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Joshua G. Schraiber

@jgschraiber

Evolutionary biologist, computational biologist, statistician. I like to develop mathematical models of evolutionary process and see how they fit to data. I also like cities where building apartments is legal.

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Latest posts by Joshua G. Schraiber @jgschraiber

dipshit donald really did start ww3 huh

06.03.2026 17:20 πŸ‘ 88 πŸ” 6 πŸ’¬ 8 πŸ“Œ 0

We need to quadruple federal R&D.

We could live in a world of miracles like these. We can push death back.

Instead we buy bombs and ships to kill without reason.

06.03.2026 17:10 πŸ‘ 17 πŸ” 4 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0

Changes in your price at the pump is not why I think you should care about bombing elementary schools.

06.03.2026 17:04 πŸ‘ 2 πŸ” 1 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

And omg it someone even hints in the direction of complaining that parking is too expensive I have to use every last ounce self control I have in order to not beat them over the head with The High Cost of Free Parking

06.03.2026 17:02 πŸ‘ 1 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

I swear to God when I see or hear someone complain about gasoline prices it makes me go ballistic. I lose all self control

06.03.2026 17:01 πŸ‘ 3 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 2 πŸ“Œ 0

This policy needs to be revisited. A couple thousand of these cases around the country in last few months. Many filings inaccessible.
Even causes problems for US Attorney offices because THEY can't see the filings remotely unless the specific attorney is assigned to that case

06.03.2026 16:56 πŸ‘ 143 πŸ” 39 πŸ’¬ 2 πŸ“Œ 0
In sharp contrast to the extraordinary harm to defendants, a stay will not substantially
injure the plaintiffs. For any plaintiff who is an importer, even if a stay is entered and we do not
prevail on appeal, plaintiffs will assuredly receive payment on their refund with interest.
β€œ[T]here is virtually no risk” to any importer that they β€œwould not be made whole” should they
prevail on appeal. See Sunpreme Inc. v. United States, 2017 WL 65421, at *5 (Ct. Int’l Trade
Jan. 5, 2017). The most β€œharm” that could incur would be a delay in collecting on deposits. This
harm is, by definition, not irreparable. See Hughes Network Sys., Inc. v. InterDigital Commc’ns
Corp., 17 F.3d 691, 694 (4th Cir. 1994). Plaintiffs will not lose their entitlement to refund, plus
interest, if the judgment is stayed, and they are guaranteed payment by defendants should the
Court’s decision be upheld. And defendants do not oppose the reliquidation of any entries of
goods subject to IEEPA duties paid by plaintiffs that are ultimately found to be unlawful after
appeal. Defendants have filed a stipulation to that effect with other importer-plaintiffs in
Princess Awesome v. CBP, No. 25-cv-78 (Ct. Int’l Trade) ECF No. 17.

In sharp contrast to the extraordinary harm to defendants, a stay will not substantially injure the plaintiffs. For any plaintiff who is an importer, even if a stay is entered and we do not prevail on appeal, plaintiffs will assuredly receive payment on their refund with interest. β€œ[T]here is virtually no risk” to any importer that they β€œwould not be made whole” should they prevail on appeal. See Sunpreme Inc. v. United States, 2017 WL 65421, at *5 (Ct. Int’l Trade Jan. 5, 2017). The most β€œharm” that could incur would be a delay in collecting on deposits. This harm is, by definition, not irreparable. See Hughes Network Sys., Inc. v. InterDigital Commc’ns Corp., 17 F.3d 691, 694 (4th Cir. 1994). Plaintiffs will not lose their entitlement to refund, plus interest, if the judgment is stayed, and they are guaranteed payment by defendants should the Court’s decision be upheld. And defendants do not oppose the reliquidation of any entries of goods subject to IEEPA duties paid by plaintiffs that are ultimately found to be unlawful after appeal. Defendants have filed a stipulation to that effect with other importer-plaintiffs in Princess Awesome v. CBP, No. 25-cv-78 (Ct. Int’l Trade) ECF No. 17.

Remember 9 months and 6 days ago, when there was "virtually no risk to any importer that they would not be made whole"? Peperidge Farm remembers.
storage.courtlistener.com/recap/gov.us...

