Zachary Van Winkle

When Political Pivots Shift Behaviors but Not Beliefs: Evidence from Trump’s Position Reversal over Facemasks during the COVID-19 Crisis - Bartholomew A. Konechni, 2026 Political leaders play a potentially important role shaping behaviors and beliefs during crises. In the pandemic, a number of high-status politicians, notably l...

What happens when politicians pivot during a crisis?

I examine Trump’s July 2020 mask pivot. It increased Republican mask use, closing 40% of the partisan gap.

But paradoxically, beliefs about masks' efficacy didn’t change.

doi.org/10.1177/0003... @asanews.bsky.social #Trump #PublicHealth

Sequence Analysis Association pre-EPC workshop - Register of attendance Please use this form to register for attendance at the Sequence Analysis Association pre-EPC workshop if you do not present (presenters do not have to register here). Please note: Attendance is su...

💫 Regardless of EPC outcomes, you’re warmly invited to submit to our workshop and join us — it’s open to everyone.

🎧 You can also attend without presenting (first-come, first-served).

📝 Register for participation here: docs.google.com/forms/d/e/1F...

Sequence Analysis Association pre-EPC meeting - Abstract submission The Sequence Analysis Association (https://sequenceanalysis.org/) is organizing a one-day side meeting before the 2026 European Population Conference (EPC) in Bologna, entitled "Life Course Dynamics: ...

🎉 Accepted to EPC?

🌟Join us for our first pre-EPC workshop: Life Course Dynamics: Insights from Sequence Analysis!

📅 June 3, 2026

👉 Submit a 250-word abstract by Feb 15, 2026: docs.google.com/forms/d/e/1F...

Papers applying sequence analysis or related methods to study life courses are welcome 🫶

Congrats on a great first PAA presentation, @martingaedecke.bsky.social 🎉🎉🎉, presenting our paper with @zjvanwinkle.bsky.social on conceptualizing & testing new sequence-analysis-based measures for children's family life's and their consequences on their educational outcomes in FE designs! #PAA2025

How and why did the impact of widowhood on depressive symptoms vary across Europe during the Covid-19 pandemic? Take a look at our new publication in @readdemography.bsky.social!

<em>Journal of Marriage and Family</em> | NCFR Family Science Journal | Wiley Online Library Objective This study focuses on the extent to which parental divorce and separation during childhood affect children's chances to realize genetic influences on educational attainment. Background W...

Just published by @zjvanwinkle.bsky.social & @tibaier.bsky.social "Parental separation and children's genetic influences on education" [open access] An integrative study combining sociology, demography, and genetics—based on molecular data doi.org/10.1111/jomf...

🚨 How are more ambitious climate policies feasible politically? We have published 4 new research briefs on the political viability of climate policies. You can find all the briefs on our website.
Here is a 🧵summarizing the briefs.
Please share.
politicscentre.nuffield.ox.ac.uk/progressive-...

Phantomgrenzen: Wo die alten deutschen Grenzen sichtbar werden Preußen und das deutsche Kaiserreich beeinflussen noch immer, wie Menschen heute in der EU wählen. Absurd, oder? Wir zeigen erstmals fünf Phantomgrenzen Europas.

Mal wieder herausragender Datenjournalismus bei @zeit.de :
www.zeit.de/politik/2024...
Übrigens gibt es zu fast jeder hier untersuchten Grenze auch akademische Studien (kleiner Thread):

Economic vulnerability and life course-sensitive social policies Not registered yet?

shs.cairn.info/revue-sociol...

A nice discussion on economic vulnerability and life course-sensitive social policies by Anette Fasang featuring collaborative research with myself, @robgruijters.bsky.social, @emstruffolino.bsky.social and @hannahzagel.bsky.social.

Generative AI for Economic Research: LLMs Learn to Collaborate and Reason Founded in 1920, the NBER is a private, non-profit, non-partisan organization dedicated to conducting economic research and to disseminating research findings among academics, public policy makers, an...

This guide for integrating generative AI into your research is extremely useful. It is written for economists, but really of use to anyone doing science imo www.nber.org/papers/w3319...

Four Good Reads - Monday - November 25 Firm sorting, parental leave, fertility decline and pay gaps, social network class composition

It's Monday, so I wrote about four interesting new sociology papers.

- Firms and the motherhood penalty
- FMLA and women's managerial representation
- Fertility decline and gender pay gap
- Class network and attitudes

asocial.substack.com/p/four-good-...

Changes in Household Wealth Over the Process of Widowhood Across European Countries AbstractObjectives. Widowhood has been shown to decrease surviving spouses’ economic well-being. However, previous research has focused mostly on income-re

Changes in Household Wealth Over the Process of Widowhood Across 11 European Countries - Paper by @nicolekapelle.bsky.social & @zjvanwinkle.bsky.social -> academic.oup.com/psychsocgero... [open access]

Happy to be back at @cris-sciencespo.bsky.social as an associate professor for the first work day of the WIDOW ERC project. Thanks to all my mentors and 5 anonymous tenure letter writers!

Bonne rentrée !

This study demonstrated that even within European countries with the strongest welfare states, widowhood remains a considerable risk for surviving spouses’ economic wellbeing. New Working Paper by @zjvanwinkle.bsky.social @ajriekhoff.bsky.social & @kturek.bsky.social > www.netspar.nl/en/publicati...

Unwohlsein

<em>Journal of Marriage and Family</em> | NCFR Family Science Journal | Wiley Online Library Objective We propose a life course theoretical framework for understanding variation in family life courses between birth cohorts (historical time), societies (place), and social groups (social loca...

The life course approach: an interdisciplinary paradigm in family research often too abstract to guide hypotheses on family life variation. New Paper by @zjvanwinkle.bsky.social @robgruijters.bsky.social & Anette Fasang -> a life course theoretical framework with case studies doi.org/10.1111/jomf...

A theoretical framework for analyzing family life courses. Figure 1 re-organizes and extends core principles of the life course paradigm by specifying (1) possible interacting relationships between predictors and (2) family life course outcomes on different levels of analysis. We distinguish the macro, meso, and micro levels, which broadly resonate with the core principles of time and place, linked lives, and agency in Elder et al. (2003) and the dimension of “levels” in the life course cube (Bernardi et al., 2019).

Great theory paper by Fasang,
@robgruijters.bsky.social, and @zjvanwinkle.bsky.social from a field where I least expected it onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/full/10....

📣 JFR's Impact Factor has again increased since last year and now sits at 2.9 according to the 2024 Journal Citation Report by Clarivate Analytics. #JFamRes #openaccess #OpenScience #sociology #demography

Ich freue mich das gemeinsame Forschungsprojekt mit @zjvanwinkle.bsky.social und Martin Gädecke zu Familienkomplexitäten aus der Perspektive von Kindern und deren Folgen vorzustellen.

Vielen Dank für die Einladung! 😊

👇

Millennials’ Wealth Is Finally Growing — But So Is Inequality The relatively impressive financial state of Millennials as a whole is buoyed by the few that are wildly wealthy while the majority struggle.

Millennials' average wealth is now higher than that of previous generations at the same age, but it is also more unequally distributed. Check out our new contribution to
inequality.org (with @nicolekapelle.bsky.social @zjvanwinkle.bsky.social): inequality.org/research/gen...

Summer Program in Quantitative Methods of Social Research | Home The ICPSR Summer Program offers introductory to advanced courses in statistics, quantitative methods, and data analysis. We train students, faculty, and researchers.

Reminder! Still time to register for a 20-hour online workshop on “Sequenc Aanalysis in the Social Sciences”, July 22, 2024 – July 26, 2024 (9:00 AM-1:00 PM ET (US) at the 2024 @ICPSRSummer, with myself and @raabm.bsky.social! Full program here icpsr.umich.edu/web/pages/su...

In our new OA research report, @apolvinen.bsky.social , Satu Nivalainen, @susankuivalainen.bsky.social and I look at how people combine work and retirement in the Finnish pension system with a flexible old-age retirement age and how this is related to their income 1/4 doi.org/10.1093/work...

Write me if you have any questions or want to chat about the position !

Sciences Po Paris is recruiting an Assistant Professor of Sociology, affiliated to the CRIS. Inequality / stratification on comparative perspectives. Many subjects welcome: education, health, minorities, justice, AI, environment, labor market...
Job description: www.sciencespo.fr/osc/sites/sc...

Très intéressant 😉

Figure 1 from Polizzi/Dowd (2024), showing rates of mortality improvement in 2000-2009 and 2010-2019 for females and males in five high-income countries.

What’s the best way to analyze #lifeexpectancy stagnation in the US? 🤔 In PNAS, @drjenndowd.bsky.social & I share our thoughts on a recent paper by Abrams, Myrskylä & Mehta. https://doi.org/10.1073/pnas.2318276121
@oxforddemsci.bsky.social @nuffieldlibrary.bsky.social @mpidr.bsky.social (1)

🚨JOB ALERT 🚨

We're hiring 3 postdocs for the new Einstein Center Population Diversity. Work with a fantastic team of social scientists and biomedical researchers in the city of Berlin! Details: bit.ly/3RX0GpZ

Apply by Feb 7 & dm or email for questions.

Come and join us at the Department of Sociology at Stockholm University! We're hiring a Senior Lecturer in Sociology. This is a permanent faculty position, and demographers are also very welcome to apply.

Hey! Look at what Santa left for you under the tree! A call for application for a Postdoc in social sciences on socioeconomic polarization! Take a chance and apply. Last year, 100% of selected did so!
www.sciencespo.fr/axpo/applica...