@javierosorio
Associate Professor @UArizona. I study political and organized criminal violence using Computational Social Science tools, experiments, and quasi-experiments. Please say Hi to your dog :) https://javierosorio.net/ Views are my own.
Eric Trump and Donald Trump, Jr. are acquiring a drone company that is seeking to meet Pentagon demand after Trump banned the use of Chinese drones.
We’re barely a week into Trump’s war and already his family has found a way to cash in.
Everything is for sale.
1️⃣ What explains electoral success in Mexico’s gubernatorial elections after the democratic transition? The key was not government performance, but the support of the incumbent governor. On average, candidates from the governor’s party were about 42% more likely to win. 🧵
DHS nominee Markwayne Mullin is one of the most active stock-traders in the Senate — and violated the STOCK Act against insider trading as recently as last August.
He currently holds stock in L3Harris, which has millions in contracts with ICE and FEMA.
The grift continues.
Kristi Noem is gone. Good, but it’s the bare minimum. Two American citizens killed by federal agents in Minneapolis. Court orders violated. FEMA gutted. Firing her doesn’t fix all of that, but it’s a start.
No One Mourns the Wicked!!! 🧙♀️
I just voted yes on the war powers resolution to rein in this President. Trump promised no new wars in the Middle East, and now we're in one with no plan and no end in sight.
A big part of the authoritarian playbook is war. War takes over the news. War blots out criticism. War divides a nation’s people, subjecting those against it to being called unpatriotic. War grants leaders all sorts of emergency powers. War consumes everything else.
We mustn’t let this war do so.
Eisenhower
A judge just tossed out Columbia University's disciplinary actions against 22 students over the 2024 Hamilton Hall occupation, finding the school relied on sealed arrest records and held individuals responsible for group actions, violating its own rules.
iapps.courts.state.ny.us/fbem/Documen...
Excited to share “Commanders of the Mujahideen: Introducing the Jihadist Leaders Dataset” at JPR! Analyzing Arabic, French, German, Turkish, and Urdu sources, we gathered information on the backgrounds and experiences of 237 leaders across multiple regions academic.oup.com/jpr/advance-...
💻 APSA’s virtual Research Group workshops are designed as a series of non-traditional sessions that aim to foster connections, encourage collaborative brainstorming on future #research projects, and facilitate discussion and feedback on shared ideas.
Read more: buff.ly/1H7nIng
Now Open! Research Group Workshop Applications for the 2026 Virtual Research Meeting! #APSAVRM2026
Each workshop aims to bring scholars together over two days of collaborative engagement, interactive discussion, and joint #research development. Apply by February 22nd! buff.ly/x3PDtCl
Currently in FirstView: In “Extractive versus Generative Language Models for Political Conflict Text Classification,” P. Brandt, S. Alsarra, F. D’Orazio, @dagmarheintze.bsky.social, L. Khan, S. Meher, @javierosorio.bsky.social, & M. Sianan review and benchmark the ConfliBERT model.
On the weakness of state terror: once ppl internalize the regime's lawless brutality, that they are no safer in their homes than in the streets (& vice versa), and that their unwavering defiance is what confounds & disempowers the regime, they also realize they have nothing to lose but their fear.
Let’s start the new year with a new website look! 🤩
Check it out!!
javierosorio.net
Give it a ❤️ if you like it.
All done on @github.com
Venga pues!!
Lola and Elmer wish you a happy new year!!!
May 2026 fill your heart with gratitude, compassion, generosity, love, and meaningful connections! 🥰
Text "POLITICAL ANALYSIS" in white on a red background, with "#OpenAccess" in white on a yellow background below.
#OpenAccess from @polanalysis.bsky.social -
Extractive versus Generative Language Models for Political Conflict Text Classification - https://cup.org/44SZCKZ
- Patrick T. Brandt, S,Alsarra, F.D’Orazio, @dagmarheintze.bsky.social, L.Khan, S.Meher, @javierosorio.bsky.social & M.Sianan
#FirstView
"One protesting strategy has been shown time and again to be most effective in the US: nonviolence" 🙄
www.theguardian.com/us-news/2025...
*new publication*
When Cities Become Battlegrounds: The Civilian Cost of Urban Operations against Organized Crime in Latin America
@ipinst.bsky.social
theglobalobservatory.org/2025/12/when...
Anyway the single best check on your espoused prescriptions for social change is whether you yourself are doing what you say others need to do. It's extremely clarifying and usually very humbling.
From an Olympic Snowboarder to an Accused Drug Kingpin and Killer www.nytimes.com/2025/12/26/w...
Do not miss this fascinating post by @adiazcayeros.bsky.social on the Virgin of Guadalupe in Mexico.
I learned a lot. It is so good!
adiazcayeros.medium.com/notes-on-gua...
This is sick!!! 😡🤮
As a former USIP fellow, I will always stick to its former name and its true spirit.
Trump Renames Institute of Peace for Himself www.nytimes.com/2025/12/03/u...
Thinking about shopping on Amazon for Cyber Monday?
Watch this first. https://www.youtube.com/shorts/FaRBjqYsXRE
If you are flying for Thanksgiving, well… good luck!!!!
Here is an explanation of what is happening 🦃🦃
