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Leverhulme Centre for Demographic Science, Oxford University

@oxforddemsci

Interdisciplinary research center based at the University of Oxford and Oxford Population Health - disrupting and realigning #demography. Funded by @leverhulme.bsky.social https://www.demography.ox.ac.uk/

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Latest posts by Leverhulme Centre for Demographic Science, Oxford University @oxforddemsci

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πŸ‘©β€πŸ”¬πŸ€΅β€β™€οΈπŸ‘©β€βš–οΈ For International Women’s Day @nuffieldcollege.bsky.social will host @melindacmills.bsky.social for a talk entitled "How to Be Brilliant Without Being Behaved".

More details:
www.demography.ox.ac.uk/news/melinda...

#IWD2026 #WomenInScience #Demography

06.03.2026 14:57 πŸ‘ 4 πŸ” 1 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0
Screenshot from Changing Populations newsletter which has an image showing a woman in bed looking distressed as she tries to sleep while the sun shines onto the bed, with the headline 'Night shift work and sleep'. Article intro text reads: Research by CG Co-Director Professor Melinda Mills MBE has found that night shift work is linked to shorter sleep duration among middle-aged and older adults, with women, parents, and less-educated workers facing the greatest impact.
As part of her European Research Council (ERC) CHRONO and Leverhulme Centre for Demographic Science (LCDS) work, the research co-authored by Professor Mills draws on data from 217,863 participants in the UK Biobank. Findings show that night shift workers, on average, sleep eight minutes less per night than non-shift workers. While seemingly modest, this reduction compounds over years of work and has profound health implications.
The research identifies multiple moderating factors that shape how night shift work affects sleep:

Screenshot from Changing Populations newsletter which has an image showing a woman in bed looking distressed as she tries to sleep while the sun shines onto the bed, with the headline 'Night shift work and sleep'. Article intro text reads: Research by CG Co-Director Professor Melinda Mills MBE has found that night shift work is linked to shorter sleep duration among middle-aged and older adults, with women, parents, and less-educated workers facing the greatest impact. As part of her European Research Council (ERC) CHRONO and Leverhulme Centre for Demographic Science (LCDS) work, the research co-authored by Professor Mills draws on data from 217,863 participants in the UK Biobank. Findings show that night shift workers, on average, sleep eight minutes less per night than non-shift workers. While seemingly modest, this reduction compounds over years of work and has profound health implications. The research identifies multiple moderating factors that shape how night shift work affects sleep:

πŸŒƒ β€œ #Sleep is often overlooked in discussions of work and health, yet it's a fundamental way #stress translates into disease," says @melindacmills.bsky.social from @oxforddemsci.bsky.social in the latest Changing Populations.

Read the full story in section 9: sway.cloud.microsoft/WzAYgcw05ELX...

05.03.2026 10:42 πŸ‘ 1 πŸ” 1 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0
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Key Graph: estimated life expectancy deficit (relative to pre-covid trends) by country

04.03.2026 14:50 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0
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Temporary Shock or Lasting Scar? Life Expectancy Trajectories Since COVID-19 The COVID-19 pandemic led to substantial life expectancy losses globally. Historically, life expectancy reversals have been followed by rapid returns to previous trajectories, but whether this is true...

You can find several authors on here:
@drjenndowd.bsky.social @jschoeley.com @polizzan.bsky.social @haohao-lei.bsky.social @ridhikashyap.bsky.social

and the preprint is here www.medrxiv.org/content/10.6...

04.03.2026 14:48 πŸ‘ 4 πŸ” 1 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0
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New LCDS Preprint Asks: Has COVID-19 Left a Lasting Scar on Life Expectancy? Five years after the onset of the COVID-19 pandemic, an important question remains: was COVID-19 a short-lived mortality shock, or has it more permanently altered life expectancy trajectories? A new p...

Five years after the pandemic began, have countries returned to their pre-COVID life expectancy trajectories?

New research shows 31 of 34 high-income countries still have life expectancy deficits in 2024, suggesting lasting effects on population health.

www.demography.ox.ac.uk/news/new-lcd...

04.03.2026 14:44 πŸ‘ 9 πŸ” 9 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0
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Bonus highlight of the talk? A curious little visitor! 🐞

Somehow a ladybug kept dropping by Melinda’s podium (stylized photo representation).

Surely an omen of good luck for all the future OFH research coming up.

04.03.2026 09:50 πŸ‘ 1 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0
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Our Future Health We’re bringing together up to five million people to develop new ways to prevent, detect and treat diseases.

Our Future Health is a new exciting biobank that has the potential to reach about 10% of the UK population.

