Carnegie Russia Eurasia

What We Know About Drone Use in the Iran War Two experts discuss how drone technology is shaping yet another conflict and what the United States can learn from Ukraine.

Senior Fellow @massdara.bsky.social on drone use in the Iran war and what the United States can learn from Ukraine: carnegieendowment.org/emissary/202...

Russia in Africa: Examining Moscow’s Influence and Its Limits As Moscow looks for opportunities to build inroads on the continent, governments in West and Southern Africa are identifying new ways to promote their goals—and facing new risks.

As Russia looks for opportunities to build inroads, African governments are identifying new ways to promote their goals—and facing new risks.

Our latest publication unpacks Moscow's role, its appeal, and its limitations: carnegieendowment.org/research/202...

Is a Conflict-Ending Solution Even Possible in Ukraine? On the fourth anniversary of Russia’s full-scale invasion, Carnegie experts discuss the war’s impacts and what might come next.

On the fourth anniversary of Russia's full-scale invasion of Ukraine, Eric Ciaramella, @andriypzag.bsky.social, and Alexandra Prokopenko joined Aaron David Miller on Carnegie Connects to discuss the war’s impacts and what might come next: carnegieendowment.org/emissary/202...

The War After Four: Myths, Arguments, and Assumptions Four years after Russia’s full-scale invasion of Ukraine, Mike is joined by Dara Massicot to reassess the war and the debates that have defined it....

The latest RC is out with @massdara.bsky.social We go through some of the current myths, arguments, and assumptions about the war. From judging offensives to attrition ratios & my rant on how CENTCOM is about to spend everyone’s munitions. @warontherocks.bsky.social warontherocks.com/episode/ther...

Four Years of War in Europe Eight thinkers on the lasting impact of Russia’s invasion of Ukraine.

"Today, the war is not merely a tool of Russian policy; it has become foundational to the regime itself."

@andriypzag.bsky.social in @foreignpolicy.com on why Ukrainians doubt that painful concessions will achieve a lasting peace: foreignpolicy.com/2026/02/20/u...

Ukraine’s War of Endurance The fight for advantage in the conflict’s fifth year.

After four years of grinding conflict, Russia’s war on Ukraine is increasingly defined by adaptation, endurance, and exhaustion.
Senior Fellow @michaelkofman.bsky.social gives his latest assessment of battlefield dynamics in @foreignaffairs.com: www.foreignaffairs.com/russia/ukrai...

Running to Stand Still: Russian Nuclear Modernization after New START John Maynard Keynes once wrote, “The difficulty lies, not in the new ideas, but in escaping from the old ones”: an apt depiction of the current discourse

"For all intents and purposes traditional arms control between the United States and Russia is done. The question is what now?"
Senior Fellow @michaelkofman.bsky.social in @warontherocks.bsky.social on Russian nuclear modernization after the end of New START: warontherocks.com/2026/02/runn...

What If Trump Gets His Russia-Ukraine Deal?

As Ukrainian and Russian delegations meet in Geneva today for another round of talks, Senior Fellow Eric Ciaramella explores how Putin could come to see a peace deal as tactically advantageous, even if his goal of subjugating Ukraine remains unchanged: carnegieendowment.org/emissary/202...

Japan’s “Militarist Turn” and What It Means for Russia For a real example of political forces engaged in the militarization of society, the Russian leadership might consider looking closer to home.

If Prime Minister Takaichi wins snap elections, will Japan soon be threatening the Russian Far East and preparing to seize the disputed Southern Kuril Islands by force? Nothing could be further from the truth, writes @jamesdjbrown.bsky.social: carnegieendowment.org/russia-euras...

For Putin, Increasing Russia’s Nuclear Threat Matters More Than the Triad’s Modernization For Putin, upgrading Russia’s nuclear forces was a secondary goal. The main aim was to gain an advantage over the West, including by strengthening the nuclear threat on all fronts. That made growth in...

The main aim of upgrading Russia’s nuclear forces for Putin was to gain an advantage over the West, including by strengthening the nuclear threat on all fronts, and that made a new arms race inevitable, argues Maxim Starchak: carnegieendowment.org/russia-euras...

