Deborah Holloway

This image shows gauges with the Jan 31 - Feb 13, 2026 COVID Forecast scores for Canada, the provinces, and territories. From left to right: Canada: VERY HIGH - 13.1 Alberta: SEVERE - 18.6 British Columbia: HIGH - 6.3 Manitoba: SEVERE - 18.4 New Brunswick: SEVERE - 19.2 Newfoundland & Labrador: HIGH - 7.7 North: VERY HIGH - 13.9 Nova Scotia: VERY HIGH - 10.4 Ontario: VERY HIGH - 14.5 Prince Edward Island: SEVERE - 18.9 Quebec: VERY HIGH - 10.0 Saskatchewan: SEVERE - 18.7 A text box reads: 'The COVID Forecast is calculated from 3 equally weighted categories: 1) Current infections and spread; 2) Healthcare system impact; 3) Mortality. Within each category there is one sub-category for trends over the most recent week (Trends) and one sub-category for current parameter values relative to a specified baseline (Current values). Trends and current values are weighted equally when determining the final score for a category. All Forecast input data and sources are available here (https://datastudio.google.com/embed/u/0/reporting/42b886cf-d661-488e-b7d8-5c5836b55ab6/page/p_2yqs028mwc). Past Forecast scores are available in the table below. Forecast scores are grouped into 4 ranges: MODERATE (1 to <5, white), HIGH (6 to <10, yellow), VERY HIGH (10 to <15, orange), SEVERE (>15 red).'

Canadian COVID Forecast: Jan 31 - Feb 13, 2026

SEVERE: AB, MB, NB, PEI, SK
VERY HIGH: CAN, North, NS, ON, QC
HIGH: BC, NL
MODERATE: none

About 1 in 122 people in Canada are CURRENTLY infected.

This image shows gauges with the Jan 17 - Jan 30, 2026 COVID Forecast scores for Canada, the provinces, and territories. From left to right: Canada: VERY HIGH - 12.1 Alberta: VERY HIGH - 12.3 British Columbia: HIGH - 8.1 Manitoba: SEVERE - 19.2 New Brunswick: VERY HIGH - 11.2 Newfoundland & Labrador: VERY HIGH - 11.3 North: VERY HIGH - 12.9 Nova Scotia: SEVERE - 17.6 Ontario: VERY HIGH - 10.9 Prince Edward Island: HIGH - 9.8 Quebec: VERY HIGH - 12.3 Saskatchewan: SEVERE - 17.9 A text box reads: 'The COVID Forecast is calculated from 3 equally weighted categories: 1) Current infections and spread; 2) Healthcare system impact; 3) Mortality. Within each category there is one sub-category for trends over the most recent week (Trends) and one sub-category for current parameter values relative to a specified baseline (Current values). Trends and current values are weighted equally when determining the final score for a category. All Forecast input data and sources are available here (https://datastudio.google.com/embed/u/0/reporting/42b886cf-d661-488e-b7d8-5c5836b55ab6/page/p_2yqs028mwc). Past Forecast scores are available in the table below. Forecast scores are grouped into 4 ranges: MODERATE (1 to <5, white), HIGH (6 to <10, yellow), VERY HIGH (10 to <15, orange), SEVERE (>15 red).'

Canadian COVID Forecast: Jan 17 - Jan 30, 2026

SEVERE: MB, NS, SK
VERY HIGH: CAN, AB, NB, NL, North, ON, QC
HIGH: BC, PEI
MODERATE: none

About 1 in 95 people in Canada are CURRENTLY infected.

