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Simon Frankel Pratt

@simonpratt

Political scientist at the University of Melbourne. Formerly of other places. Research: war, intelligence, innovation, and normative change in international politics. Cat paparazzo. He/Him πŸ‡¨πŸ‡¦πŸ³οΈβ€πŸŒˆβœ‘οΈ

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03.07.2023
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Latest posts by Simon Frankel Pratt @simonpratt

A very slippery slope. This expansion is part of the AI logic, as I explain in my text on military AI governance: "once a system is sufficiently ubiquitous in any context, the question shifts from:'should I use this system', to 'how can I use the system more widely'" blogs.icrc.org/law-and-poli...

06.03.2026 10:06 πŸ‘ 7 πŸ” 4 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

pretty convinced at this point that Joss is just an Omelas trap, except instead of paradise in exchange for a tortured child you get mid-plus to very good genre television in exchange for an unknown number of victimized actresses

05.03.2026 22:16 πŸ‘ 153 πŸ” 12 πŸ’¬ 5 πŸ“Œ 0

No, thank you!

06.03.2026 04:58 πŸ‘ 1 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

🧡

06.03.2026 04:52 πŸ‘ 1 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0
Preview
Exclusive: US investigation points to likely US responsibility in Iran school strike, sources say Military investigators believe it is likely that U.S. forces were responsible for an apparent strike on an Iranian girls' school that killed scores of children on Saturday, two U.S. officials told Reu...

Reuters Exclusive

"U.S. military investigators believe it is likely that U.S. forces were responsible for an apparent strike on an Iranian girls' school."

"The strike would rank among the worst cases of civilian casualties in decades of U.S. conflicts in the ​Middle East."

06.03.2026 02:50 πŸ‘ 9173 πŸ” 4899 πŸ’¬ 569 πŸ“Œ 595

You do.

06.03.2026 04:48 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0
Post image

Shameful on multiple levels. She whitewashes Hezbollah’s crimes and invokes well known, established antisemitic tropes. A harmful disservice to our people. We deserve better representation than what she is constantly offering up. It’s also intellectually unsound.

www.middlebury.edu/institute/ac...

06.03.2026 03:23 πŸ‘ 10 πŸ” 2 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0

Man. Why did the FBI bother interviewing my family and 10 years of people I’d ever met and literally interrogating me over some weed usage in college when I could have just been a 19-year old with a ChatGPT account and gotten into the SCIF at work with no one watching

05.03.2026 21:42 πŸ‘ 169 πŸ” 33 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0

Ugh what’s the point of being in Switzerland if you’re gonna sell users out to the FBI anyway

05.03.2026 23:01 πŸ‘ 16 πŸ” 5 πŸ’¬ 2 πŸ“Œ 0

It's good to see investigations of this coming from more reliable outlets than the somewhat notoriously problematic MEE.

05.03.2026 21:09 πŸ‘ 1 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0
Preview
Iran war heralds era of AI-powered bombing quicker than β€˜speed of thought’ Speed and scale of US military’s AI war planning raises fears human decision-making may be sidelined

β€œAcademics studying the field say AI is collapsing the planning time required for complex strikes – a phenomenon known as β€œdecision compression”, which some fear could result in human military and legal experts merely rubber-stamping automated strike plans.”

www.theguardian.com/technology/2...

05.03.2026 09:10 πŸ‘ 102 πŸ” 47 πŸ’¬ 7 πŸ“Œ 7

Given that his administration leaks like a sieve I think we'd know pretty quick

05.03.2026 11:50 πŸ‘ 2 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

β€œThe IDF β€œin close cooperation with the U.S. Army, worked for thousands of hours to build as valuable and extensive a target bank as possible,” they said in a statement shortly after operations began.”

05.03.2026 08:00 πŸ‘ 2 πŸ” 1 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0

Would be interesting to see how this is similar or different from the interlocking AI systems the IDF used for their targeting in Gaza during the very intensive opening phase of the war

05.03.2026 08:09 πŸ‘ 1 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0
Headline of a Q&A in New Yorker formatting

Headline: A panicked middle-aged man refuses to tell me directions to the bathroom.

Subhed: Please, I just have to pee. I'm in a hurry.

By Isaac Chotiner
March 4, 2026

Headline of a Q&A in New Yorker formatting Headline: A panicked middle-aged man refuses to tell me directions to the bathroom. Subhed: Please, I just have to pee. I'm in a hurry. By Isaac Chotiner March 4, 2026

Excuse me.

Oh, God. Oh, no. Holy shit. Get away from me.

I was wondering if you knew where the bathrooms are.

Look, I'm ... it's not a crime to scroll through your high school girlfriend's Instagram account. We remained friends after high school! I was at her wedding! It's only natural to see how she's doing.

Excuse me. Oh, God. Oh, no. Holy shit. Get away from me. I was wondering if you knew where the bathrooms are. Look, I'm ... it's not a crime to scroll through your high school girlfriend's Instagram account. We remained friends after high school! I was at her wedding! It's only natural to see how she's doing.

I'm in a bit of a hurry, and I'm afraid that if I choose the wrong corridor, I'll be late for my train.

I think they're down that way, but I'm actually from out of town. Please stop talking to me.

I'm in a bit of a hurry, and I'm afraid that if I choose the wrong corridor, I'll be late for my train. I think they're down that way, but I'm actually from out of town. Please stop talking to me.

