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Samuel Hurtado

@samuelhurtado

Head of Stress Testing division at Banco de España. Macroeconomics, machine learning and worrying about a world full of post-viral sequelae. He/him.

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16.11.2024
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Latest posts by Samuel Hurtado @samuelhurtado

This should be a bright, blinking light catching everyone’s attention.

07.03.2026 20:32 👍 208 🔁 92 💬 2 📌 2
Caitlin KALINOWSKI over X

I resigned from OpenAl. I care deeply about the Robotics team and the work we built together.
This wasn't an easy call. Al has an important role in national security. But surveillance of Americans without judicial oversight and lethal autonomy without human authorization are lines that deserved more deliberation than they got. This was about principle, not people. I have deep respect for Sam and the team, and I'm proud of what we built together.

Caitlin KALINOWSKI over X I resigned from OpenAl. I care deeply about the Robotics team and the work we built together. This wasn't an easy call. Al has an important role in national security. But surveillance of Americans without judicial oversight and lethal autonomy without human authorization are lines that deserved more deliberation than they got. This was about principle, not people. I have deep respect for Sam and the team, and I'm proud of what we built together.

OpenAI head of robotics just resigned over company deal with the Pentagon saying…

“Surveillance of Americans without judicial oversight and lethal autonomy without human authorization are lines that deserved more deliberation than they got”

07.03.2026 19:05 👍 5974 🔁 2273 💬 116 📌 185

“My little girl was completely burned,” he said. “There was nothing left of her. We could only identify her from her school bag, which she was still holding. She was completely burned.”

05.03.2026 15:23 👍 1216 🔁 588 💬 44 📌 42
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If anyone is friends with any Georgian air traffic controllers, buy them a nice bottle of wine. As guardians of pretty much the only narrow gap still available between Europe and Asia that avoids both Iran, the Gulf, Ukraine and Russia, they are under some substantial pressure.

03.03.2026 14:26 👍 3960 🔁 1279 💬 71 📌 131

Looking at the prices of live cattle and beef, I think that source is missing most of the outbreaks these times
bsky.app/profile/samu...

02.03.2026 19:54 👍 3 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0
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One of my favourite sides of politics/media.

02.03.2026 10:20 👍 13393 🔁 4255 💬 131 📌 174

Empiezo a sospechar que el Premio FIFA de la Paz está amañado.

28.02.2026 08:34 👍 439 🔁 152 💬 16 📌 6

1. Grab the oil
2. Create an oil crisis
3. Profit

01.03.2026 08:56 👍 0 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0
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This is official data from Spain, where I live, and where 85% of the >18 population got the first two doses of the vaccine, and 55% of the population got the third dose as well. Yes, vaccines are great (I'm on my 7th dose), but no, vaccines alone are absolutely not enough.

26.02.2026 15:00 👍 17 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0

Given what prices are doing, how likely is it that under-reporting of H5 has gone way worse?
bsky.app/profile/samu...

25.02.2026 11:11 👍 0 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0
Live Cattle - Price - Chart - Historical Data - News Live Cattle rose to 245 USd/Lbs on February 24, 2026, up 0.01% from the previous day. Over the past month, Live Cattle's price has risen 3.80%, and is up 22.81% compared to the same time last year, ac...

Data source is tradingeconomics
tradingeconomics.com/commodity/li...

25.02.2026 09:40 👍 0 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0
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That's not the case for milk and eggs, but my guess is that there are public interventions in those markets (probably import agreements with other countries)

25.02.2026 09:40 👍 1 🔁 0 💬 1 📌 0
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H5N1 must be still doing the rounds in farms across the US, even if there's almost no information about outbreaks anymore. The prices of live cattle and beef are at 10-year record levels. Poultry not so much but still quite high.

25.02.2026 09:38 👍 0 🔁 0 💬 1 📌 2
Preview
AMD Scores $60B AI Chip Deal With Meta - Technology Org AMD agrees to sell up to $60 billion in AI chips to Meta over five years, with Meta gaining the option to acquire up to 10% of the chipmaker.

To see how dumb "datacenters in space" is:
If you made the ISS with current tech but same size, it could have around 800kW of solar power generation and heat dissipation capacity. This Meta-AMD deal would require 7500 times updated-ISS if it was set up in space.
www.technology.org/2026/02/25/a...

25.02.2026 09:17 👍 0 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0

Here's the problem, though. If you stand up to tanks in the streets, everyone will agree you're a Brave Hero. But if you stand up to the small things -- stopping the train before it really gets started -- you will be coded as *annoying*, as uptight, as moralistic, as uncool.

22.02.2026 20:21 👍 1623 🔁 261 💬 16 📌 36

Exactly what happened in Nazi Germany and occupied Europe

21.02.2026 07:38 👍 591 🔁 217 💬 39 📌 5
Preview
‘Don’t go to the US – not with Trump in charge’: the UK tourist with a valid visa detained by ICE for six weeks Karen Newton was in America on the trip of a lifetime when she was shackled, transported and held for weeks on end. With tourism to the US under increasing strain, she says, ‘If it can happen to me, it can happen to anyone’

‘Don’t go to the US – not with Trump in charge’: the UK tourist with a valid visa detained by ICE for six weeks

21.02.2026 12:01 👍 854 🔁 449 💬 54 📌 75
Mia Valentina Paz Faria
A 7-year-old from Venezuela who was living in Austin, Texas 
Detained for 70 days

“I don’t want to be in this place I want to go to my school.”

