John T Ormerod

Lol. I wonder how forced the palindrome was.

Amazing pic. Happy new year.

I like likelihoods.

It is a model all the way down.

ChatGPT gave a significant portion of my students the wrong answer to an easy quiz question that everyone used to always get right

I had two groups of students turn in annotated bibliographies that were ChatGPT generated - not a single citation actually existed

I taught this for the first time in my course this year. We ended up doing a couple of weeks. It isn't much, but at least they got a taste of it.

GitHub - MilesMcBain/more: Serve up more when things go bad Serve up more when things go bad. Contribute to MilesMcBain/more development by creating an account on GitHub.

Make errors more accessible and better with #rstats package {more} by @milesmcbain.bsky.social - inspired by rustc's detailed error explanations! This idea feels so good.

github.com/milesmcbain/...

What an interesting sounding course!

#GazaGenocide #MarchForHumanity #AlboAndWongAreFucked #ChrisMinnsIsFucked

As my mum would say: :Butter wouldn't melt in its mouth".

I make the sun rise by waking up.

TSGTA =Three statisticians gave ten answers.

New #rstats blog up!

solomonkurz.netlify.app/blog/2025-07...

This is the second post in the series where we use {brms} to learn {Stan} code. This time we review matrix notation, model matrices, and a new class of distribution functions in Stan.

two men are standing next to each other in a room . ALT: two men are standing next to each other in a room .

Oorah. The other day I felt real feelings.

Owf. Damage done.

I miss random too, but am all for an adopted kitten, yay.

Fiducial inference

The new normal.

So senseless. What a waste of life.

God loved everyone whoever they are, man, woman or any other child of god.

And what is your evidence against it?

To double down as a statistician, what is your null hypothesis?

Not all fields are at the same levels of maturity. Physics is at a different level of maturity as the social sciences, for example. Do you have an expectant difference in replicability for *any* field for the replicability given that all fields are exploring the forefront of their research areas?

As the prior probability of any arbitrary molecule curing a cancer is extremely low than by Bayes rule alone even an extremely efficient science would produce many false positives.

Frequentist super-raft vs Bayesian superyachts, I know what I am choosing.

Then why use the word crisis? If science isn't stagnating, is there really a crisis?

People might see it as a consequence of a replication crisis.

Bayesian Superyachts are all the craze these days Steph. I put in a grant for one just the other day.

I find all of this really odd. I don't know about other fields, but there has been dramatic advances in cardiovascular and cancer research in recent history, i.e., where a whole heap of money has gone into. Advances in science haven't been uniform, but they are certainly there.