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newmethos

@newmethos

Freelance projection designer, climber, and hiker. Mixology is a habit and a hobby. Movies when I have time for them.

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Latest posts by newmethos @newmethos

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Humanist Climate Action interview: Dr Helen Czerski on oceans, humanism, and the planet’s life support system Dr Helen Czerski is our patron, Professor of the Environment and Society at University College London, and a scientist who specialises in the physics of the oceans. At our Convention in Sheffield last...

"So much climate damage comes from assuming that Earth is simple, that it is easy to control and that it will bend to our will. Standing up against those simplifying assumptions is fundamentally a humanist thing to do."

From a recent interview I did... here's the rest:

humanists.uk/2026/03/06/h...

06.03.2026 22:55 πŸ‘ 157 πŸ” 42 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 1

So, obviously this isn’t true. But if the CEO actually believes this nonsense, it implies he thinks maybe he’s enslaving a sentient being that has the capacity to feel emotional distress. And he hasn’t immediately halted operations to suss out how to resolve that?

06.03.2026 17:33 πŸ‘ 614 πŸ” 124 πŸ’¬ 25 πŸ“Œ 13
Preview
Remembering the Iraqi Uprising Twenty-Five Years Ago | Council on Foreign Relations On February 15, 1991, four weeks into Operation Desert Storm, President George H.W. Bush, using identical language twiceβ€”at the White House and later at a Raytheon defense plant in Massachusettsβ€”encou...

I think one reason that many of us are skeptical that the regime in Tehran will fall with airpower alone is that the US also tried this in Iraq in 1991, as Operation Desert Storm transitioned into the no-fly zones of Operations Provide Comfort I/II. πŸ‘‡
www.cfr.org/articles/rem...

06.03.2026 22:06 πŸ‘ 84 πŸ” 19 πŸ’¬ 6 πŸ“Œ 2

what is the case for thinking that the duration of the conflict will be up to Trump?

06.03.2026 22:05 πŸ‘ 1357 πŸ” 210 πŸ’¬ 52 πŸ“Œ 19

My point, to be clear, is that this is a version of sanewashing.

It's not quite that, but it's blame-shifting: Blaming incompetence, where we have abundant evidence that many, if not most, of the reasons she will be remembered were either intentional or known inevitabilities.

06.03.2026 20:44 πŸ‘ 467 πŸ” 49 πŸ’¬ 20 πŸ“Œ 4

remember when trump proposed gutting the FDIC

06.03.2026 17:34 πŸ‘ 129 πŸ” 24 πŸ’¬ 2 πŸ“Œ 1

Given the obvious portents for Republicans, seems that this election is going to be riddled with fake Democrats and the billionaires that fund them.

06.03.2026 00:55 πŸ‘ 329 πŸ” 114 πŸ’¬ 14 πŸ“Œ 5

Duolingo doesn’t train you in reading, affect, or writing. It’s mainly useful to keep a language active for someone who already commands multiple skills. It will not teach you to write at all

06.03.2026 16:38 πŸ‘ 1 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 1

As someone who studied another culture at a graduate level and was being trained to teach German to English speakers, this is so true. Duolingo in particular provides none of the cultural and grammatical scaffolding for learning a language well enough to use it

06.03.2026 16:37 πŸ‘ 1 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0

This is so true, especially in collaborative environments. I’m about to open a show that I did projection design for and off the top of the dome, only 1 image survived from the initial pass for an audience to see it

06.03.2026 16:34 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

Vibe coding broke people's brains because they had a bad understanding of the software design process.

The pop culture model goes something like this: start out with a sketch and then render that same idea in progressively finer detail.

So when tools could "skip" to high detail, people went WOW.

06.03.2026 16:19 πŸ‘ 539 πŸ” 133 πŸ’¬ 9 πŸ“Œ 24

Interestingly, a lot of people are asking whether the rules of war apply differently depending on whether there’s a declared war or not. Most do not. Most depend only to a β€œstate of belligerency” existing in fact, regardless of official declarations.

06.03.2026 16:28 πŸ‘ 30 πŸ” 8 πŸ’¬ 2 πŸ“Œ 0

Oh man we are HAVING A NEWS DAY I see

*BLACKROCK’S $26 BILLION PRIVATE CREDIT FUND LIMITS WITHDRAWALS

06.03.2026 14:30 πŸ‘ 1640 πŸ” 335 πŸ’¬ 35 πŸ“Œ 115
Chart of Temp Help Services employment past 10 years

Chart of Temp Help Services employment past 10 years

Notable revision to temp help services: this industry is *highly* cyclical and had reported a surge in payrolls starting last November. That's in large part been revised away; while declines from the last few years are rolling off, there's no longer a clean spike.

06.03.2026 13:37 πŸ‘ 101 πŸ” 5 πŸ’¬ 2 πŸ“Œ 0

Just a fun reminder that the headline number is the softest indicator, the revisions are the hardest data.

06.03.2026 16:07 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

That feeling when you owe 53,173,939 refunds, with interest ...

06.03.2026 15:49 πŸ‘ 550 πŸ” 151 πŸ’¬ 20 πŸ“Œ 19

I get it, this particular Secretary of the Interior is basically the US government service rep for the oil industry so it’s not exactly RFK jr opining on the subject, but dude has zero subject knowledge and no statutory authority

06.03.2026 16:04 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

Over and over again, the talking heads for the Trump admin are WAY out of their lanes. Like no one at Department of the Interior should be talking about Venezuela in public, on the record

06.03.2026 16:02 πŸ‘ 1 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0
Preview
The Central Lie of Prediction Markets Polymarket and Kalshi promise the wisdom of the crowds. They deliver something very different.

Wrote about the central lie of prediction markets. How they are the perfect technology for a low-trust society, simultaneously exploiting and reifying an environment in which believing the motives behind any person or action becomes harder. www.theatlantic.com/technology/2...

05.03.2026 20:08 πŸ‘ 339 πŸ” 100 πŸ’¬ 8 πŸ“Œ 11

*non-zero probability that, unfortunately, this might be none of them, the elected ones are so MAGA pilled, either through belief or intimidation, that literally nothing will shake them from the fever dream

06.03.2026 15:16 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

Again, Trump has done more than enough mad king shit to be impeached many times over, but starting a third war in as many months should be a tipping point for any Republican within touching distance of reality*

06.03.2026 15:14 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

This is not that surprising given that we've driven a coupla million immigrant workers out of the country in a short time, but raises the question: Is an economy premised on "growth" still possible in a society that disdains immigrants and is reproducing children at less than replacement rate?

06.03.2026 15:10 πŸ‘ 7 πŸ” 3 πŸ’¬ 2 πŸ“Œ 1

At a minimum, directly toppling the Cuban government puts Gitmo in harm’s way. The scenarios all get much worse from there

06.03.2026 14:27 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

The extremely worrying part of this corner of the world war that Trump is starting is that there are already quite a few boots on the ground in Cuba

06.03.2026 14:24 πŸ‘ 2 πŸ” 1 πŸ’¬ 3 πŸ“Œ 0

Anyway, I stopped listening to that podcast

06.03.2026 14:06 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

Also, the only job sector that was showing any long term growth at healthy numbers is health care and that is massively supported by immigrants at every level of care

06.03.2026 14:05 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

On a financial podcast last month, someone speculated that 30,000 added construction jobs might be the glimmers of the AI capex making its way into the economy and well, one month later

06.03.2026 14:01 πŸ‘ 1 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 2 πŸ“Œ 0

We are once again sliding into a geopolitical situation where a lot of people suddenly realize that many commodities we depend on as a society are transported via ships

06.03.2026 13:50 πŸ‘ 21 πŸ” 1 πŸ’¬ 3 πŸ“Œ 0

it's that recurrent moment again where awful people are replaced by different awful people and yet I'm still sort of glad to see the original awful people gone

06.03.2026 13:55 πŸ‘ 619 πŸ” 82 πŸ’¬ 15 πŸ“Œ 0

Unconditional surrender is not something someone demands from a limited operation, in case anyone other than Congressional Republicans were in any doubt about whether this is a war or not

06.03.2026 13:58 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0