This image shows gauges with the Dec 20, 2025 - Jan 2, 2026 Forecast scores for Canada, the provinces, & territories. From left to right: Canada: HIGH - 10.0 Alberta: VERY HIGH - 12.4 British Columbia: HIGH - 7.6 Manitoba: VERY HIGH - 10.3 New Brunswick: VERY HIGH - 10.5 Newfoundland & Labrador: HIGH - 9.1 North: VERY HIGH - 10.3 Nova Scotia: HIGH - 9.9 Ontario: HIGH - 9.2 Prince Edward Island: HIGH - 6.6 Quebec: VERY HIGH - 10.4 Saskatchewan: VERY HIGH - 14.0 A text box reads: "The COVID Forecast is calculated from 3 equally weighted categories: 1) Current infections and spread; 2) Healthcare system impact; 3) Mortality. Within each category there is one sub-category for trends over the most recent week (Trends) and one sub-category for current parameter values relative to a specified baseline (Current values). Trends and current values are weighted equally when determining the final score for a category. All Forecast input data and sources are available here (https://datastudio.google.com/embed/u/0/reporting/42b886cf-d661-488e-b7d8-5c5836b55ab6/page/p_2yqs028mwc). Past Forecast scores are available in the table below. Forecast scores are grouped into 4 ranges: MODERATE (1 to <5, white), HIGH (6 to <10, yellow), VERY HIGH (10 to <15, orange), SEVERE (>15 red)."

Canadian COVID Forecast: Dec 20, 2025 - Jan 2, 2026

SEVERE: none
VERY HIGH: AB, MB, NB, North, QC, SK
HIGH: CAN, BC, NL, NS, ON, PEI
MODERATE: none

About 1 in 55 people in Canada are CURRENTLY infected.

This image shows gauges with the Nov 22 - Dec 5, 2025 Forecast scores for Canada, the provinces, & territories. From left to right: Canada: HIGH - 9.4 Alberta: SEVERE - 15.1 British Columbia: HIGH - 7.2 Manitoba: VERY HIGH - 13.9 New Brunswick: VERY HIGH - 14.0 Newfoundland & Labrador: HIGH - 7.9 North: VERY HIGH - 11.1 Nova Scotia: VERY HIGH - 14.3 Ontario: HIGH - 8.2 Prince Edward Island: HIGH - 8.8 Quebec: HIGH - 8.7 Saskatchewan: VERY HIGH - 14.5 A text box reads: "The COVID Forecast is calculated from 3 equally weighted categories: 1) Current infections and spread; 2) Healthcare system impact; 3) Mortality. Within each category there is one sub-category for trends over the most recent week (Trends) and one sub-category for current parameter values relative to a specified baseline (Current values). Trends and current values are weighted equally when determining the final score for a category. All Forecast input data and sources are available here (https://datastudio.google.com/embed/u/0/reporting/42b886cf-d661-488e-b7d8-5c5836b55ab6/page/p_2yqs028mwc). Past Forecast scores are available in the table below. Forecast scores are grouped into 4 ranges: MODERATE (1 to <5, white), HIGH (6 to <10, yellow), VERY HIGH (10 to <15, orange), SEVERE (>15 red)."

Canadian COVID Forecast: Nov 22 - Dec 5, 2025

SEVERE: AB
VERY HIGH: MB, NB, North, NS, SK
HIGH: CAN, BC, NL, ON, PEI, QC
MODERATE: none

About 1 in 161 people in Canada are CURRENTLY infected.

This image shows gauges with the Nov 8 - Nov 21, 2025 Forecast scores for Canada, the provinces, & territories. From left to right: Canada: VERY HIGH - 10.1 Alberta: SEVERE - 16.2 British Columbia: HIGH - 8.4 Manitoba: VERY HIGH - 11.9 New Brunswick: VERY HIGH - 14.5 Newfoundland & Labrador: VERY HIGH - 10.1 North: VERY HIGH - 11.5 Nova Scotia: VERY HIGH - 12.7 Ontario: HIGH - 9.2 Prince Edward Island: HIGH - 7.7 Quebec: VERY HIGH - 10.1 Saskatchewan: VERY HIGH - 13.1 A text box reads: "The COVID Forecast is calculated from 3 equally weighted categories: 1) Current infections and spread; 2) Healthcare system impact; 3) Mortality. Within each category there is one sub-category for trends over the most recent week (Trends) and one sub-category for current parameter values relative to a specified baseline (Current values). Trends and current values are weighted equally when determining the final score for a category. All Forecast input data and sources are available here (https://datastudio.google.com/embed/u/0/reporting/42b886cf-d661-488e-b7d8-5c5836b55ab6/page/p_2yqs028mwc). Past Forecast scores are available in the table below. Forecast scores are grouped into 4 ranges: MODERATE (1 to <5, white), HIGH (6 to <10, yellow), VERY HIGH (10 to <15, orange), SEVERE (>15 red)."

