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Sally Dukes

@sallydukes

American in Belgium, ICC enthusiast, leader of the anti-IR realism coalition, no I do not speak French ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ ๐Ÿ‡ฑ๐Ÿ‡บ

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27.02.2024
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Latest posts by Sally Dukes @sallydukes

Good plan, thereโ€™s no way that the US would ever betray Kurds who fought on their behalf, or that Turkey would be upset by and seek to frustrate any US-backed Kurdish forces, or that an invasion from Iraq would trigger Iranian nationalist opposition. None of those things have ever happened.

04.03.2026 21:42 ๐Ÿ‘ 894 ๐Ÿ” 265 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 30 ๐Ÿ“Œ 13

ICE under Trump 2.0 built an unprecedented media operation - deploying videographers to raids, pumping out edgy social posts, swiping pop music for hype videos - and the main metric for evaluating its impact shows that Americans now hate ICE more than ever

www.washingtonpost.com/technology/i...

04.03.2026 04:11 ๐Ÿ‘ 2011 ๐Ÿ” 477 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 29 ๐Ÿ“Œ 25

๐Ÿ”ด๐Ÿ‡ฑ๐Ÿ‡งThe Israeli military has ordered all residents in southern Lebanon to move north of the Litani River.

This is area consists of dozens of villages close to the border.

The Lebanese government said the army has cleared it from Hezbollah military presence in recent months.

04.03.2026 10:15 ๐Ÿ‘ 13 ๐Ÿ” 10 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0 ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
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A minor league hockey team had a wiener dog race. Zero thoughts, just vibes and absolute chaos. A thing of beauty

03.03.2026 18:38 ๐Ÿ‘ 3889 ๐Ÿ” 1231 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 73 ๐Ÿ“Œ 160
A man checks the wreckage after an Israeli air strike in the southern Beirut suburb of Haret Hreik, on March 2, 2026.

A man checks the wreckage after an Israeli air strike in the southern Beirut suburb of Haret Hreik, on March 2, 2026.

๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ฑ ๐Ÿ‡ฑ๐Ÿ‡ง Israeli strikes on Lebanon have killed at least 31 people, authorities said, following rocket fire from Tehran-backed militant group Hezbollah after the killing of Iran's supreme leader.
โžก๏ธ u.afp.com/SuGb

02.03.2026 09:32 ๐Ÿ‘ 13 ๐Ÿ” 11 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1 ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

This is weeks after a white nationalist threw a bomb (that luckily did not detonate) straight at a crowd of aboriginals that included babies

02.03.2026 09:40 ๐Ÿ‘ 46 ๐Ÿ” 21 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0 ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

No, Shabana Mahmood, people seeing failing state support and crumbing infrastructure don't have either legitimate concerns or a legitimate grievance against immigrants, refugees or asylum seekers.

They have a legitimate grievance against governments.

02.03.2026 08:27 ๐Ÿ‘ 924 ๐Ÿ” 259 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 18 ๐Ÿ“Œ 10
Preview
Trump Says War Could Last Weeks and Offers Contradictory Visions of New Regime

If you're wondering why Starmer first refused US access to UK bases then granted it, I suspect the answer is the same in both cases: US plan is flaky as hell. Shd we join illegal strikes on a country capable of retaliating, with someone this clueless about what next?
www.nytimes.com/2026/03/01/u...

02.03.2026 09:58 ๐Ÿ‘ 238 ๐Ÿ” 82 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 16 ๐Ÿ“Œ 13

Ohhhhhhhh pivot to WEST Asia, it all makes sense now

02.03.2026 09:11 ๐Ÿ‘ 36 ๐Ÿ” 6 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0 ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
Preview
Pentagon tells Congress no sign that Iran was going to attack US first, sources say Trump administration officials acknowledged in closed-door briefings with congressional staff on Sunday that there was no intelligence suggesting Iran planned to attack U.S. forces first, two people f...

