Philippe Lagassé's Avatar

Philippe Lagassé

@plagasse

Academic working on defence policy/procurement and executive power in Westminster states. I'm aware of the typos.

7,011
Followers
1,047
Following
1,645
Posts
12.10.2023
Joined
Posts Following

Latest posts by Philippe Lagassé @plagasse

He never meant to hurt anyone

06.03.2026 02:16 👍 2 🔁 0 💬 2 📌 0

I bet it's already taken

06.03.2026 02:16 👍 0 🔁 1 💬 0 📌 0

I am Eric Fury

06.03.2026 02:15 👍 1 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0

*Epic

06.03.2026 01:37 👍 4 🔁 0 💬 1 📌 0

Yep exactly. And the Hornets would take a while and attract far more attention.

06.03.2026 00:28 👍 2 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0

Once again, a naval task group deployment to assist with the protection of Gulf shipping is the most likely scenario in the event of a future Cdn mission.

06.03.2026 00:22 👍 26 🔁 5 💬 4 📌 0

CDS: Stating a negative on Eric Fury twice.

Bluesky: Per se?!

06.03.2026 00:19 👍 30 🔁 6 💬 5 📌 1

A likely scenario:

PMO: We're not getting involved in any way.

CAF: (looking up for scenario planning)....Um, Prime Minister, we might hypothetically in the extreme need to do x, y, z to address second order consequences in the region.

PMO: Ah.

05.03.2026 16:39 👍 60 🔁 18 💬 4 📌 1

(cough)

05.03.2026 16:12 👍 4 🔁 1 💬 0 📌 1
Preview
HMS Dragon: UK to send Royal Navy warship to Cyprus, Starmer confirms The prime minister said the "UK is fully committed to the security of Cyprus and British military personnel based" on RAF Akrotiri.

What pray tell might this look like?

www.bbc.com/news/article...

05.03.2026 15:55 👍 4 🔁 1 💬 1 📌 0

Starmer: We're not joining the US/Israeli war, but we are deploying forces to protect UK citizens and assist 10 regional allies who are affected.

Cdn Bluesky: The UK is joining the American war!

05.03.2026 15:52 👍 8 🔁 2 💬 1 📌 0

Our new podcast episode dropped: on #BattleRhythm @profwhw.bsky.social and I discuss the Iran war and also the fight between a tech company and the Pentagon over the use of their AI and then @plagasse.bsky.social Interviews LTG Boivan who runs all CAF ops cdsn.substack.com/p/episode-41...

05.03.2026 09:23 👍 2 🔁 2 💬 0 📌 0

Note as well the RCN's role in region in 1990-1991 and 2001-2002.

05.03.2026 05:34 👍 12 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0

You understand that allied countries have ships and depend on shipping, right?

05.03.2026 05:12 👍 0 🔁 0 💬 1 📌 0

So, back to the navy.

One of the RCN roles is to defend sea lines of communication. Those sea lines keep the global
economy going.

It would be unwise to categorically rule out a role for the RCN in protecting allied shipping in the Gulf and Indian Ocean.

05.03.2026 05:11 👍 17 🔁 4 💬 1 📌 0

Canada's only ally in the world is the United States?

05.03.2026 05:01 👍 9 🔁 0 💬 2 📌 1

If you're worried that we're going to send CF-18s there or whatever, that would be tremendously complicated. And even then, if you're ruling out offensive roles, their utility would be limited.

05.03.2026 04:57 👍 10 🔁 0 💬 1 📌 0

If asked

05.03.2026 04:55 👍 1 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0

The likeliest scenario for a very hypothetical Canadian involvement would be a navy task group to help protect shipping in the Gulf.

05.03.2026 04:54 👍 22 🔁 8 💬 4 📌 0

You asked about Greece and Turkey. The mission was the solution to two NATO allies in a conflict. If you know about it, perhaps it's worth revising to contention that we haven't looked at ways of addressing their situation.

05.03.2026 04:49 👍 1 🔁 0 💬 1 📌 0

You may have heard about Canada's peacekeeping mission to Cyprus that's been ongoing since 1964 and has attempted to keep these two apart.

05.03.2026 04:46 👍 23 🔁 0 💬 1 📌 0

What do we want? Steady alliances and a rules-based order!

So we defend our allies in accordance with international law, right? No!

I love this place.

05.03.2026 04:39 👍 39 🔁 9 💬 5 📌 3

You don't always need Article 5 to help defend an ally.

You can assist an ally if they ask.

Turkey is a NATO ally, for example.

05.03.2026 04:36 👍 19 🔁 4 💬 1 📌 0

Yes. Turkey is a NATO ally and could easily be targeted.

05.03.2026 04:35 👍 8 🔁 0 💬 1 📌 0

Turkey? NATO ally.

thehill.com/policy/defen...

05.03.2026 04:33 👍 22 🔁 0 💬 5 📌 0

He's saying we're not going to participate in offensive actions against Iran, but might need to defend our allies.

Chill, people.

05.03.2026 04:30 👍 216 🔁 71 💬 26 📌 24

Be it resolved that Prime Minister Carney's government is a government like any other, weighed down by inevitable inconsistencies, internal disagreements and bureaucratic politics, and intractable trade-offs.

04.03.2026 17:21 👍 23 🔁 3 💬 2 📌 0

Since writing that post, I have it on good authority that the RCN wouldn't really move any boats between the coasts, which makes the mixed fleet option much more plausible.

02.03.2026 22:22 👍 11 🔁 4 💬 0 📌 0

With a mixed submarine fleet back on the table, here's my take on the idea from September:

philippelagasse.substack.com/p/two-types-...

02.03.2026 22:14 👍 9 🔁 9 💬 3 📌 0

That said, 15% can matter a lot if the rest of the scores are close!

02.03.2026 19:21 👍 1 🔁 1 💬 0 📌 0