Canadian COVID Forecast: Nov 8 - Nov 21, 2025

SEVERE: AB
VERY HIGH: CAN, MB, NB, NL, North, NS, QC, SK
HIGH: BC, ON, PEI
MODERATE: none

About 1 in 118 people in Canada are CURRENTLY infected.

This image shows gauges with the Oct 25 - Nov 7, 2025 Forecast scores for Canada, the provinces, & territories. From left to right: Canada: VERY HIGH - 10.5 Alberta: VERY HIGH - 13.0 British Columbia: VERY HIGH - 10.5 Manitoba: VERY HIGH - 10.7 New Brunswick: SEVERE - 15.1 Newfoundland & Labrador: VERY HIGH - 12.2 North: VERY HIGH - 11.7 Nova Scotia: SEVERE - 15.4 Ontario: VERY HIGH - 10.3 Prince Edward Island: VERY HIGH - 10.2 Quebec: HIGH - 9.4 Saskatchewan: SEVERE - 15.9 A text box reads: "The COVID Forecast is calculated from 3 equally weighted categories: 1) Current infections and spread; 2) Healthcare system impact; 3) Mortality. Within each category there is one sub-category for trends over the most recent week (Trends) and one sub-category for current parameter values relative to a specified baseline (Current values). Trends and current values are weighted equally when determining the final score for a category. All Forecast input data and sources are available here (https://datastudio.google.com/embed/u/0/reporting/42b886cf-d661-488e-b7d8-5c5836b55ab6/page/p_2yqs028mwc). Past Forecast scores are available in the table below. Forecast scores are grouped into 4 ranges: MODERATE (1 to <5, white), HIGH (6 to <10, yellow), VERY HIGH (10 to <15, orange), SEVERE (>15 red)."

Canadian COVID Forecast: Oct 25 - Nov 7, 2025

SEVERE: NB, NS, SK
VERY HIGH: CAN, AB, BC, MB, NL, North, ON, PEI
HIGH: QC
MODERATE: none

About 1 in 126 people in Canada are CURRENTLY infected.

This image shows gauges with the Oct 11 - Oct 24, 2025 Forecast scores for Canada, the provinces, & territories. From left to right: Canada: HIGH - 8.9 Alberta: HIGH - 7.0 British Columbia: HIGH - 8.4 Manitoba: VERY HIGH - 14.9 New Brunswick: VERY HIGH - 11.3 Newfoundland & Labrador: SEVERE - 17.0 North: VERY HIGH - 12.3 Nova Scotia: SEVERE - 16.3 Ontario: HIGH - 7.5 Prince Edward Island: VERY HIGH - 11.8 Quebec: HIGH - 10.0 Saskatchewan: SEVERE - 17.0 A text box reads: "The COVID Forecast is calculated from 3 equally weighted categories: 1) Current infections and spread; 2) Healthcare system impact; 3) Mortality. Within each category there is one sub-category for trends over the most recent week (Trends) and one sub-category for current parameter values relative to a specified baseline (Current values). Trends and current values are weighted equally when determining the final score for a category. All Forecast input data and sources are available here (https://datastudio.google.com/embed/u/0/reporting/42b886cf-d661-488e-b7d8-5c5836b55ab6/page/p_2yqs028mwc). Past Forecast scores are available in the table below. Forecast scores are grouped into 4 ranges: MODERATE (1 to <5, white), HIGH (6 to <10, yellow), VERY HIGH (10 to <15, orange), SEVERE (>15 red)."

Canadian COVID Forecast: Oct 11 - Oct 24, 2025
SEVERE: NL, NS, SK
VERY HIGH: MB, NB, North, PEI
HIGH: CAN, AB, BC, ON, QC
MODERATE: none

About 1 in 95 people in Canada are CURRENTLY infected.

This image shows gauges with the Sep 27 - Oct 10, 2025 Forecast scores for Canada, the provinces, & territories. From left to right: Canada: HIGH - 7.5 Alberta: HIGH - 6 British Columbia: HIGH - 5.8 Manitoba: VERY HIGH - 12.1 New Brunswick: HIGH - 6.3 Newfoundland & Labrador: VERY HIGH - 10.2 North: HIGH - 9.2 Nova Scotia: VERY HIGH - 11.6 Ontario: HIGH - 6.3 Prince Edward Island: HIGH - 7 Quebec: HIGH - 9.6 Saskatchewan: VERY HIGH - 12.4 A text box reads: "The COVID Forecast is calculated from 3 equally weighted categories: 1) Current infections and spread; 2) Healthcare system impact; 3) Mortality. Within each category, there is one sub-category for trends over the most recent week (Trends) and one sub-category for current parameter values relative to a specified baseline (Current values). Trends and current values are weighted equally when determining the final score for a category. All Forecast input data and sources are available here (https://datastudio.google.com/embed/u/0/reporting/42b886cf-d661-488e-b7d8-5c5836b55ab6/page/p_2yqs028mwc). Past Forecast scores are available in the table below. Forecast scores are grouped into 4 ranges: MODERATE (1 to <5, white), HIGH (6 to <10, yellow), VERY HIGH (10 to <15, orange), SEVERE (>15 red)."

Canadian COVID Forecast: Sep 27 - Oct 10, 2025

SEVERE: none
VERY HIGH: MB, NL, NS, SK
HIGH: CAN, AB, BC, NB, North, ON, PEI, QC,
MODERATE: none

About 1 in 60 people in Canada are CURRENTLY infected.

This image shows gauges with the September 13-26, 2025 COVID Forecast scores for Canada, the provinces, & territories. From left to right: Canada: 13.4 - VERY HIGH Alberta: 14.8 - VERY HIGH British Columbia: 14.1 - VERY HIGH Manitoba: 14.4 - VERY HIGH New Brunswick: 14.6 - VERY HIGH Newfoundland and Labrador: 15.8 - SEVERE North: 14.1 - VERY HIGH Nova Scotia: 14.7 - VERY HIGH Ontario: 14.9 - VERY HIGH Prince Edward Island: 15.6 - SEVERE Quebec: 9.8 - HIGH Saskatchewan: 15.1 - SEVERE A text box reads: "The COVID Forecast is calculated from 3 equally weighted categories: 1) Current infections and spread; 2) Healthcare system impact; 3) Mortality. Within each category, there is one sub-category for trends over the most recent week (Trends) and one sub-category for current parameter values relative to a specified baseline (Current values). Trends and current values are weighted equally when determining the final score for a category. All Forecast input data and sources are available here (https://datastudio.google.com/embed/u/0/reporting/42b886cf-d661-488e-b7d8-5c5836b55ab6/page/p_2yqs028mwc). Past Forecast scores are available in the table below. Forecast scores are grouped into 4 ranges: MODERATE (1 to <5, white), HIGH (6 to <10, yellow), VERY HIGH (10 to <15, orange), SEVERE (>15, red)."

Canadian COVID Forecast: Sep 13 - Sep 26, 2025
Severe: NL, PEI, SK
Very high: CAN, AB, BC, MB, NB, North, NS, ON
High: QC
Moderate: none

About 1 in 81 people in Canada are CURRENTLY infected.