Mia Valentina Paz Faria A 7-year-old from Venezuela who was living in Austin, Texas Detained for 70 days “I don’t want to be in this place I want to go to my school.”

UPDATE: Staff at the ICE concentration camp in Dilley, Texas have begun raiding the dormitories of kids and their parents to confiscate and destroy letters from the children. This is in response to the ace reporting by 
@micarosenberg
 et al for ProPublica:

UPDATE: Staff at the ICE concentration camp in Dilley, Texas have begun raiding the dormitories of kids and their parents to confiscate and destroy letters from the children. This is in response to the ace reporting by @micarosenberg et al for ProPublica:

“I don’t want to be in this place I want to go to my school.”

- 7 year old imprisoned by ICE for 70 days in a concentration camp in Texas.

Today, after @propublica.org published this story, the camp was raided to confiscate letters from the children.

www.propublica.org/article/ice-...

17.02.2026 19:31 👍 12166 🔁 7001 💬 325 📌 832
Preview
FDA reverses course, agrees to review Moderna’s flu vaccine The FDA reversed course and told Moderna it would review its application for a new flu vaccine, the company announced Wednesday.

#FDA backs down on #Moderna: The agency had refused to review the company's licensure application for an mRNA flu vaccine, but after significant pushback has relented. www.statnews.com/2026/02/18/f...

18.02.2026 13:45 👍 425 🔁 151 💬 4 📌 31
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Vaccines are awesome (I've had 7 covid jabs so far) but they won't spare you a significant amount of health sequelae. You need a respirator and avoiding covid altogether for that.
(Spanish data because that's where I'm from)

18.02.2026 08:13 👍 4 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0

It's not homemade if you're not living with the sheep from which you make the yarn

18.02.2026 08:01 👍 0 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0

I've had both. The cheaper one lasted a year or so, then the readings became unreliable (e.g. reading 600 outdoors in a pretty normal setting). The aranet cost me 3 times as much, so it's still early to know if it was a good investment, but so far it works great, and I don't have to charge battery.

17.02.2026 20:20 👍 3 🔁 0 💬 2 📌 0

Weird, what a messy site 😅

14.02.2026 17:58 👍 1 🔁 0 💬 1 📌 0
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Población por sexo, edad (año a año) y país de nacimiento (España/extranjero)(68520) INE. Instituto Nacional de Estadística. National Statistics Institute. Spanish Statistical Office. El INE elabora y distribuye estadisticas de Espana. Este servidor contiene: Censos de Poblacion y Viv...

But I guess it then links with this new series
www.ine.es/jaxiT3/Tabla...

14.02.2026 16:23 👍 1 🔁 0 💬 1 📌 0
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Población por edad (año a año), Españoles/Extranjeros, Sexo y Año. Serie de Población Española/Extranjera desde 1998 por edad (año a año) para el Total Nacional

Age by year only gets to 2022
www.ine.es/jaxi/Tabla.h...

14.02.2026 16:22 👍 0 🔁 0 💬 1 📌 0

No idea, there are official population studies at ine but I'd have to download the numbers

14.02.2026 15:04 👍 1 🔁 0 💬 1 📌 0
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Exclusive: Key US infectious-diseases centre to drop pandemic preparation Staff members have been instructed to scrub this topic and ‘biodefense’ from the agency’s website.

This directly weakens the national security of the United States. Removing words from websites and cutting critical programs simply because they are now considered to not match the dominant political ideology is absolute folly. You can't just wish a threat away.

www.nature.com/articles/d41...

14.02.2026 10:39 👍 155 🔁 53 💬 6 📌 3

If I had time:

Use age-specific mortality rate paths in 2018 population protections as reference.

Start in 2020, see excess deaths by age, calculate expected death years for each of them in the projections.

Use that to update path of expected deaths, and mortality rates.

Repeat for 2021

Etc

14.02.2026 09:45 👍 1 🔁 0 💬 1 📌 0
Photo from IG account celebs in masks showing a group of German athletes masking in earloop respirator style masks and clapping their hands on Feb. 9

Photo from IG account celebs in masks showing a group of German athletes masking in earloop respirator style masks and clapping their hands on Feb. 9

I can't think of better rebranding ambassadors for masks than the 2026 Olympians. Our leaders have tried to pass off masks as something you only wear if already sick or older with comorbidities.

But everyone is vulnerable to post viral illness. These athletes get it 👏🏼👏🏼

14.02.2026 01:00 👍 278 🔁 75 💬 1 📌 4

Wait, this makes me think about the response to the moderna flu vaccine. It's projection! Their though must have been "I'll say they are doing here the thing that I'm doing there".

14.02.2026 07:54 👍 0 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0