This is … to see ⬇️
This is … to see ⬇️
📖 New publication: "When Gender Trumps Skills: Employment Trajectories of Austrian Parents After Their First Birth". Claudia Reiter and @sonja-spitzer.bsky.social show that in AT, gender differences in parental leave are huge: Mothers take 416 days, fathers only 9.
🔗 Read now: tinyurl.com/22whn4hf
We all seem to agree that many survey experiment interventions (eg reducing polarization) are limited because their effects are short-lived. But when would an effect be sufficiently durable? 1 year, 10 years, forever?
We expect medication to quickly end a fever but not to prevent fevers forever.
Dreck schwächt den Klimawandel ab und tut damit mehr als die GroKo jemals getan hat oder überhaupt irgendjemand auf einem Wahlzettel, danke Dreck.
Danke, Dreck. Schade, dass du nicht regierst.
Obviously, this is not to say that polarization is necessarily problematic. My point is rather that interventions on this (and many other social science phenomena) would benefit from clarifying what “success” looks like. A good intervention is scalable in scope, but can it be lasting in time?
What are reasonable expectations?
The key may be problem alleviation vs problem prevention. But then we seem to focus far too little on prevention. If the goal is long-term absence of polarization, alleviation may simply be inadequate (similar to how few drugs help long-term absence of disease).
We all seem to agree that many survey experiment interventions (eg reducing polarization) are limited because their effects are short-lived. But when would an effect be sufficiently durable? 1 year, 10 years, forever?
We expect medication to quickly end a fever but not to prevent fevers forever.
New working paper!
I examine whether exposure to local unemployment during adolescence shapes immigration attitudes in adulthood, focusing on the long-term imprint of early economic insecurity
doi.org/10.31235/osf...
🧺 Paper Picnic 2.0 is here! More journals. New features. An easier way to keep up with the latest research in political science and adjacent fields. 🧵👇
Excited about this talk tonight. If you’re in Vienna, come join us
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Chris knows his stuff, I highly recommend this
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New w/@scottclifford.bsky.social.
Lots of work uses agree-disagree scales, and a lit review shows these are 1) frequently just measured in one direction (agree = higher trait) and 2) correlated with each other.
This has potentially big issues for conclusions.
link.springer.com/article/10.1...
The Swedish gov’t intends to deport an 8-month-old baby to Iran, even though he was born in Sweden and both parents are legal residents: www.sverigesradio.se/artikel/migr...
I got 99 problems in online survey research but social desirability ain‘t (a huge) one
Important paper ⬇️⬇️
Are parties responsive to public opinion? In my first research note, just published in @ejprjournal.bsky.social, I find consistent evidence that parties across the EU shift their positions to align with the preferences of their partisan supporters: doi.org/10.1017/S147...
1/12 🧵
I was a fellow at Harvard Business School last year and attended a talk with an AI booster who said something like "don't trust AI (it's inaccurate) but use it every day."
When I pointed out this contradiction, and that we don't typically encourage the adoption of broken tools, he was unmoved.
@isabellareb.bsky.social is THE go-to expert when it comes to understanding emotions in politics. Check out this new paper, which addresses one of the key misunderstandings about emotions in politics ⬇️⬇️
Some people like using our (w/ @markuswagner.bsky.social) heroes & villains paper to teach partisanship.
We've made it easier (and fun?) for students with a new online playground 🦹
doi.org/10.1017/psrm...
www.turnbulldugarte.com/heroes-playg...
Do ordinary Republicans and Democrats really avoid each other in everyday life? In a new working paper with Delia Baldassarri, we present descriptive and experimental evidence to challenge the view that partisanship drives the formation of social relationships.
osf.io/preprints/so...
1/15
Very grateful to share that my project “The Politics of Shaming and Shamelessness” has been awarded a @carlsbergfondet.dk Semper Ardens: Accelerate grant.
www.carlsbergfondet.dk/en/what-we-h...
Wow, this sounds awesome!! Congrats:)
🚨 Join us for the next edition Summer School for Women* in Political Methodology in Mannheim 🚨
7 days of hands-on advanced methods + networking for PhDs, postdocs & early-career researchers.
Free of charge (limited travel support).
Deadline 1 March 2026: summerschoolwpm.org
#methodsky #polisky
🚨New Publication🚨
The role of the VAA VOTESWIPER in polarizing voter choices in the 2025 German Federal Election
@mariusfroehle.bsky.social @ronaldschleehauf.bsky.social @judithreinbold.bsky.social and Sebastian Jäckle
@pwunifreiburg.bsky.social
doi.org/10.1002/poi3...
A short 🧵on our findings
Dieses „Streitgespräch“ ist primär schlimm. Kullmann rattert die Positionen runter, die man von veralteten Chemiekonzernen erwartet.
Von @gruene.de erwarte ich aber mehr: Reflektion + Argumente statt Floskeln wie „Unsinn“ und „Einspruch“ + EVP-Blaming. Gerade verkörpert die Partei Spahn-Niveau.
Super cool, herzlichen Glückwunsch!
🚨🚨 Excellent career opportunity ⬇️⬇️
I’ve been working with Lily since a few years, so I know this job will be inspiring and fun. You’ll learn a lot, get great mentorship, and do research where it matters.
Feel free to reach out w/ questions, but seriously, apply!
Deadline in 5 days!
Europe is committing even more to wind energy and other renewables.
Yesterday’s Hamburg Declaration by 🇧🇪 🇩🇰 🇫🇷 🇩🇪 🇮🇪 🇱🇺🇳🇱 🇳🇴 and 🇬🇧 reaffirmed this.
The stronger the external threat, the stronger the pushback to wind energy by Trump, the stronger the commitment to wind in 🇪🇺
🚨🚨 Excellent career opportunity ⬇️⬇️
I’ve been working with Lily since a few years, so I know this job will be inspiring and fun. You’ll learn a lot, get great mentorship, and do research where it matters.
Feel free to reach out w/ questions, but seriously, apply!
Deadline in 5 days!
i just feel like america has no business starting fights with the country that makes ozempic
This is such a cool—and eye-opening—application of research. Sparks discussion and reflection.
Highly recommend to take this short quiz ⬇️⬇️