Researchers at our centre are at the forefront of assessing how representative the data is and what population biases it might have.

more about OFH ourfuturehealth.org.uk

04.03.2026 09:49 πŸ‘ 1 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0
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Yesterday @melindacmills.bsky.social delivered the Richard Doll SeminarπŸŽ“πŸŽ€ about the "Our Future Health" data.

She outlined the exciting prospects of large-scale health data and her analysis of representativeness of the biobank population to a packed room, full of interested questions.

04.03.2026 09:48 πŸ‘ 4 πŸ” 3 πŸ’¬ 2 πŸ“Œ 0
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"Temporary shock or lasting scar?"
By 2024 nearly all high-income countries remained below their pre-pandemic life expectancy trends. We identify four distinct mortality shock patterns since 2020. Full analysis in our preprint: www.medrxiv.org/content/10.6...

03.03.2026 08:07 πŸ‘ 15 πŸ” 6 πŸ’¬ 7 πŸ“Œ 5
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New Working Paper Explores Mortality Patterns in the Intersex Population Researchers at the Leverhulme Centre for Demographic Science (LCDS) have released a new working paper examining mortality patterns in the intersex population, the first study of its kind to address th...

Breaking new grounds in demographic science:

Fresh research from
@mortenkthomsen.bsky.social, @andreatilstra.bsky.social and Jane Greve investigates mortality patterns in the intersex population, a group long absent from population health research.

www.demography.ox.ac.uk/news/new-wor...

27.02.2026 13:43 πŸ‘ 5 πŸ” 3 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0
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Assessing Representativeness and Bias in Large Prospective Biobanks: Insights from Our Future Health Bio: Melinda Mills is a Professor of Demography and Population Health, Director of the Leverhulme Centre for Demographic Science and Demographic Science Unit at NDPH and Nuffield College. Her work foc...

πŸ“’πŸŽ“ Upcoming talk by @melindacmills.bsky.social

"Assessing Representativeness and Bias in Large Prospective Biobanks: Insights from Our Future Health"

πŸ“†March 3, 13:00
πŸ“Richard Doll Building

learn about the latest OFH data release covering >1.9 million participants.

talks.ox.ac.uk/talks/id/e2a...

27.02.2026 09:19 πŸ‘ 3 πŸ” 2 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

Important new contribution out in @pnas.org looks at what the collapse in funding for Demographic and Health Surveys (DHS) that came from the USAID defunding means and how we can best move forward from here. Longer thread below πŸ‘‡

26.02.2026 14:30 πŸ‘ 19 πŸ” 6 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0
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Oxford researchers launch smartphone-based β€˜epigames’ for pandemic preparedness Researchers from the Leverhulme Centre for Demographic Science (LCDS), Oxford Population Health at the University of Oxford, working with colleagues from the Pandemic Sciences Institute and internatio...

An experimental approach to pandemic preparedness:

A new @nathealth.nature.com article introduces β€œEpigames” smartphone-based simulations that model pandemic outbreaks and behavioural responses in real time. πŸ“±πŸ¦ 

Read more:
www.demography.ox.ac.uk/news/oxford-...

25.02.2026 13:28 πŸ‘ 3 πŸ” 2 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0
Relationship and Health Drive Living Kidney Donation, But Finances Still Matter
Relationship and Health Drive Living Kidney Donation, But Finances Still Matter YouTube video by HCPLive

There is also a video of Mary explaining her research that comes with the article! www.youtube.com/watch?v=DVsV...

25.02.2026 08:50 πŸ‘ 2 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0
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Donor–Recipient Closeness, Perceived Life Extension Drive Living Kidney Donation Decisions, With Mary Roberts, PhD | HCPLive Survey of 600 US relatives finds donor–recipient closeness and expected life extension drive living kidney donation more than financial concerns.

Read about @mkroberts.bsky.social discuss her research on peoples' decisions about living kidney donation: closeness to the recipient and the belief it will extend their life are key motivators . πŸ’™πŸ§¬

www.hcplive.com/view/donor-r...

25.02.2026 08:49 πŸ‘ 4 πŸ” 1 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0
Phenofhy Python package for phenotype data processing and analysis within the Our Future Health TRE

New Python package for worlds biggest health dataset "Our Future Health" πŸβš•οΈπŸ–₯️:

Phenofhy by @vincentjstraub.bsky.social supports workfklows from data extraction to profiling phenotypes pre-GWAS

Docs: studiovincentstraub.github.io/phenofhy/

Community: studiovincentstraub.github.io/phenofhy/sup...

24.02.2026 13:25 πŸ‘ 3 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0
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New research shows high temperatures affect sex ratios at birth | 'Temperature and sex ratios at birth', a newΒ studyΒ led by researchers at theΒ Department of SociologyΒ at the University of Oxford and published inΒ Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences

NEW: Oxford researchers have found that higher temperatures can shift the sex ratio at birth.