"Trump administration officials acknowledged in closed-door briefings with congressional staff on Sunday that there was no intelligence suggesting Iran planned to attack U.S. forces first." www.reuters.com/world/us/pen...

02.03.2026 06:42 ๐Ÿ‘ 342 ๐Ÿ” 169 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 8 ๐Ÿ“Œ 16
KUWAIT ARMY - ูƒุง โ€ข ุงู„ุฌูŠุด ุงู„ูƒูˆูŠุชูŠ
@KuwaitArmyGHQ
O ...
O Translated from Arabic Show original โ€ข
Statement No. 7
The spokesperson for the Ministry of Defense stated that several U.S. military aircraft crashed this morning, confirming the complete safety of their crews.
He explained that the relevant authorities immediately initiated search and rescue procedures, whereby the crews were evacuated and transferred to the hospital to check on their health status and provide the necessary medical care, noting that their condition is stable.
The official spokesperson added that direct coordination was conducted with the friendly U.S. forces regarding the circumstances of the incident, and joint technical measures were taken.
He affirmed that the concerned authorities are following up on the investigations to determine the causes of the incident, calling for information to be obtained from its official sources.

KUWAIT ARMY - ูƒุง โ€ข ุงู„ุฌูŠุด ุงู„ูƒูˆูŠุชูŠ @KuwaitArmyGHQ O ... O Translated from Arabic Show original โ€ข Statement No. 7 The spokesperson for the Ministry of Defense stated that several U.S. military aircraft crashed this morning, confirming the complete safety of their crews. He explained that the relevant authorities immediately initiated search and rescue procedures, whereby the crews were evacuated and transferred to the hospital to check on their health status and provide the necessary medical care, noting that their condition is stable. The official spokesperson added that direct coordination was conducted with the friendly U.S. forces regarding the circumstances of the incident, and joint technical measures were taken. He affirmed that the concerned authorities are following up on the investigations to determine the causes of the incident, calling for information to be obtained from its official sources.

โ€œSeveralโ€ US aircraft crashed this morning in Kuwait, according to Kuwait, AP and Reuters.

02.03.2026 08:01 ๐Ÿ‘ 602 ๐Ÿ” 225 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 63 ๐Ÿ“Œ 27
Preview
Testing Tripwire Theory Using Survey Experiments Many scholars and policymakers assume that attacks on forward deployed U.S. troopsโ€”โ€œtripwiresโ€โ€”will prompt strong domestic political support for escalation against the attacker. This conjecture inform...

Given rumors about an attack on Embassy Kuwait, I feel obligated to mention that in earlier research we found that casualties among diplomats were viewed as seriously as casualties among soldiers

preprints.apsanet.org/engage/apsa/...

02.03.2026 06:25 ๐Ÿ‘ 124 ๐Ÿ” 28 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1 ๐Ÿ“Œ 2

The Terror scared me so bad that I couldnโ€™t bare to read it in broad daylight. really great book

02.03.2026 09:35 ๐Ÿ‘ 3 ๐Ÿ” 0 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0 ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

as an undergrad, I had an IR course that spent a full class discussing how JCPOA was one of the greatest diplomatic achievements of the modern era

02.03.2026 09:32 ๐Ÿ‘ 3 ๐Ÿ” 0 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0 ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

could a dying empire do THIS

01.03.2026 19:06 ๐Ÿ‘ 3465 ๐Ÿ” 631 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 78 ๐Ÿ“Œ 21

Petraeus really feels like the inflection point for the death of shame in American elite circles. If you just keep talking as though nothing happened even as all the sordid, lightly treasonous details keep pouring out you get to keep your seat at the table.

