“Immigration enforcement used to be a strong point for Republicans,” says @adamjentleson.bsky.social. “Republicans thought that there was no version of enforcement that people would reject, and they were wrong about that.”
Bill Melugin @BillMelugin_ NEW: Since yesterday's deadly shooting in MN, I've talked to more than half a dozen federal sources involved immigration enforcement, including several in senior positions, who all tell me they have grown increasingly uneasy & frustrated w/ some of the claims & narratives DHS pushed in the aftermath of the shooting. Specifically, I'm told there is extreme frustration with DHS officials going on TV and putting out statements claiming that Alex Pretti was intending to conduct a "massacre" of federal agents or wanted to carry out "maximum damage", even after numerous videos appeared to show those claims were inaccurate. While they say it was a terrible decision to show up with a gun and inject himself into a federal law enforcement operation, there is no indication Pretti was there to murder law enforcement, as videos appear to show he never drew his holstered firearm. These sources say this messaging from DHS officials has been catastrophic from a PR and morale perspective, as it is eroding trust and credibility - comparing it to when Democrats falsely claimed the border was closed or that Haitians were being whipped at the border. Some of these sources have described DHS’ response to the shooting as “a case study on how not to do crisis PR”, one said they are so “fed up” that they wish they could retire, another said “DHS is making the situation worse”, and another added that “DHS is wrong” and “we are losing this war, we are losing the base and the narrative." These sources all believe this is going to end up being what they call a “bad shoot”, a “shitty” situation that happened in seconds where agents likely heard “gun!”, then the disarmed firearm may have had an accidental discharge that spooked the agents, and they shot. The agents do not have the luxury of multiple slow motion angles - and had to make split second decisions. All of the sources support the mass deportation agenda, but have serious hesitations about the way it is …
Bill Melugin of Fox News may be the best-sourced journalist within ICE and CBP. If he's hearing this, the administration has a real problem.
... that they were right to support Lincoln, the moderate, in 1860 rather than Gerrit Smith, the abolitionist?
Just like LGBT activists supported Obama in 2008.
The movement and center-left politicians can work together to improve our country, just like we always have.
Zohran's relentless disciplined campaign was truly impressive - he brought every message/issue back to the cost of living and built a model for what bringing attention to a positive affordability message can look like
Proud to have Blue Rose do ad testing for the Zohran IE!
x.com/alimortell/s...
Base strategies are good at turning out your base. Just one small problem.
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A good time to say, since we're talking about the Biden years, that @samrosenfeld.bsky.social and I wrote a paper for APSA, to be presented Sat. at noon, about why the Biden-era Democrats turned to policy as their salvation, and why it didn't work out. Here's the first paragraph.
On the GEM/Yglesias spat. Morris is right: cong'l election outcomes are shaped by factors far more important the candidate moderation. Old news. But issue positioning is one of the few things that could affect the outcome that can be controlled by a candidate or party in an election year.
Gallego on Mamdani: "It's okay to say 'I disagree with this, this, and this, but I agree with that.' But the idea that we're just gonna throw out people that are really bringing in new ideas to the fold, exciting people, just because they're slightly to the right or to the left of us is dumb."
Ya small results = null result is pretty unpersuasive in this context. If the claim is "it doesn't matter if you put up a moderate or a non moderate in a purple district" , that claim seems to be dubious. If the claim is "putting up a moderate doesn't guarantee a win".. fair enough I guess?
three points is a lot!
Whispers: budget is there for a lot more officers and could not add more officers and give a raise and ask Jess Tisch to stay on and buy a lot of good will. And then focus on collective bargaining reform. There are ways to do this like Bernie did.
Kathy Hochul doing public nuclear power generation is pretty cool. She's been kinda great the last few months? www.wsj.com/business/ene...
Walz announces that Rep. Melissa Hortman is dead as a result of a "politically motivated assassination"
I know Yglesias isn't everyone's favorite, but it's amazing how angry many people -often with PhDs-get at a suggestion that there are tradeoffs in politics. Remarkably, many who purport to believe the republic is hanging by a thread are in the "no compromise with the voters!" camp.
This is why I emphasized "study public opinion accurately."
Progressives have invested huge sums of money in misleading polls to convince people that all of their ideas are popular when it isn't true and it's been very damaging.
bsky.app/profile/jere...
It shouldn't take a recession for Democrats to win over people who we're helping afford healthcare, food, and housing -- no more sticking our heads in the sand, please!!
Also: finding was replicated by the NYT
Dave Chappelle nailed it 🤣🎯
We’re setting ourselves up for part of the 2028 Dem primary being anti-establishment bro energy that’s rabidly pro-free trade against ideological leftists running back part of Bernie 2016.
Also the talking filibuster is good and we should go back to it, instead of the silent kind we have today where senators never even have to speak on the floor.