06.03.2026 16:57 πŸ‘ 21 πŸ” 7 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0

Lol people are suing to be able to bet on death, that's fun

*KALSHI SUED OVER IRAN LEADER PREDICTION MARKET CARVEOUT: BLAW

06.03.2026 16:37 πŸ‘ 274 πŸ” 33 πŸ’¬ 15 πŸ“Œ 8
French Laundry chef again scolds Bay Area town over affordable housing project

French Laundry chef again scolds Bay Area town over affordable housing project

lmfao Thomas Keller showing up to a community meeting in his chefs jacket to complain about affordable housing being built near his 3 Michelin star restaurant is just beyond parody. what a piece of shit

06.03.2026 14:23 πŸ‘ 1930 πŸ” 296 πŸ’¬ 51 πŸ“Œ 57

The tariff thing isn’t cbp saying they can’t issue refunds, it’s saying it’s going to take them more time than the judges order has provided.

Can believe that or not (and no denying this is a problem of the admins own making) but thus far they aren’t saying β€œno refunds.”

06.03.2026 16:11 πŸ‘ 10 πŸ” 3 πŸ’¬ 2 πŸ“Œ 0

Evil

06.03.2026 16:16 πŸ‘ 3 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

CBP calculates that doing it manually would take 4.43 million man-hours, which to be fair is a hell of a lot.

06.03.2026 16:03 πŸ‘ 115 πŸ” 11 πŸ’¬ 14 πŸ“Œ 7
Post image

Weak jobs numbers => The Fed is more likely to consider rate cuts, sooner.

06.03.2026 16:03 πŸ‘ 158 πŸ” 38 πŸ’¬ 15 πŸ“Œ 3

It was me!

Some times payroll data is bad. It was bad this month.

But the idea that an economy with 4.4% unemployment, 80.7% prime age employment, and 2.4% inflation is "destroyed" is very silly.

06.03.2026 15:06 πŸ‘ 211 πŸ” 20 πŸ’¬ 23 πŸ“Œ 8
Once the review of an entry is complete and any manual duty calculations completed (see paragraph 18 above), it takes an IS or ES approximately 5 minutes to process an individual refund, including amending, liquidating and certifying the refund for each entry. The refund processing for the 53,173,939 entries with IEEPA duties will require 4,431,161 man hours for CBP to complete.

Once the review of an entry is complete and any manual duty calculations completed (see paragraph 18 above), it takes an IS or ES approximately 5 minutes to process an individual refund, including amending, liquidating and certifying the refund for each entry. The refund processing for the 53,173,939 entries with IEEPA duties will require 4,431,161 man hours for CBP to complete.

At 5 minutes per refund, it will take 506 years of staff time to resolve this.

06.03.2026 15:56 πŸ‘ 307 πŸ” 74 πŸ’¬ 47 πŸ“Œ 41

That feeling when you owe 53,173,939 refunds, with interest ...

06.03.2026 15:49 πŸ‘ 402 πŸ” 118 πŸ’¬ 16 πŸ“Œ 14
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NEW: Federal judges have spent months ordering ICE to give detainees a chance for release in bond hearings.

Now, they're worried that the bond hearings themselves β€” conducted by Executive Branch immigration judges β€” are a farce.

www.politico.com/news/2026/03...

06.03.2026 15:07 πŸ‘ 979 πŸ” 441 πŸ’¬ 29 πŸ“Œ 24

In November 2024 the American people said they prefer losing their jobs to prices being slightly higher, so now their votes are paying off

06.03.2026 15:47 πŸ‘ 2 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

The United States government is illegally committing tax theft

06.03.2026 15:40 πŸ‘ 317 πŸ” 78 πŸ’¬ 7 πŸ“Œ 3

Me, dumb and politically correct: Firing on unarmed ships or double-tap military strikes on schools are bad things.

06.03.2026 15:38 πŸ‘ 1224 πŸ” 228 πŸ’¬ 65 πŸ“Œ 5

It takes a real genius to simultaneously make shit up and also admit that your policy choices are holding back economic growth. I wonder why he wasn't picked for Fed Chair.

06.03.2026 15:37 πŸ‘ 1 πŸ” 1 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

Exactly right.

The Civil Rights Division was able to show that it took exhaustive (and exhausting) work to litigate even the most obvious violations of the voting rights protections in the 1957 and 1960 acts, which ultimately convinced Congress and then SCOTUS that a much broader law was needed.

06.03.2026 15:25 πŸ‘ 602 πŸ” 176 πŸ’¬ 6 πŸ“Œ 2

7/ In reality, my colleagues still inside NIH tell me that their assessments are largely ignored.

Once a grant or application is picked up by the tool, they are almost never able to move the grant forward as is - regardless of the scientific justification.

06.03.2026 14:35 πŸ‘ 37 πŸ” 11 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 3

6/ On paper, a computational text analysis tool is supposed to screen grants and identify words potentially associated with misalignment with agency priorities.

Then, actual human scientists are supposed to look at the screen positive grants and use their scientific judgement to make a call.

06.03.2026 14:35 πŸ‘ 30 πŸ” 3 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 2

Current NIH leadership want you to think they are using rigorous, consistent & scientific processes to screen studies to align them with agency priorities.

But the process that they have put down on paper is a sham.

It’s important to know NIH is not following its own guidance. Here’s why:

🧡1/

06.03.2026 14:35 πŸ‘ 114 πŸ” 70 πŸ’¬ 4 πŸ“Œ 5
Preview
Join me at the next No Kings Day

March 28 will be the largest nonviolent protest in American history. Find your local No Kings event to stand up for our communities and reject Trump's fear and violence. app.sosha.ai/s/Ja4OZjQB

06.03.2026 05:18 πŸ‘ 7 πŸ” 6 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

"Iran has a literal geographic veto button on global trade" should be the first lesson people learn about it. Now the entire world is going to pay for the US Right deciding they can pray away the goddamn ocean.

06.03.2026 03:40 πŸ‘ 204 πŸ” 24 πŸ’¬ 3 πŸ“Œ 2
Preview
Slurs Filled a Chat Created by a Republican Party Official in Florida

Once again the greatest danger to America is college students putting pronouns in their bios

06.03.2026 02:49 πŸ‘ 309 πŸ” 47 πŸ’¬ 10 πŸ“Œ 30

I truly feel like I've grown numb. I don't know how to sustain the outrage at horrific, illegal, evil acts being undertaken day after day after day

06.03.2026 04:53 πŸ‘ 1 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0
Page 2 of letter by Daniel Swain. It begins: constructive suggestions regarding how the already remarkable institutional efficiency and societal impact of NCAR could be further enhanced through increased (not decreased) federal support in the years to come.
Please note: To ensure the highest level of technical rigor, this response focuses exclusively on the core atmospheric and natural hazard science topics within the author’s primary domain of expertise; for this reason, I have omitted a response to Topic 4 (Space Weather)."


NCAR weather modeling and atmospheric observing capabilities
a) Management and operations of weather-related observational platforms, modeling and science as a stand-alone activity.
The proposed management of weather-related research as a stand-alone activity is a scientifically regressive path that ignores the fundamental physical reality of the Earth system. Modern atmospheric science has demonstrated (largely, it is worth noting, due to groundbreaking researc

Page 2 of letter by Daniel Swain. It begins: constructive suggestions regarding how the already remarkable institutional efficiency and societal impact of NCAR could be further enhanced through increased (not decreased) federal support in the years to come. Please note: To ensure the highest level of technical rigor, this response focuses exclusively on the core atmospheric and natural hazard science topics within the author’s primary domain of expertise; for this reason, I have omitted a response to Topic 4 (Space Weather)." NCAR weather modeling and atmospheric observing capabilities a) Management and operations of weather-related observational platforms, modeling and science as a stand-alone activity. The proposed management of weather-related research as a stand-alone activity is a scientifically regressive path that ignores the fundamental physical reality of the Earth system. Modern atmospheric science has demonstrated (largely, it is worth noting, due to groundbreaking researc

Page 3 of letter by Daniel Swain. It begins: b) Management and operations of weather-related observational platforms, modeling and science as combined with other NSF investments/facilities.
The highly specialized nature of the NCAR-Wyoming Supercomputing Center (NWSC) infrastructure represents an extraordinary value proposition that cannot be replicated by combining it with more generalized NSF programs. The NWSC is not a generic high-performance computing (HPC) facility; it is a laboratory uniquely optimized for atmospheric science workflows, with a hardware and storage architecture specifically designed to handle the massive, high-bandwidth data demands of Earth system modeling. Furthermore, its model of providing an excellent, free-at-point-of-use technical support team ensures that the focus remains on the science rather than the overhead of systems administration. This centralized expertise allows individual researchers, smaller labs, and even entire universitiesβ€”who would otherwi

