Please join us this spring for this exciting series of talks!π
Please join us this spring for this exciting series of talks!π
An image of the schedule with speaker images. You can find the full schedule on tada.cool.
π¨ TADA Speaker Series Spring 2026 schedule is here! π¨
We've assembled a fantastic lineup of researchers exploring the future of survey research in the age of LLMs.
Mar 18 - May 27, online at 17:00 CEST. Join us!
More info & signup: tada.cool
Now in print (and open access):
What happens when voters learn their party disagrees with them?
I ran a pre-registered experiment with a representative sample of ~3,000 German voters to find out.
link.springer.com/article/10.1...
π§΅
Interesting: "Findings suggest that the left-right political orientation of journalists affects the use of subjectivity in reporting and political party composition, but in the opposite direction [from what was expected]: [Left-leaning] journalists seem to overcompensate for their individual views."
π§βπ€βπ§Do politicians consider the gender of leaders when selecting coalition partners?
β‘οΈUsing a conjoint on 979 Spanish mayors, @albahuidobro.bsky.social finds that mayors, especially those on the center and left, prefer coalitions with parties led by women www.cambridge.org/core/journal... #FirstView
Overview of seminar series, details available at: https://www.ucd.ie/connected_politics/events/
Connected_Politics Lab Seminars, Spring Trimester ‡οΈ
- 28 Jan: @jessicadicocco.bsky.social
βΒ 11 Feb: Akitaka Matsuo
βΒ 25 Feb: @malojan.bsky.social, @luissattelmayer.bsky.social, and NoΓ©mie Piolat
βΒ 4 Mar: @vivifabrien.bsky.social
β 1 Apr: @elisaadamico.bsky.social
βΒ 15 Apr: @miriamsorace.bsky.social
πΏ If youβre looking to understand whatβs happening inside the Dutch far right, today is a great day to read this paper in
@epsrjournal.bsky.social on the evolution of populist radical right party organization in the Netherlands. www.cambridge.org/core/journal...
π¨π New Publication! ππ¨
This week, I'm joined by Rutger Bregman, Dutch historian and the guy who went viral telling Davos billionaires to pay their taxes.
We explore why so many of us feel stuck, unfulfilled, or disconnected from purpose, and how to redirect our talent toward what actually matters.
Episode 955βπΌπ±
Last day to sign up! π
I posted it here before, but @favstats.eu and I wrote an entry about LLMs in the encyclopedia below π
Final version is out now at www.elgaronline.com/display/book...
Or read the preprint: doi.org/10.31219/osf...
Happening Tomorrow! π
Can really recommend this! @fabianhabersack.bsky.social is a fantastic JS host!
Happening this week! π
Study after study shows campaign ads barely move the needle. So where does moneyβs real power come from? I ranked the five ways money corrupts politicsβfrom least to most corrosive. What Iβve learned from 15 years of tracking political money:
Our next #TADA session is just around the corner! π¨
We are absolutely delighted to welcome Ju Yeon (Julia) Park, who will present her paper: "Toward a framework for creating trustworthy measures with supervised machine learning for text."
π
Wed., Dec. 10, 17:00-18:00 (Berlin)
More info: tada.cool
A big thank you to our paper presenters August de Mulder, @andreavik.bsky.social, @feliciarthm.bsky.social, @robinweisser.bsky.social, and our discussant @pieterdewilde.bsky.socialπ
And of course to our roundtable of experts: Suzanne Dovi, @elinesevers.bsky.social , and @petraguasti.bsky.social π
π¨π£Very excited to announce our Online INCONEX Kick-Off Workshop on December 12 from 13:45 to 17:45 (CET)!
We have a great line-up of paper presentations and a fantastic roundtable. Everyone is welcome!
π Sign up here: bit.ly/inconex_workshop
@erc.europa.eu #PoliticalScience #Representation
Cover page of the article. "Affective States: Cultural and Affective Polarization in a Multilevel-Multiparty System" by Dylan Paltra, Marius SΓ€ltzer and Christian Stecker. "Affective Polarizationβthe growing mutual dislike among partisan groupsβhas been identified as a major concern in democracies. Although both economic and cultural ideological divides contribute to ideological polarization, their affective consequences can differ. This paper argues that cultural polarization becomes especially consequential when mobilized by far-right parties. Using data from 116 elections in Germanyβs 16 states (1990-2023), we combine more than 550 state-level manifestos with more than 150,000 survey responses to examine how party polarization translates into voter affect. Our analyses show that both economic and cultural polarization increase affective divides, but cultural disagreements fuel hostility only in the presence of the Alternative for Germany (AfD). Acting as a cultural entrepreneur, the AfD amplifies the emotional impact of cultural divisions such as immigration, employing affective rhetoric and provoking strong rejection from other parties and voters. These findings highlight the catalytic role of far-right parties in transforming ideological competition into affective polarization."
