IPCC way too slow which is additionally restrained by the consensus principle.
Models are wrong now in so many regards that it will have an impact on the warming rate.
Just ocean heat uptake and stratification is a huge issue in terms marine heatwaves and additional warming...
#climate
Supercharging the phenomenon of'searching where there's available light'? 😅
I'll be talking about economics, imagination, and 'Ricardo's Dream' at Goldsmiths Uni in London on 12 March at 4pm. Come along if you're in town! Cheers
@goldsmithsuol.bsky.social
www.gold.ac.uk/calendar/?id...
Art is 'Division Bell' by James Robert White www.jamesrobertwhiteart.com
My essay on what I call the productive pigeonhole principle, my answer to Searle's Chinese Room Argument.
It builds on my work relating computer theory to economics and the study of risk in biology.
Stevan Harnad was the last word on CRA but now I've added this
open.substack.com/pub/joestare...
That's a great question. I'm hoping to get some kind of community going to try and apply these ideas for entrepreneurs and researchers. I think the answers lie in actually applying these ideas.
If that's the case, maybe you'd find this article interesting which includes looking at the limitations of moral hazard from a systems pov. Any feedback of any kind except abuse are welcome!
open.substack.com/pub/joestare...
Essentially, in the article I argue that adaptation games are 'written' in the language of computer theory. No other formalism can represent the options as comprehensively.
#risk #economics #biology
This article shows how we can use computer theory to express the options Nature has beyond growth & failure.
It ties back to the diff between software & architecture as some options are in the architecture not the software.
These ideas are rel to how we use economics to understand growth options.
My new article Optimisation's Cryptographic Shadow is on Substack.
This is another potentially important duality of optimisation, which we may have overlooked, and which I think Nature may be exploiting to manage risk.
#optimization #math #risk #biology
open.substack.com/pub/joestare...
My new substack article is about how we can learn from biology about the incompleteness of economics, especially with respect to coping gracefully with the resource limits to growth.
Some species may self-regulate resource use to avoid population crashes.
Link in comments
#economics #biology
You've probably heard of the prisoner's dilemma.
But what if the simplest possible games of cooperation actually require a minimum of 3 players?
My article
www.turingmeta.org/post/what-if...
Comments welcome
#gametheory #risk #limitstogrowth
Here's my thought experiment on the difference between organism and machine.
www.turingmeta.org/post/a-hypot...
It posits the nature of the coupling of the entity to the world and the specific risk pattern generated is the key difference between a more machine like versus a more organismal entity.
Insurance is a business sector that can't ignore the bottom-line effects of climate chaos, which will likely increase. This means they are also a potentially key voice in driving policy change.
We've been talking with leaders in the field ... keep an eye out for more on this!
some fir-cone mushrooms growing out of a Douglas-fir cone
‘tis the season
We must adapt to protect our future.
We’re calling for a National Climate Resilience Plan to invest in:
📚 public education
🏗️ stronger infrastructure
🏘️ local funding
Sign the petition today: petition.parliament.uk/petitions/73...
#ClimateResilience #Adaptation #ClimateMajorityProject
Nature shows us how to adapt to threats.
This explores how the Climate Majority Project — and climate movements more widely can be more organismal in strategy and method.
A deeper dive into movement theory by Adam Timlett, Rupert Read & Joe Eastoe
→ climatemajorityproject.com/learning-from-nature/
It was a pleasure to work with @rupertread.bsky.social and Joe Eastoe on this piece for the @climatemajority.bsky.social on how it already does, and also can do more, to be inspired by Nature and the science of cutting-edge biology, in how it organises.
climatemajorityproject.com/learning-fro...
The ability of #cancer and immune cells to change their phenotype contributes to tumor progression and therapy resistance. @heidefordlab.bsky.social explores the mutual plasticity of cells in the tumor microenvironment and why this matters for the development of therapies 🧪 plos.io/4774Y7a
I'm told in the 1950s and 60s Peckham was a very popular destination in South London for entertainment and going out with lots of busy cafes, cinemas, good shopping for fashion probably clubs too. By the the 1980s it was already in a steep decline and the last of the big stores were closing.
Higher resolution. More grains.
The v. enjoyable 'Failure' by Stuart Firestein argues for plurality as a path to scientific discovery. Any formal comparisons of advantages of Plurality, Monism & Modularity as models? Aware of search, meta-search, QD, argument Bayes is meta model, a few other basic axioms in the literature. #math?
I'll be in London - at Bookmarks bookshop - speaking about Ricardo's Dream on 6th June at 6.30pm.
Free tickets at the link. Please join me
www.eventbrite.co.uk/e/authorsboo...
@philipcball.bsky.social hi, good to meet you at the science fair in Caterham the other day. Here's a link to a talk on how the meta modular organisation we see in biology addresses the problem of managing risk in a highly uncertain environment.
youtu.be/eCyAWZya5_g
My talk to the Decision-Making Under Deep Uncertainty Group to show how deep uncertainty is managed radically differently by biological organisms than how we humans tend to try to manage such risk.
#risk #biology #uncertainty #complexity #decision-making
youtu.be/eCyAWZya5_g
The Law of Regression to the Not so Mean:
Dealing with my paranoid streak in response to certain seemingly unlikely coincidences requires a thorough understanding of this law.
