kid.”

Protect #federalworkers

07.02.2025 18:39 👍 2 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0
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This is the man who is acting as the Undersecretary of State for Public Diplomacy. Interesting message to send to a world that is majority non-white and/or female. The next time Trumpists say they support meritocracy, remember this.

03.02.2025 16:45 👍 1 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0

To my former #USAID colleagues, please know that I and so many in and outside of government stand with you. USAID isn’t perfect but your patriotism, humanitarianism, and professionalism represent the very best of America. Dark times are ahead but this shadow will pass. 🗽🇺🇸

02.02.2025 18:44 👍 27 🔁 3 💬 0 📌 0
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Can the President Dissolve USAID by Executive Order? Congress established USAID in statute, and the president may not unilaterally override a statute by executive order.

The #USAID website has just gone dark, amidst reporting #Trump may try to dissolve it completely.

But #Congress established USAID in statute, and Trump can't unilaterally override a statute by executive order.

Read my latest via @justsecurity.org:

www.justsecurity.org/107267/can-p...

01.02.2025 20:33 👍 645 🔁 299 💬 46 📌 30