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Doug McNeall

@dougmcneall

I'm a climate scientist. | UK Met Office & University of Exeter | AI, UQ, emulation and ML in climate modelling |Countering mis/disinfo dougmcneall.com

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19.09.2023
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Latest posts by Doug McNeall @dougmcneall

Also, normalize having code ready to include a whole new year of data in the analysis immediately (they may have done this tbf, and I see you can download the R code)

06.03.2026 16:53 πŸ‘ 1 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0

My take is - this seems quite a complicated way to say β€œlook at that bloody great spike!”

06.03.2026 16:51 πŸ‘ 2 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0

Looks about right.

06.03.2026 16:37 πŸ‘ 1 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

I take that back, it's paywalled for some reason.

06.03.2026 14:40 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

This is the link that actually works, everybody.

06.03.2026 14:38 πŸ‘ 3 πŸ” 1 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 2

It does seem a big claim.

05.03.2026 12:53 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

Thanks! Shame they couldn’t find anyone decent to comment on the paper though lol.

05.03.2026 12:52 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0
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Global sea levels have been underestimated due to poor modelling, research suggests Analysis shows average levels are 30cm higher than thought, and up to 150cm in south-east Asia and Indo-Pacific

Anybody here seen any decent commentary on this? www.theguardian.com/environment/...

04.03.2026 19:45 πŸ‘ 5 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 2 πŸ“Œ 0

What the hell?

04.03.2026 07:49 πŸ‘ 1 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

Pretty certain that if I bought a packet of biscuits, I’d be pretty miffed if there weren’t any biscuits in it, even if there were tiny small print that said β€œdoesn’t contain biscuits.”

23.02.2026 19:38 πŸ‘ 5 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0

Regular online access is $492 for the week.

23.02.2026 19:37 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0
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Apparently, β€œon-demand content” is content that you demand. Except not the actual content you want.

23.02.2026 19:35 πŸ‘ 1 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 2 πŸ“Œ 0

I am reliably informed that β€œvirtual attendance” to OSM26 DOES NOT INCLUDE WATCHING THE TALKS, JUST DOWNLOADING THE SLIDES, and I would like to understand the decision making process for that. #agu #OSM26

23.02.2026 19:31 πŸ‘ 6 πŸ” 1 πŸ’¬ 2 πŸ“Œ 0

John, I was hoping this thread was going to get weirder and weirder until it turned out your version of MS word was haunted.

05.02.2026 18:05 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0

I think a valid use of AI might be ensuring the people I have sent the document to, in my own organisation, asking them to read the document, have permission to read the document.

03.02.2026 17:20 πŸ‘ 2 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

When it comes to climate change and net zero, it’s always wild to me that naked disinformation and climate denial works so well.

30.01.2026 19:19 πŸ‘ 7 πŸ” 1 πŸ’¬ 2 πŸ“Œ 0
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In our new paper in GMD @egu.eu by @seppelampe.bsky.social, we present BuRNN v1.0: an open-access, data-driven fire model. BuRNN largely outperforms current-generation process-based fire model across a range of metrics

model: github.com/VUB-HYDR/BuRNN
paper: gmd.copernicus.org/articles/19/...

29.01.2026 18:11 πŸ‘ 8 πŸ” 2 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

It's official πŸŽ‰
Visualising Climate 2026 is here! visualisingclimate.com

First international conference of its kind, it'll bring together artists, scientists, journalists all moved by the same desire to better communicate our changing climate 🌍

πŸ—“οΈ Join us in Bologna, Nov 4-6
#dataviz #climatecrisis

28.01.2026 13:17 πŸ‘ 55 πŸ” 27 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 1

It is not sure why this is happening or if it is a coincidence.

27.01.2026 11:28 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

TikTok videos with *certain content* are glitching across multiple countries overnight, after the change in ownership of the platform in the US.

27.01.2026 11:24 πŸ‘ 3 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 3 πŸ“Œ 0
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Number of US-style pickup trucks on UK roads up 92% in a decade, data shows Exclusive: Campaigners say β€˜menacing vehicles’ are putting children at risk owing to their large front blind zones

Very bad news for all other road users in the UK, especially those on foot and on bikes.

27.01.2026 06:58 πŸ‘ 335 πŸ” 74 πŸ’¬ 24 πŸ“Œ 11

This rain can do one tbh.

26.01.2026 17:08 πŸ‘ 1 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0
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Your regular reminder that when folks say "its cold outside where I live, what happened to global warming?" that the world is big, and weather still exists.

23.01.2026 19:39 πŸ‘ 238 πŸ” 77 πŸ’¬ 15 πŸ“Œ 10
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Northern high latitudes could become a net carbon source below 2 Β°C global warming Abstract. Under historical warming, terrestrial ecosystems within the northern high latitudes have been a net carbon sink, providing vital mitigation against anthropogenic emissions of CO2. However, t...

New preprint in Earth System Dynamics: When will the northern high latitudes become a net carbon source?

We evaluate using policy relevant SSP scenarios including overshoot, explicitly representing permafrostπŸŒ³β„οΈπŸ”₯πŸ”οΈ

➑️ doi.org/10.5194/egus...

@njsteinert.bsky.social @mathisoncamilla.bsky.social

23.01.2026 10:55 πŸ‘ 15 πŸ” 9 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0
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Australia’s worst heatwave since black summer made five times more likely by global heating, analysis finds Extreme heat β€˜is getting worse and whether we like it or not … there’s ultimately a limit to what we can actually physically cope with,’ scientist says

Australia’s worst heatwave since black summer made five times more likely by #climatecrisis, @wwattribution.bsky.social analysis finds

- Extreme heat β€˜is getting worse and there’s ultimately a limit to what we can physically cope with’ scientist says

www.theguardian.com/australia-ne...

23.01.2026 09:36 πŸ‘ 35 πŸ” 23 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0
A map of southeastern Australia showing the temperature anomalies during the heatwave.

A map of southeastern Australia showing the temperature anomalies during the heatwave.

While Australian heatwaves were some of the very first extreme events attributed to climate change, people still underestimate how much worse they got - killing more people than all other natural hazards combined. New @wwattribution.bsky.social study. www.worldweatherattribution.org/climate-chan...

22.01.2026 13:55 πŸ‘ 189 πŸ” 117 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 6

*checks bingo card*

16.01.2026 13:22 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0
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Carlo Buontempo, Director of the Copernicus Climate Change Service (C3S) @ECMWF emphasises how the global average temperature exceeded 1.5Β°C over a three-year period (2023–2025) – the first time in the #ERA5 record – bringing us closer to the Paris Agreement threshold.

@ecmwf.int

⬇️

16.01.2026 10:13 πŸ‘ 16 πŸ” 11 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 2

Peak shaving.

15.01.2026 14:58 πŸ‘ 1 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0
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State of the UK Weather and Climate Sector: Have your say Take this survey powered by surveymonkey.com. Create your own surveys for free.

We need your voice.

RMetS, with the Met Office, has launched the first State of the UK Weather & Climate Sector survey.

If you work or study in weather or climate, your insight matters.

www.surveymonkey.com/r/BYKG9QJ

Please share – a strong sector needs a strong evidence base.

15.01.2026 10:55 πŸ‘ 1 πŸ” 3 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0