01.03.2026 20:12 ๐Ÿ‘ 146 ๐Ÿ” 35 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 4 ๐Ÿ“Œ 1

Spanish PM Pedro Sรกnchez: โ€œToday more than ever, it is essential to remember that one can be against a hateful regime as is the case with the Iranian regimeโ€ฆand at the same time be against an unjustified, dangerous military intervention outside of international law.โ€

01.03.2026 19:59 ๐Ÿ‘ 3301 ๐Ÿ” 1102 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 70 ๐Ÿ“Œ 107

I think the last time the USA created regime change solely through bombing was in Cambodia, when a massive carpet bombing campaign so destabilized the country that the Khmer Rouge came to power and wiped out the Royal governmentโ€”the American ally. Genocide followed.

01.03.2026 07:18 ๐Ÿ‘ 220 ๐Ÿ” 91 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 6 ๐Ÿ“Œ 3

Guess he really wants to hit 67% disproval

01.03.2026 04:21 ๐Ÿ‘ 472 ๐Ÿ” 58 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 11 ๐Ÿ“Œ 3
01.03.2026 05:10 ๐Ÿ‘ 1627 ๐Ÿ” 217 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 15 ๐Ÿ“Œ 2
Preview
Belgian army seizes oil tanker from Russian shadow fleet The Belgian army, with support from the French army, has seized an oil tanker from the Russian shadow fleet, Defence minister Theo Francken (N-VA...

Belgian army seizes oil tanker from Russian shadow fleet

01.03.2026 05:59 ๐Ÿ‘ 6 ๐Ÿ” 1 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0 ๐Ÿ“Œ 3

With alt text. Iโ€™veโ€ฆnever seen a court talk like this before?

28.02.2026 14:06 ๐Ÿ‘ 2140 ๐Ÿ” 622 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 34 ๐Ÿ“Œ 21

if people are using classified information to place bets, then theoretically others can analyze betting behavior to find signals that reveal classified information.

01.03.2026 03:28 ๐Ÿ‘ 3452 ๐Ÿ” 942 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 44 ๐Ÿ“Œ 35

It's exhausting living through an entire verse of "We Didn't Start the Fire" every day.

28.02.2026 22:38 ๐Ÿ‘ 103 ๐Ÿ” 24 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 4 ๐Ÿ“Œ 2

obama bombed libya without congressional approval also

don't any of you amoral cheerleaders have memories at least

01.03.2026 01:20 ๐Ÿ‘ 3368 ๐Ÿ” 564 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 54 ๐Ÿ“Œ 9

Just amazing the number of people who canโ€™t seem to simultaneously keep two thoughts in their head at the same time:

(1) the Iranian theocratic regime is bad and would not be missed

(2) there is a real problem in a world where the President of the US can attack random countries on a whim.

01.03.2026 05:51 ๐Ÿ‘ 539 ๐Ÿ” 105 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 12 ๐Ÿ“Œ 3

The Soviets killed Afghanistanโ€™s Hafizullah Amin in 1979. Thatโ€™s the last one I can think of.

The US helped facilitate/greenlit a few assassinations in the 60s: Ngo Dinh Diem in 1963, Rafael Trujillo in 1961, Lumumba the same year (though he was no longer PM).

01.03.2026 02:19 ๐Ÿ‘ 71 ๐Ÿ” 10 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 4 ๐Ÿ“Œ 3

the war is unpopular but it's also illegal but it also doesn't serve any purpose but it also undermines diplomacy but it also is set to produce the opposite outcome as intended but it also already has hundreds dead and threatens more but it also will not make anything better for anyone but it also

01.03.2026 06:19 ๐Ÿ‘ 4045 ๐Ÿ” 937 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 12 ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

Functioning democracies place anti-corruption regulation and enforcement as a high priority.

Not enforcing against corruption allows malign opportunists to garner outsized wealth and influence that helps steer policy and choose leaders. Corruption exacerbates democratic decline.

01.03.2026 03:06 ๐Ÿ‘ 328 ๐Ÿ” 115 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 4 ๐Ÿ“Œ 3
Post image
23.02.2026 07:12 ๐Ÿ‘ 1037 ๐Ÿ” 234 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 15 ๐Ÿ“Œ 11