If you’re a PhDing political science and working on conflict (broadly defined), consider applying to our Conflict & Change PhD Workshop. Selected participants meet 20+ of the top PhD candidates in the field. Our keynote speaker will be Stathis Kalyvas. www.conflictandchange.org/phdworkshop2...
Maduro is a brutal and oppressive dictator of Venezuela.
Trump has no legitimate legal basis for military action against Venezuela under United States or international law.
Both of those facts are simultaneously true.
📢 New article alert! Jassie Cheng, Byron Chong & @drmagomez.bsky.social uses the 2C1D framework (Collaboration, Contribution, Diversification) to show how Singapore navigates constraints to advance its AI strategy.
Read the full article here: www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10....
Diversification, finally, provides alternative streams through which to access AI enablers without binding middle powers to the strategic interests of a single actor.
While other factors influence AI acquisition among middle powers, 2C1D provides the foundation to understand these efforts.
Collaboration concerns efforts aimed at working with partners to augment access to the necessary enablers of AI. Contribution, tangentially, refers to norms- and standards-building efforts that give middle powers the ability to shape behavior in the international system.
While great powers are better able to weather these difficulties, middle powers enticed by the benefits of AI are at a disadvantage. As such, we assert that these actors adopt a strategy centered around the notions of collaboration, contribution, and diversification.
Responding to the transformative potential of AI, states are racing to acquire the capabilities necessary to exploit this disruptive technology.
Nevertheless, compute, data, and talent are constrained by material and structural realities - further compounded by resurgent great power competition.
How do middle powers pursue #AI capabilities in a contentious international environment?
In this latest article, Jassie Cheng, Byron Chong, and myself offer a framework, 2C1D (Collaboration, Contribution, and Diversification) to unpack this phenomenon.
www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10....
Op-Ed built around a project with @ghwinger.bsky.social and @laurensukin.bsky.social presents options on how to sustain US alliances in the the Indo-Pacific is out on @warontherocks.bsky.social
warontherocks.com/2025/09/wash...
A new article, “Allies and partners: US public opinion and relationships in the Indo-Pacific,” by @drmagomez.bsky.social (CAG), @ghwinger.bsky.social (University of Cincinnati), and @laurensukin.bsky.social (LSE), is out now.
Read it here:
www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10....
Key Finding 3:
Strategic ties aren’t everything. Public attitudes are also shaped by economic, military, and societal perceptions of the partner country.
Key Finding 2:
Formal alliances matter—up to a point. U.S. alliances generate stronger public backing than informal partnerships, but this distinction fades when retaliation comes up.
Key Finding 1:
Conflict aversion is strong. While the public supports partners facing Chinese aggression, support declines sharply when retaliation is involved.
As great power competition in the Indo-Pacific intensifies, U.S. commitments to regional partners is under scrutiny.
Our new article with @ghwinger.bsky.social & @laurensukin.bsky.social explores how the American public reacts to potential security crises. ⬇️
www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10....
I’ll be attending #IPSA 2025 World Congress from 12-16 July. Happy to catch up with folks over coffee if you’re around.
The Journal of Information Technology & Politics is calling for papers for a special issue on “Cyber-Conflict in the Indo-Pacific.” Deadline: 1 August. If you have any questions, reach out to our own @drmagomez.bsky.social, who’s co-editing this issue. think.taylorandfrancis.com/special_issu...
Consider submitting to our upcoming special issue with the Journal of Information Technology and Politics if you work on questions concerning #cyber #conflict in and around the #Indo-Pacific
think.taylorandfrancis.com/special_issu...
Check out the 5th issue of the ASEAN Bulletin (Jan–Apr)! Explore the challenges of global economic shifts, progress in regional defence cooperation, and cultural exchange beyond Southeast Asia. Featuring insights by @drmagomez.bsky.social. #ASEANBulletin
lkyspp.nus.edu.sg/cag/publicat...
My new #ASEANBulletin piece on the promises and risks of #AI adoption within the defense sector in #SouthEastAsia
@caglkyspp.bsky.social
lkyspp.nus.edu.sg/cag/publicat...
Great opportunity for scholars working on these questions!
www.thehagueprogram.nl/news/2025-co...
As painful as this could be, I am curious to see whether collective responses in Southeast Asia and other regions will surface.
Keeping in mind the character of this administration, I wonder how much Manila values reassurances of U.S. commitment to the region.
My new op-ed on the challenges and prospects for cooperation on #cyber issues within #ASEAN is out!
www.eastwestcenter.org/publications...
Furthermore, these mechanisms are unaffected by the respondents’ partisanship. These findings serve to temper the exceptionalism that continues to surround cybersecurity politics, enabling effective policy development - promoting stability in the international stability.
Using a survey experiment on a representative sample of the U.S. public, we show support for embattled allies in cyberspace is driven by reputational, instrumental, and moralistic considerations - echoing similar mechanisms at work within the conventional domains.
While the literature suggests continued adherence to these obligations, the underlying mechanisms are understudied. Given its unique characteristics and the ease with which partners could renege on commitments, unpacking the foundations that drive public support is critical.
As cybersecurity is integrated into existing bilateral and multilateral alliances, it becomes necessary to ascertain whether publics of security guarantors are willing to risk costs by adhering to these commitments following aggression in this human-made environment.
The novelty associated with cyberspace presupposes that publics view events affecting this domain as distinct - possibly challenging existing beliefs surrounding interstate relations.
Why support #allies following severe #cybersecurity incidents? In this article, @ghwinger.bsky.social and I unpack the mechanisms that drive public support for embattled allies.
www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10....
Working on #economic #security in Southeast Asia? Check this workshop hosted by the @caglkyspp.bsky.social
