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Julius Lagodny

@juliuslagodny

Data @ El Pato, Berlin | Visiting Fellow Data Lab Hertie School | PhD Cornell Govt | Data Infrastructure and Predictive (Market) Modelling using ML and AI | Voting, Migration, and Election Forecasts EU & US | he/him

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08.10.2023
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Latest posts by Julius Lagodny @juliuslagodny

Trump victory not a mandate for radical change, top election forecaster says | Donald Trump | The Guardian

Article discussing the highly accurate model by @peterenns.bsky.social @juliuslagodny.bsky.social et al. -- and a reminder that fundamentals go a long way towards explaining this year's presidential election. amp-theguardian-com.cdn.ampproject.org/c/s/amp.theg...

30.11.2024 18:22 πŸ‘ 6 πŸ” 3 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

My 2024 election forecast with @juliuslagodny.bsky.social, Jonathan Colner, and Anusha Kumar correctly forecasted 45/45 called states using Verasight (and other) data from 100 days before the Election: doi.org/10.1017/S104.... The 5 remaining states are all leaning in the direction of our forecast.

06.11.2024 12:58 πŸ‘ 6 πŸ” 7 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0

The IQMR Summer school classes are great! Loads of different courses on qualitative methods as well www.maxwell.syr.edu/research/cen...

07.11.2023 08:29 πŸ‘ 3 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

Very interesting insights into India's reactions to the Israel/Hamas war by my colleague @shubhakprasad.bsky.social πŸ‘‡

02.11.2023 13:35 πŸ‘ 4 πŸ” 3 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

My conversation with @claryc.bsky.social about India's position on Israel and Palestine after the 7 Oct Hamas terrorist attacks in @goodauth.bsky.social goodauthority.org/news/what-in...

02.11.2023 13:41 πŸ‘ 13 πŸ” 10 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 1
Preview
What India is saying about the Israel-Hamas war Have India’s relations with Israel shifted, as the Israel-Hamas war intensifies? I asked Shubha Kamala Prasad, an assistant professor of international relations at the Hertie School in Berlin, about...

new from @goodauth.bsky.social: goodauthority.org/news/what-in...

02.11.2023 12:17 πŸ‘ 6 πŸ” 4 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0