‘More pressure is needed on Russia’: Expert looks at US-led Ukraine peace talks | CNN President Trump says he wants a Ukraine peace deal by June. But Daria Massicot, a Russia analyst at the Carnegie Endowment, says she sees little sign the Kremlin is engaging in good faith negotiation.

Senior Fellow @massdara.bsky.social joins @cnn.com to explain why there is strong reason to doubt that the Kremlin is negotiating in good faith on a Ukraine peace deal: www.cnn.com/2026/02/09/t...

Fortress Ukraine How a coalition of the willing can rearm Kyiv without Washington.

With or without a cease-fire, "Europe must now help Ukraine shift from survival to long-term force regeneration."

Read Eric Ciaramella and @sophiabesch.bsky.social's proposal for how Europe can rearm Kyiv without Washington in @foreignaffairs.com: www.foreignaffairs.com/guest-pass/r...

Battlefield Lessons from Ukraine: Rethinking Defense Production Dara Massicot, a senior fellow in Carnegie’s Russia and Eurasia Program, will sit down with William C. Greenwalt, a senior fellow at the American Enterprise Institute (AEI), for a discussion moderated...

TOMORROW: @massdara.bsky.social, @kschake.bsky.social, and William Greenwalt discuss how the war in Ukraine is transforming defense industrial production.

Register here:
carnegieendowment.org/events/2025/...

Ukraine’s Regional Shift: Realignments in Wartime and Beyond Regional disparities in investment, labor markets, and government transparency mean that regional development will be a key feature of Ukraine’s postwar future.

How has Russia's full-scale invasion transformed the distribution of people, capital, infrastructure, and political influence within Ukraine? Mariya Levonova and Balázs Jarábik unpack what regional disparities mean for postwar reconstruction: carnegieendowment.org/research/202...

In @thehill.com, Eric Green and Alexander Joel argue that the US-Ukraine Reconstruction Investment Fund should prioritize early investments in infrastructure projects that support both Ukraine's present wartime resilience and future growth prospects: thehill.com/opinion/inte...

Strategic Directions for Building Sustainable Peace Between Armenia and Azerbaijan An official peace agreement between Armenia and Azerbaijan cannot by itself resolve decades of mistrust. The durability of peace will depend on healing trauma, reframing identities, diversifying narra...

A new paper I co-authored with Philip Gamaghelyan
is out. It looks at practical steps toward lasting peace between Azerbaijan and Armenia, and how different actors can support long-term stability.Any feedback is welcome.
carnegieendowment.org/research/202...

Taking the Pulse: Should Europe Negotiate with Russia? By negotiating directly with the Kremlin, the Trump administration has broken the taboo on diplomatic contacts with Russia. With Ukrainian and European security at stake, is it time for Brussels to op...

carnegieendowment.org/europe/strat...

Should Europe be negotiating directly with Russia? Seven scholars respond to our latest @carnegieeurope.bsky.social (deliberately provocative) question

How Serious Is the Rapprochement Between the United States and Central Asia? Central Asia’s warmer ties with the United States could force the region to face a difficult choice between incurring the wrath of its traditional allies Russia and China, and disappointing Trump and ...

“Never before has the U.S. been so successful in its attempts to convince Central Asia that cooperation with Washington is worth the irritation from China and Russia.” Temur Umarov on the possible future of the region: carnegieendowment.org/russia-euras...

Is a Ukraine Peace Deal Finally in Sight? The White House wants to take advantage of Kyiv’s mounting problems—on and off the battlefield—to impose a peace agreement more favorable to Russia.

The White House wants to take advantage of Kyiv’s mounting problems to impose a peace agreement that is more favorable to Russia. But the Kremlin may still believe the battlefield is a more reliable way of achieving its goals, writes Tatiana Stanovaya: carnegieendowment.org/russia-euras...

