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Andrew Gelman et al.

@statmodeling

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Latest posts by Andrew Gelman et al. @statmodeling

More on making a killing from prediction markets | Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science

More on making a killing from prediction markets
statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2026/03/06/k...

06.03.2026 15:27 πŸ‘ 2 πŸ” 1 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0
Making a killing from prediction markets | Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science

Making a killing from prediction markets
statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2026/03/05/m...

05.03.2026 15:40 πŸ‘ 2 πŸ” 1 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0
Missing forecasts | Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science

Missing forecasts
statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2026/03/04/m...

05.03.2026 01:05 πŸ‘ 3 πŸ” 1 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0
Ethics corner: β€œAs a statistical consultant, if you’re a co-author on a substantive paper, is it your duty to ensure that all the possible statistical concerns you could imagine are addressed?” | St...

Ethics corner: β€œAs a statistical consultant, if you’re a co-author on a substantive paper, is it your duty to ensure that all the possible statistical concerns you could imagine are addressed?”
statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2026/03/04/a...

04.03.2026 14:37 πŸ‘ 3 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0
Survey Statistics: sampling-weighted loss | Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science

Survey Statistics: sampling-weighted loss
statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2026/03/03/s...

03.03.2026 23:10 πŸ‘ 1 πŸ” 1 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 1
β€œThe inner workings of a scam” | Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science

β€œThe inner workings of a scam”
statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2026/03/03/t...

03.03.2026 14:27 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0
Olympic memories | Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science

Olympic memories
statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2026/03/02/i...

02.03.2026 14:28 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0
Remembering David MacKay | Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science

Remembering David MacKay
statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2026/03/01/r...

01.03.2026 15:05 πŸ‘ 11 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 2
Thinking about objections to ethnic political representation | Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science

Thinking about objections to ethnic political representation
statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2026/02/28/t...

28.02.2026 15:55 πŸ‘ 1 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0
Hey! What the Froot was up with this Harvard website? | Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science

Hey! What the Froot was up with this Harvard website?
statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2026/02/27/h...

27.02.2026 15:15 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0
Journalists and the people they interview: The individual contract and the social contract | Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science

Journalists and the people they interview: The individual contract and the social contract
statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2026/02/26/j...

26.02.2026 16:17 πŸ‘ 2 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0
Axel F meets Samuel Beckett in The Lifestyles of the Rich and Tenured | Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science

Axel F meets Samuel Beckett in The Lifestyles of the Rich and Tenured
statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2026/02/25/a...

25.02.2026 14:34 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 1 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0
Survey Statistics: sampling to assess data quality | Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science

Survey Statistics: sampling to assess data quality
statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2026/02/24/s...

24.02.2026 22:44 πŸ‘ 11 πŸ” 2 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 1
Edward Tufte on graphs as comparisons | Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science

Edward Tufte on graphs as comparisons
statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2026/02/24/t...

24.02.2026 15:59 πŸ‘ 7 πŸ” 3 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0
Living the metascience dream (or nightmare) with AI for science | Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science

Living the metascience dream (or nightmare) with AI for science
statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2026/02/23/l...

23.02.2026 22:18 πŸ‘ 3 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 2
Hey, self-publishers! It seems that you are getting scammed. | Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science

Hey, self-publishers! It seems that you are getting scammed.
statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2026/02/23/h...

23.02.2026 14:53 πŸ‘ 1 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0
β€œGiving less power to statistical power” | Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science

β€œGiving less power to statistical power”
statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2026/02/22/g...

22.02.2026 14:46 πŸ‘ 12 πŸ” 3 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0
Computing pi by flipping a coin | Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science

Computing pi by flipping a coin
statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2026/02/21/c...

21.02.2026 21:35 πŸ‘ 8 πŸ” 1 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0
Hey! I almost got scammed by Google. | Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science

Hey! I almost got scammed by Google.
statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2026/02/21/h...

21.02.2026 17:02 πŸ‘ 3 πŸ” 2 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0
From junk science (largely non-political) to junk medical treatments (mostly associated with the far-right): A financial connection | Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science

From junk science (largely non-political) to junk medical treatments (mostly associated with the far-right): A financial connection
statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2026/02/20/5...

20.02.2026 15:14 πŸ‘ 7 πŸ” 1 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 1
What do Socrates, Herb Simon, and Andrew Gelman have in common? A love of the oral tradition | Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science

What do Socrates, Herb Simon, and Andrew Gelman have in common? A love of the oral tradition
statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2026/02/19/w...

19.02.2026 20:25 πŸ‘ 1 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0
The 80% power lie | Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science

The 80% power lie
statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2026/02/19/t...

19.02.2026 14:36 πŸ‘ 11 πŸ” 5 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 1
Fitting a model to estimate the seats-votes curve, back in the bad old days before we had Stan | Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science

Fitting a model to estimate the seats-votes curve, back in the bad old days before we had Stan
statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2026/02/18/f...

18.02.2026 16:53 πŸ‘ 1 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0
Survey Statistics: Gallup’s Presidential Approval Ratings | Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science

Survey Statistics: Gallup’s Presidential Approval Ratings
statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2026/02/17/s...

17.02.2026 22:31 πŸ‘ 1 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 1
The Atlantic Monthly, March, 1947 | Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science

The Atlantic Monthly, March, 1947
statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2026/02/17/t...

17.02.2026 14:34 πŸ‘ 1 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0
My online talk Tues 24 Feb, 9am NY time at the Behind-the-Scenes seminar series: Russian Roulette and stochastic potential outcomes | Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science

My online talk Tues 24 Feb, 9am NY time at the Behind-the-Scenes seminar series: Russian Roulette and stochastic potential outcomes
statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2026/02/16/m...

16.02.2026 23:12 πŸ‘ 3 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0
Hanging out: An observational study | Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science

Hanging out: An observational study
statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2026/02/16/h...

16.02.2026 14:22 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0
Funniest predatory-journal pitch ever | Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science

Funniest predatory-journal pitch ever
statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2026/02/15/f...

15.02.2026 14:45 πŸ‘ 2 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0
The stupidity, the criminal vandalism, the wanton destruction of information involved in dichotomisation | Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science

The stupidity, the criminal vandalism, the wanton destruction of information involved in dichotomisation
statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2026/02/14/t...

14.02.2026 18:03 πŸ‘ 11 πŸ” 4 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 1
What to do in 2026: Your statistics diary | Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science

What to do in 2026: Your statistics diary
statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2026/02/14/w...

14.02.2026 14:05 πŸ‘ 4 πŸ” 2 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 2