Page 3 of letter by Daniel Swain. It begins: b) Management and operations of weather-related observational platforms, modeling and science as combined with other NSF investments/facilities. The highly specialized nature of the NCAR-Wyoming Supercomputing Center (NWSC) infrastructure represents an extraordinary value proposition that cannot be replicated by combining it with more generalized NSF programs. The NWSC is not a generic high-performance computing (HPC) facility; it is a laboratory uniquely optimized for atmospheric science workflows, with a hardware and storage architecture specifically designed to handle the massive, high-bandwidth data demands of Earth system modeling. Furthermore, its model of providing an excellent, free-at-point-of-use technical support team ensures that the focus remains on the science rather than the overhead of systems administration. This centralized expertise allows individual researchers, smaller labs, and even entire universitiesβ€”who would otherwi

Page 4 of letter by Daniel Swain. It begins: NCAR Mesa Lab (located in Boulder, Colorado)
a/b) Ownership of the NSF NCAR Mesa Lab building for public and private use.
Far more than just an office building, NSF NCAR Mesa Lab is an iconic and purpose-built facility designed specifically for the study of atmospheric science. Its position at the physical interface of the Rocky Mountain foothills and the Great Plains is a deliberate reflection of its mission, serving as a visible symbolβ€”in an iconically American settingβ€”of the federal government's enduring commitment to science in service of society. For many in the field, including myself, the Mesa Lab holds singular importance as a focal gathering point for the global atmospheric science community. My own early career exposure to weather and Earth system modeling, in fact, occurred within these walls, and I have long felt that the facility’s architecture and location inspire a necessary sense of awe regarding the atmosphere’s complexity a

Page 4 of letter by Daniel Swain. It begins: NCAR Mesa Lab (located in Boulder, Colorado) a/b) Ownership of the NSF NCAR Mesa Lab building for public and private use. Far more than just an office building, NSF NCAR Mesa Lab is an iconic and purpose-built facility designed specifically for the study of atmospheric science. Its position at the physical interface of the Rocky Mountain foothills and the Great Plains is a deliberate reflection of its mission, serving as a visible symbolβ€”in an iconically American settingβ€”of the federal government's enduring commitment to science in service of society. For many in the field, including myself, the Mesa Lab holds singular importance as a focal gathering point for the global atmospheric science community. My own early career exposure to weather and Earth system modeling, in fact, occurred within these walls, and I have long felt that the facility’s architecture and location inspire a necessary sense of awe regarding the atmosphere’s complexity a

Page 1 of letter by Daniel Swain. It begins: Dear Acting Director Stone and the NSF NCAR restructuring team:

I am writing to provide a formal response to the Request for Information (RFI) regarding the proposed restructuring of the NSF National Center for Atmospheric Research (NCAR) and its critical weather science infrastructure contained within the January 23, 2026 Dear Colleague Letter (DCL) entitled β€œNSF Intent to Restructure Critical Weather Infrastructure.” I submit these comments in my professional capacity as an atmospheric research scientist within the University of California, where my research focuses on the physics and dynamics of atmospheric processes related to extreme weather events and their role in shifting natural hazard and disaster risk.

My perspective is informed by a public-sector career dedicated to bridging the gap between fundamental atmospheric research and real-world application in an academic context, with a particular focus on understanding and mitigating

Page 1 of letter by Daniel Swain. It begins: Dear Acting Director Stone and the NSF NCAR restructuring team: I am writing to provide a formal response to the Request for Information (RFI) regarding the proposed restructuring of the NSF National Center for Atmospheric Research (NCAR) and its critical weather science infrastructure contained within the January 23, 2026 Dear Colleague Letter (DCL) entitled β€œNSF Intent to Restructure Critical Weather Infrastructure.” I submit these comments in my professional capacity as an atmospheric research scientist within the University of California, where my research focuses on the physics and dynamics of atmospheric processes related to extreme weather events and their role in shifting natural hazard and disaster risk. My perspective is informed by a public-sector career dedicated to bridging the gap between fundamental atmospheric research and real-world application in an academic context, with a particular focus on understanding and mitigating

I just submitted my letter to NSF responding to its proposal to dismantle the National Center for Atmospheric Research (NCAR). I argue that doing so would be an astonishing and avoidable misstep, and that federal support for the institution should in fact be *increased.* [1/4]

06.03.2026 04:25 πŸ‘ 489 πŸ” 157 πŸ’¬ 4 πŸ“Œ 3