What Went Wrong in Russia? Russian Imperialism, With Ekaterina Schulmann and Alexander Graf Lambsdorff

What went wrong in Russia? Was thrilled to discuss the sources of Russia's conduct with German Ambassador to Moscow Alexander Graf Lambsdorff & my colleague Ekaterina Schulmann in the newest episode of "Politika." This time with @koerber-ip.bsky.social .
carnegieendowment.org/podcasts/car...

Iran’s Twelve-Day War Has Only Boosted Its Cooperation With Russia Tehran’s most urgent task is to reduce the risk of further Israeli and U.S. airstrikes. Russia’s role as a deterrent in this respect is more multifaceted than simply supplying weapons, whose real impa...

How has Iran’s twelve-day war pushed Tehran even closer to Moscow and led to new cooperation agreements, including in the nuclear sector? Nikita Smagin explains: carnegieendowment.org/russia-euras...

After several turbulent weeks in Russia-Ukraine diplomacy, where do peace prospects actually stand?

Eric Ciaramella joins Anastasiia Lapatina and Benjamin Wittes on the Lawfare Daily podcast to discuss: www.lawfaremedia.org/article/lawf...

Armenia's election, like it or not, is being fought by outside actors as well. Russia and parts of the US diaspora have a new candidate to unseat Nikol Pashinyan. Pashinyan needs help to demonstrate progress in his Real Armenia agenda. My latest for @carnegieeurope.bsky.social

From Wanted Man to Kremlin Guest: Russia Welcomes Syria’s New Leader Syria’s new leadership faces no shortage of immediate problems, not least holding onto power and restoring order. As long as Moscow is willing to assist it in those tasks, more delicate issues such as...

Syria’s new leadership faces no shortage of immediate problems, not least holding onto power and restoring order. Moscow is willing to assist it in those tasks to further its own ends, argues Ruslan Suleymanov: carnegieendowment.org/russia-euras...

Central Asia is adapting its entire ideological agenda to impress one man: Donald Trump.

The recent C5+1 summit was a new high point in US-Central Asian ties. But is this rapprochement real, or just risk? 🧵🧵🧵

Azerbaijan Purges Its Old Elites Amid Accusations of Pro-Russian Pensioners’ Plot Mehdiyev appears to have fallen victim to a combination of circumstances: a clan war, the ongoing consolidation of power, and the Azerbaijani leadership’s attempts to establish a strict monopoly on di...

What’s behind the arrest of Ramiz Mehdiyev, who was for decades one of Azerbaijan’s most influential politicians, and why has President Aliyev accused him of plotting a Russia-backed coup d’état? Read Bashir Kitachaev's analysis here:

Ukrainian Drone Unit Commander Shares Lessons from the Front - War on the Rocks

Check out the latest Russia Contingency. I join the head of Lasar’s Group, one of Ukraine’s best and lesser known drone units to talk about their experience, how drone use is evolving, adaptation on both sides, and what the future holds.
@WarOnTheRocks warontherocks.com/episode/ther...

Why Is the Russian Elite So Keen to Cozy Up to Trump? The main audience for all these proposals from the Russian elite is not in fact Trump, but Putin, who still seeks a landmark agreement with Washington.

"The main audience for proposals from the Russian elite is not in fact Trump, but Putin, who still seeks a landmark agreement with Washington." Andrey Pertsev on why figures close to Putin are trying to earn Trump's approval: carnegieendowment.org/russia-euras...

Has the EU Found a Way to Use Frozen Russian Assets to Help Ukraine? Ultimately, the adoption of some sort of scheme to appropriate the assets seems almost inevitable. Otherwise, it will not just be Ukraine that is at risk, but the very raison d’être of the EU.

Ultimately, the adoption of some scheme to appropriate Russia's frozen assets seems almost inevitable. Otherwise, it will not just be Ukraine that is at risk, but the very raison d’être of the EU, argues Alexander Kolyandr: carnegieendowment.org/russia-euras...

American Prestige “American Prestige” takes a comprehensive look at U.S. foreign policy and int'l affairs, providing listeners with everything they need to know about what's going on in the world.

.@andrewsweiss.bsky.social joined the American Prestige podcast (@amprestigepod.bsky.social) to discuss the state of Russia's war on Ukraine, the future of European security, and more. Listen here: