wow username truly checks out here
wow username truly checks out here
HUGE payrolls miss, wow
Feb Payrolls -92k vs +55k est/+130k prev
2m net revision -69k
Unemplomyent 4.4% vs 4.3% est/4.3% prev
Avg hourly earn YoY +3.8% vs +3.7% est+/3.7% prev
Jan Retail sales MoM -0.2% vs -0.3% est/0.0% prev
Control group est MoM +0.3% vs+0.3% est/-0.1% prev
RENMAC: β.. the labor market sucks.β
πΆ where have you gone dr funkenstein
a nation turns its lonely groove to youu πΆ
Happy #JobsDay!
At 8:30 am ET, @usbls.bsky.social delivers one of the most-important signals about how economy is changing
Forecastsβ center:
+50K jobs
Unemployment rate (UR) steady at 4.3%
of course, its probabalistic data compression !
hopefully markwayne can find someone else to run the kratom store, would be terrible for that critical infrastructure to shut down
its kinda funny that, as we are re-running the 80s (iran, dementia president, culture boring, etc), the big technology upending everyone's worldview is......Transformers......
NEW from me:
Taiwan's GDP is growing at a 23% annualized rate, driven by record exports as the country's semiconductor industry ramps up to meet AI demand
It's a modern economic miracle, but one that comes with major macroeconomic & geopolitical risksπ§΅
www.apricitas.io/p/taiwans-mo...
"that immanuel kant you like is coming back in style"
it is exactly like this
A picture of PEW poll on global attitude survey, saying the % who rate the morality and ethics of people in their country as good vs bad, where the US has the worst rankings and Canada the best
Americans: we live in a fallen stateβembroiled by sin, cheating, lying, and evil. You cannot trust anyone, not even those who claim to know you best
Canadians: I love my neighbors and my friends!
The war on Iran is causing gas and oil price explosions.
Our research shows: Fossil fuel prices are the most important prices for inflation and inequality. Energy price shocks are redistribution shocks. The poorer you are, the larger the share of income you spend on essentials.
the Knuth Claude paper is really cool bc it tracks pretty closely Trombley's account of how to think about what you are using with language models:
www.continuousvariation.com/p/what-we-ta...
Iβm reminded of that tweet that says that men were able to successfully cast themselves as the less emotional gender by redefining anger as not an emotion
Good news everyone!
You can now analyze your own posts for semantic novelty from the famous Sichu post, βanalyze the semantic noveltyβ
mino.mobi/novelty
The consequences of my most offbrand post wondering how to relate to people are left to the reader for evaluation
yeah tiktok is 1000% the checkout counter. national enquirer and mars bars
Arguably just as useful now as it was 15 years ago: www.ftrain.com/wwic
the web is a customer service medium, thats why its so unpleasant imo
like trying to have a good time with the other people in line to return a defective vacuum and a yeti rambler to target
Current events confirm the achieved wisdom of time-honored classics in the social sciences.
explains why they remain so uncertain about how long the war will go on for
hatred of the audience, a kind of bad faith
MPD body cam footage from DOGE raid on US Institute of Peace RECEIVED π
I'll be watching and sharing news and takeaways in the coming days. Stay tuned!
badass, mine removal is so important
all the more important that it be done by grown up academics than fandom types from the computer too
Total eclipse of the full blood moon is tonight, in case you havenβt checked in on the doom portents lately.
River or sankey diagram showing the allocation of profits from global oil and gas companies to quantiles of the US wealth size distribution via financial system intermediaries, such as asset managers, and categories of ultimate beneficiaries, such as business owners, pension funds and shareholders in listed companies. The scale is hundreds of billions of US dollars, and ultimately 50.4% of profits reaching the US personal wealth distribution go to the richest 1% of households.
π¨NEW PAPERπ¨
We all know the 2022 energy price shock fueled the cost of living crisis. It also caused a profit bonanza for the very rich. We show the US reaped the largest profits ($377bn) of any country. 50% went to the richest 1%, only 1% to the bottom 50%. Aπ§΅ www.sciencedirect.com/science/arti...
No discipline, no foresight, no concept of chain of consequences, no capacity to plan, no settled idea of desired end state, just endless rolling crises precipitated by the centre. Thatβs all the analysis I have for this moment in history.
pronounced "i'm a nuisance"
translation between domains as a big program