Jeff Frame

Footage coming out of Union City, Michigan of the violent tornado that just hit the area.

The lake seen in this clip is frozen.

Footage provided by @WSLPIG on X.

#severewx #wxsky

#tornado last night near Bluff City, KS around 11:30pm #kswx

a tornado last night at 10:41pm just south of Wakita, Oklahoma

Generally density differences like this one do not make great chase chase days. It's bubbly and humid, but the cold air is coming and our winds just aren't SE enough for long lived supercells.

Surface weather map

The tornadic supercell in southern Michigan was right along the warm front

These storms have been riding the intersection between a differential heating boundary (dashed) and a diffuse warm front (solid). The lifting warm front keeps the storm supplied with moist inflow with little enough CINH to keep the tornado threat around.

Today is SPC's first explicit forecast of significant tornadoes possible (CIG1) in a tornado probability less than 10%. Based on radar data and environment a significant tornado may have occurred in parts of that forecast area. SPC could not have explicitly forecast this kind of scenario previously.

These tornadoes are occurring near a minimum in MLCIN, with less than 25 J/kg analyzed per mesoanalysis

After the occlusion, the first tornado dissipated east of the radar site, while a new updraft grew to the southeast, stretching vorticity along the gust front (other processes likely active as well) into a new tornado

Textbook occlusion as the rear-flank gust front surges eastward south of the tornado as the tornado deviates northward

This tornado is occluding right around the Vance AFB radar (KVNX)

Radar loop of a long lived tornado approaching the Vance Air Force Base radar site in NW Oklahoma

A screen capture of the Fairview ‘, OK tornado from Jeromy Carter.

A clear tornado debris signature southwest of Jet, OK. Not too far from the Vance AFB 88D.

Thanks!

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At 10:20 AM CST, 2 ENE Urbana [Champaign Co, IL] Mesonet reports Rain of 2.12 Inch. Event total starting March 3. #ilwx Link

I'll be a panelist on Fox Weather discussing the severe weather potential tomorrow at 9:15pm CT tonight

I’m often asked “did you see the storm over X - what’s going on?” I would then scramble to one of the many wx sites to make a sounding. What if there was a site that specialized in soundings?

Look no further…announcing the beta launch of illiniweather.web.illinois.edu/skewt-intera...

Feedback plz!

March 5th, 2022:

An outbreak of 19 tornadoes impacted the Midwest. Six of the tornadoes in Iowa were significant (EF2+). A long-track EF4 – 2022's first violent tornado – tracked through several communities south of Des Moines. Seven people were killed, and six were injured.

The environment isn't that impressive

Current models are depicting mainly disorganized storms over Illinois late Friday night

Parkland College | Ticketing - Kaler Lecture On the first Friday of the month at 7 pm, the Staerkel Planetarium becomes a forum for a local scientist to discuss their specialties. The series was named for UIUC astronomer Jim Kaler, who gave his ...

C-U folks: My friend @skydrama.bsky.social will present Sights and Sounds of Tornado Alley at the Parkland College Planetarium on Friday at 7pm. Tickets are $2:

parkland.universitytickets.com/w/event.aspx...

Some exciting news to share: very soon, NOAA Research will be hiring new federal employees into science positions across the agency! A couple of notes:

1) They will only be open on USAJobs for seven days.
2) Multiple positions at different sites may be in one posting.

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ILX issues Dense Fog Advisory till Mar 5, 6:00 AM CST Link

A photo of a slightly-structured supercell thunderstorm with a dark base hovering over a dry, yellow-brown field with a pile of large branches sticking up into the air.

First little supercell chase of the year in my backyard. This was my view of the severe-warned storm east of Atoka, OK at ~5:55 p.m. this evening. #okwx

Ope

In the modern era of naming Atlantic tropical cyclones (since 1979), 72 names have now been retired. The 2025 season used List V, which was first used in 1983 and every six years hence. With Melissa's retirement, it now leads the pack in terms of the number of retired names from a list at 15.
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Melissa joined quite a list of retired M storms, all since 1995:

Milton 2024 (tied strongest Gulf)
Michael 2018 (Cat. 5 Fla. Panhandle)
Maria 2017 (PR catastrophe)
Matthew 2016 (Haiti catastrophe)
Michelle 2001 (Cat 4 Cuba)
Mitch 1998 (C. America; 9,000+ killed)
Marilyn 1995 (PR, VI billion $)

There is the first ever 5# tornado risk. As a chaser, I’ve been waiting forever for this incredible change. I will be leaving tonight to cover tomorrow and Friday’s severe weather events in Texas & Oklahoma. #txwx #okwx

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ILX issues Summary Local Storm Report Link