Real quick, though. I agree that it's natural to be interested in an old friend, but aren't you afraid about the message you might be sending by liking a picture of her at the beach from 2015?

If that did happen, and I'm only going off your word, it was probably an accident. They put the ... scroll bars or whatever ... close to the thumbs up button. People have been complaining about that for years. I've been complaining about that for years.

Real quick, though. I agree that it's natural to be interested in an old friend, but aren't you afraid about the message you might be sending by liking a picture of her at the beach from 2015? If that did happen, and I'm only going off your word, it was probably an accident. They put the ... scroll bars or whatever ... close to the thumbs up button. People have been complaining about that for years. I've been complaining about that for years.

04.03.2026 19:50 πŸ‘ 2463 πŸ” 495 πŸ’¬ 19 πŸ“Œ 14
Preview
Exclusive: Defense executives plan to meet at White House as strikes on Iran diminish stockpiles Companies including Lockheed Martin and Raytheon parent RTX have been invited.

Three days into a war of choice with no public support, the billions are adding up quickly: "Pentagon may seek around $50 billion supplemental budget for Middle East operations." $50 billion!
www.reuters.com/business/aer...

04.03.2026 04:07 πŸ‘ 67 πŸ” 48 πŸ’¬ 9 πŸ“Œ 12

This is good

04.03.2026 22:01 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0
Preview
Iran war heralds era of AI-powered bombing quicker than β€˜speed of thought’ Speed and scale of US military’s AI war planning raises fears human decision-making may be sidelined

Anthropic and Palantir tech was used by the US military to target lethal strikes in Iran www.theguardian.com/technology/2...

04.03.2026 12:57 πŸ‘ 8 πŸ” 8 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 1
Preview
The Easy Promise of Hidden Revelations Don't blame LLMs. We have always yearned for slop.

LLM prose is everywhere now. How did it happen so quickly? A 25-year-old essay about Don DeLillo and Cormac McCarthy accidentally diagnosed the whole thing. new post

04.03.2026 14:53 πŸ‘ 14 πŸ” 3 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0
Preview
Opinion | There Is Nothing Inevitable About a Russian Victory in Ukraine

Always read Lawrence Freedman.

Gift link.

04.03.2026 16:33 πŸ‘ 33 πŸ” 15 πŸ’¬ 3 πŸ“Œ 1

1. A short thread on a Bluesky phenomenon that might be described as "They are a dead-eyed cultist who must be cast out lest the heresy take root!" OP has blocked me for mocking them - I'd usually obscure their name but since they themselves were quote-dunking to demand someone else be blocked ...

04.03.2026 13:57 πŸ‘ 659 πŸ” 145 πŸ’¬ 53 πŸ“Œ 79

The level of motivated reasoning required for some pundits to convince themselves that Netanyahu, Adelson, et al. did not actually understand their own interests when they strongly favored Trump to win is beyond my comprehension

04.03.2026 02:47 πŸ‘ 705 πŸ” 95 πŸ’¬ 15 πŸ“Œ 1

One little detail at the end of the piece to note, if he is picked

So this would be a leader whose father, mother, wife, and one of his sons were all killed in U.S.-Israeli airstrikes on his country

I’m sure he’ll be eager to compromise

04.03.2026 03:09 πŸ‘ 21 πŸ” 6 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

The proliferation of blood and soil arguments about who belongs on a land has become seriously disturbing. Even those on the left are adopting such narratives.

04.03.2026 02:52 πŸ‘ 711 πŸ” 112 πŸ’¬ 7 πŸ“Œ 3

My point is that this is not a war Hezbollah wants to fight, and resuming rocket attacks legitimates Israeli advances in a way that the previous situation didn't.

04.03.2026 03:04 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0
Preview
Are Gulf states running out of missile interceptors? Their rulers insist not but they are burning through their stockpiles fast

I wrote on whether Gulf states are running out of interceptors, which they deny. Their day 1/2 consumption was v high relative to estimated pre-war stocks & annual production, but Iranian launches seem to be slowing. AD integration also proving an issue. www.economist.com/middle-east-...

03.03.2026 20:11 πŸ‘ 115 πŸ” 25 πŸ’¬ 4 πŸ“Œ 3

On the one hand, there's a real "wheels coming off the train" level of chaos out of the Trump administration right now.

On the other, he's president for 35 more months, and he's clearly established already that he considers Congress superfluous even under bicameral Republican control.

03.03.2026 18:32 πŸ‘ 156 πŸ” 35 πŸ’¬ 6 πŸ“Œ 2

"The premise of the war rests on a profound misreading of the Islamic Republic...Iran’s formative experience was the 8-year conflict with Iraq, when it was diplomatically isolated and militarily outgunned, yet survived through a combination of ideological mobilisation and asymmetrical adaptation."

03.03.2026 18:57 πŸ‘ 12 πŸ” 9 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

I think the point is that he's a pliable figure whom the IRGC can control

04.03.2026 00:32 πŸ‘ 1 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

And what, pray tell, is that supposed to achieve?

Iran has like 10 million Kurds, a deeply oppressed regional minority. We expect their militias to defeat the Iranian regime and the IRGC (even if itβ€˜s battered) and then rule over 50 million Persians?

03.03.2026 21:26 πŸ‘ 8 πŸ” 6 πŸ’¬ 2 πŸ“Œ 0