π¨Publication Alert!
My first first-author publication with @msaeltzer.bsky.social and @pluggedchris.bsky.social is out in @polbehavior.bsky.social, which began as my bachelor's thesis. We study how party polarization shapes affective polarizationβwith a particularly important role of the AfD. (1/7)π§΅
ποΈ Listen now to the latest episode of our students' podcast, where they interviewed @lucykinski.bsky.social (project leader) and @clint0475.bsky.social (project assistant) about their INCONEX project funded by the @erc.europa.eu
βΉοΈ
Podcast: buff.ly/Wui0qo9
Project website: buff.ly/ulzMTmf
Happy to have been part of this episode with @clint0475.bsky.social talking all things INCONEX, but also about the EU, what it means to be a political scientist these days, how AI will shape how we teach, and much more. Take a listen! ππ
πJob Alert π
Thrilled to share that @stefaniebailer.bsky.social and I have been awarded 1.5 million CHF in SNSF funding for our new project: βElectoral choice: Which role does legislatorsβ quality play?β
Weβre recruiting 1 postdoc and 2 PhD candidates to join us in Basel and Geneva!
Beside listening to the podcast, you should really read the full paper - the environmental costs are only one of the paper's punchlines. Plus: it is written in a very accessible way. Kudos to the authors, @seanhp.bsky.social, @isaacbravo.bsky.social & @clint0475.bsky.social!
osf.io/download/vwb5h
π¨ Join us next Wednesday (ποΈ Nov 26, π 5pm Berlin time) for an exciting session π₯³. @khaoulache.bsky.social will present co-authored work on "Beyond the Safety Bundle: Auditing the Helpful and Harmless Dataset".
If you'd like to join, please sign up for the mailing TADA.cool or send us a message.
Abstract It is widely accepted in political science β and remarkably established in public discourse β that status anxieties fuel a far right backlash against progressive politics. This narrative suggests that right-wing conservatives perceive the status of women, racial, or sexual minorities as threatening. Using open-ended survey questions fielded in Germany, we show that women and minorities indeed figure in peopleβs perceptions of status hierarchies, but in very specific ways: First, overall, people still perceive status as largely socioeconomically determined. Second, sociocultural groups figure in perceptions of who is gaining/losing status, less so in perceptions of the top/bottom of society. Third, more than conservative voters, it is social progressives who mention women and minorities as βwinnersβ. While on race/ethnicity, we find evidence for a backlash, on gender and sexuality we find more evidence for a progressive momentum. This matters for progressive politics today and for how we empirically study status concerns.
New article out in @cpsjournal.bsky.social with Tabea Palmtag and @dpzollinger.bsky.social π
We use open-ended survey questions (in Germany) to assess how and among whom social status shifts are perceived. This tests cultural backlash narratives in voters' perceptions.
π doi.org/10.1177/0010...
Happening Today! π
Happening this Wednesday!π
To join, either sign up for our newsletter at tada.cool, join our Slack channel (#reading-group) for access to the paper and the Zoom link at join.slack.com/t/tadapolisc..., or shoot @nicolaiberk.bsky.social, @verenakunz.bsky.social, @cklamm.bsky.social or me a message.
Next Wednesday, we are very excited to have
@joachimbaumann.bsky.social, who will present co-authored work on "Large Language Model Hacking: Quantifying the Hidden Risks of Using LLMs for Text Annotation". Paper and information on how to join β¬οΈ
The image shows photos and names of the five speakers of the TADA Speaker Series for the Fall term 2025.
Next Wednesday, we're excited to welcome @lexipalmer.bsky.social, who will present co-authored work with @cbarrie.bsky.social and Arthur Spirling on "Replication for Language Models: Problems, Principles, and Best Practices for Political Science". Paper and information on how to join β¬οΈ