Canadian COVID Forecast Aug 30 - Sep 12 2025
CANADA

High [No change]

About 1 in 65 people in Canada are CURRENTLY infected.

Compared to lowest point of pandemic in Canada:

-Infections ~7.2 higher
-Long COVID ~7.7 higher
-Hospitalizations ~10.7 higher
-Deaths ~10.9 higher

What to do if you are Covid positive. A new section in the toolbox with some useful resources to keep other members of your household safe and suggestions for managing the acute phase of the infection.
covidtoolbox.com/category/cov...

This image shows gauges with the Aug 16-Aug 29, 2025 COVID Forecast scores for Canada, the provinces, & territories. From left to right: Canada: 4.2 - MODERATE Alberta: 7.0 - HIGH British Columbia: 3.5 - MODERATE Manitoba: 3.7 - MODERATE New Brunswick: 3.5 - MODERATE Newfoundland and Labrador: 3.4 - MODERATE North: 4.2 - MODERATE Nova Scotia: 3.4 - MODERATE Ontario: 4.1 - MODERATE Prince Edward Island: 3.7 - MODERATE Quebec: 4.2 - MODERATE Saskatchewan: 3.6 - MODERATE A text box reads: "The COVID Forecast is calculated from 3 equally weighted categories: 1) Current infections and spread; 2) Healthcare system impact; 3) Mortality. Within each category there is one sub-category for trends over the most recent week (Trends) and one sub-category for current parameter values relative to a specified baseline (Current values). Trends and current values are weighted equally when determining the final score for a category. All Forecast input data and sources are available here (https://datastudio.google.com/embed/u/0/reporting/42b886cf-d661-488e-b7d8-5c5836b55ab6/page/p_2yqs028mwc). Past Forecast scores are available in the table below. Forecast scores are grouped into 4 ranges: MODERATE (1 to <5, white), HIGH (6 to <10, yellow), VERY HIGH (10 to <15, orange), SEVERE (>15 red).

Canadian COVID Forecast: Aug 16-Aug 29, 2025

SEVERE: none
VERY HIGH: none
HIGH: AB
MODERATE: CAN, BC, MB, NB, NL, North, NS, ON, PEI, QC, SK

About 1 in 121 people in Canada are CURRENTLY infected.

This image shows gauges with the Jun 28-Jul 11, 2025 COVID Forecast scores for Canada, the provinces, & territories. From left to right: Canada: 4.8 - MODERATE Alberta: 5.0 - MODERATE British Columbia: 4.4 - MODERATE Manitoba: 4.2 - MODERATE New Brunswick: 4.2 - MODERATE Newfoundland and Labrador: 4.3 - MODERATE North: 4.5 - MODERATE Nova Scotia: 4.5 - MODERATE Ontario: 5.2 - HIGH Prince Edward Island: 4.4 - MODERATE Quebec: 4.8 - MODERATE Saskatchewan: 4.3 - MODERATE A text box reads: "The COVID Forecast is calculated from 3 equally weighted categories: 1) Current infections and spread; 2) Healthcare system impact; 3) Mortality. Within each category there is one sub-category for trends over the most recent week (Trends) and one sub-category for current parameter values relative to a specified baseline (Current values). Trends and current values are weighted equally when determining the final score for a category. All Forecast input data and sources are available here (https://datastudio.google.com/embed/u/0/reporting/42b886cf-d661-488e-b7d8-5c5836b55ab6/page/p_2yqs028mwc). Past Forecast scores are available in the table below. Forecast scores are grouped into 4 ranges: MODERATE (1 to <5, white), HIGH (6 to <10, yellow), VERY HIGH (10 to <15, orange), SEVERE (>15 red)."

Canadian COVID Forecast: Jun 28-Jul 11, 2025

SEVERE: none
VERY HIGH: none
HIGH: ON
MODERATE: CAN, AB, BC, MB, NB, NL, North, NS, PEI, QC, SK

About 1 in 120 people in Canada are CURRENTLY infected.

Wayside: A Serial Novel - Episode 14 This is a work of fiction. Unless otherwise indicated, all the names, characters, businesses, places, events and incidents in this book are either the product of the author's imagination or used in a ...

Wayside - a serial novel for the Covid-Conscious community

Episode 14 - Remember

The Founders' Council discusses ideas for a day of remembrance at Wayside, unrest grows over the quarantine protocol, and Olivia shares a big secret with Ben.
guinesspig.ghost.io/wayside-a-se...

Invisable Aches Invisable Aches

New Audio story, "Invisible Aches," now available.
stories.longcovidland.com/watch/l2JuN_72

LC/DC Long Covid DC March - Long Covid Archive The LC/DC Long Covid DC march on March 15, 2024 brought together a grassroots community of patients, allies and others at the Lincoln Memorial. Watch the Video.

New material added to LC/DC Long Covid March entry: Video: "Public Education Campaigns."
longcovidarchive.com/lc-dc-long-c...

The More You Get Infected, the More Likely You’ll Get Long COVID

People still think long COVID is rare. Like it only happens to anxious people. Or people who “did it wrong.” Like there’s some moral math to this. If you got sick, it’s because you panicked too much. (1/18)

Wayside: A Serial Novel - Episode 13 This is a work of fiction. Unless otherwise indicated, all the names, characters, businesses, places, events and incidents in this book are either the product of the author's imagination or used in a ...

Wayside: A serial novel for the Covid-Conscious community, episode 13: Too Much

Siado struggles with a new mental health diagnosis, Chris is torn over the idea of seeing his brother and mother again, Josina shares a secret with a fellow Waysider.
guinesspig.ghost.io/wayside-a-se...

LC/DC Long Covid DC March - Long Covid Archive All materials in the archive were voluntarily submitted for inclusion by the organizer, founder, author, creator, or person/entity authorized to share the

New material added to LC/DC Long Covid March entry: buttons created by a #LongCovid patient and distributed at no cost to participants.
longcovidarchive.com/lc-dc-long-c...

Different Virus, Same Problem Different Virus, Same Problem Froglet80 In late 2019, when I heard the first reports of a new virus in China that was being compared to SARS, I knew the truth about it.  That 90 second story at the en...

New text story, "Different Virus, Same Problem" now available.

longcovidland.com/different-vi...

I was fine until I wasn’t I was fine until I wasn’t.Wren K. I was fine until one day I wasn’t. But in retrospect, I’d been sick for much longer than I realized. I had just believed th  government agencies that told us this was...

New text story, "I Was Fine Until I Wasn't" now available.
longcovidland.com/i-was-fine-u...

Home LONG COVID LAND Long Covid Land was created and is maintained by Long Covid patients committed to preserving Long Covid stories and resources. Others have tried to shape the narrative around Long Covi...

In the meantime, with what time we have left, my husband and I are all about preserving the voices, the truth, and the reality of LC. That's why we built longcovidland.com so our stories won't be buried, too. Also, stay tuned. We may be old but we are NOT done yet.

Five years of lies, abandonment, gaslighting, frustration, and despair. Our ages are why I say this about us, specifically. That said, I agree with my friend Dave who often says that this problem is solvable. Absolutely!

Thanks to the liars, minimizers, grifters, conflation monsters, and careerists (in some cases, all rolled into one person), I have little hope that approved treatments, let alone a cure, for #LongCovid will come in time for me or my husband. Five lost years. Five years of being buried alive.

Covidtoolbox The Covid Toolbox is where you can find a range of content, such as articles, selected links, helpful graphics, and informative videos. Covid is not over.

Brilliant new resource, "(In)Frequently Asked Questions: COVID-19: Why and How to Protect Children and Families from Covid19" by Renee Despres PhD, MPH, now available at covidtoolbox.com/resources/

It's a nightmare, a horror movie. Sigh.

Blacked out everywhere. We are so hooped.