Temperatures above 20Β°C are consistently linked to fewer boys being born across multiple regions - with implications for population health and gender balance.

Read more from @sociologyoxford.bsky.social ⬇️

24.02.2026 09:46 πŸ‘ 15 πŸ” 9 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 3

addendum: I forgot to tag prize-winner Antonino Polizzi, you can find him under @polizzan.bsky.social

23.02.2026 14:25 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

We were proud to celebrate these exceptional scholars.

As Jiani Yan said:

β€œI greatly appreciate the establishment of this prize in Julia's memory, as I remain inspired by her kindness, dedication, and passion for population health.”

We thank @leverhulme.ac.uk and @nuffieldcollege.bsky.social

23.02.2026 14:13 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0
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πŸ₯ˆ Runner-Up: Antonino Polizzi πŸ₯ˆ

Recognised for his work:

β€œWhy is life expectancy in England and Wales falling behind? A cause-of-death decomposition approach.”

Find it here:

osf.io/preprints/so...

23.02.2026 14:09 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 1
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πŸ₯ˆ Runner-Up: @jasminabdelghany.bsky.social πŸ₯ˆ

Recognised for her work (just published in PNAS):

β€œTemperature and Sex Ratios at Birth”

find it here: www.pnas.org/doi/10.1073/...

23.02.2026 14:07 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0
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🌟 Joint First Prize Winner: Jiani Yan 🌟

Recognised for her work:

β€œRevisiting the social determinants of health with explainable AI: a cross-country perspective.”

find it here: academic.oup.com/aje/advance-...

23.02.2026 14:03 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0
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🌟 Joint First Prize Winner: @edithdarin.bsky.social 🌟

Recognised for her work:

β€œLeveraging High-Frequency Digital Data to Analyze Forced Displacement Dynamics: A Case Study from the Gaza Strip.”

Edith builds tools to track population displacement in real time during crises .

23.02.2026 13:55 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0
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Winners Announced of the Julia Mead Knox Memorial Prize The Leverhulme Centre for Demographic Science (LCDS) is pleased to announce the winners of the 2025 Julia Mead Knox Memorial Prize for outstanding PhD work in the area interdisciplinary demographic re...

Today we celebrate the winners of the Julia Mead Knox Prize, handed out in memory of a brilliant DPhil student at LCDS, whose passion for inclusive, justice-oriented demographic research continues to inspire us. πŸ‘‰ demography.ox.ac.uk/news/winners-announced-julia-mead-knox-memorial-prize

23.02.2026 13:50 πŸ‘ 8 πŸ” 1 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 1
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New LCDS Research Shows High Temperatures Affect Sex Ratios at Birth A study led by Dr Jasmin Abdel Ghany, and including several LCDS associated researchers, provides new evidence that rising temperatures can influence the sex ratio at birth, with important implication...

How does extreme heat shape who is born β€” and where?

New study by @jasminabdelghany.bsky.social out in @pnas.org today links high temperatures to changes in sex ratios at birth in sub-Saharan Africa and India. πŸ”¬πŸ“Š

www.demography.ox.ac.uk/news/new-lcd...

20.02.2026 14:21 πŸ‘ 7 πŸ” 4 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

We can confirm that we do indeed love having Jakub around!

20.02.2026 08:54 πŸ‘ 2 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0
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It was great to welcome Dr. Alejandro Espinosa-Rada to LCDS this week for a fascinating seminar on how informal social groups shape identity through everyday interaction, networks, and shared contexts.
A stimulating discussion on how networks form in the younger generation followed! πŸ“Š

19.02.2026 15:46 πŸ‘ 1 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0
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New Research by Dr Mary Roberts Highlights Inequalities in Kidney Care and Living Donation Two new publications by Dr Mary Roberts (Leverhulme Centre for Demographic Science) shed new light on how social inequalities shape the experiences of people living with kidney disease in the United S...

Two new research publications from LCDS researcher @mkroberts.bsky.social highlights persistent inequalities in kidney care: from treatment pathways after kidney failure to family decisions about living donation. πŸ‘©β€βš•οΈπŸ‘¨β€βš•οΈ

πŸ”— www.demography.ox.ac.uk/news/new-res...

19.02.2026 13:16 πŸ‘ 2 πŸ” 1 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0
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Two New Studies Deepen Our Understanding of the Link between Motherhood and Labour Market Outcomes Two recent publications by Sander Wagner (Leverhulme Centre for Demographic Science) provide new evidence on how becoming a mother affects women’s careers, and why these effects matter for gender ineq...

Two new studies deepen our understanding of the link between motherhood & labour market outcomes:

1) shows the link between motherhood penalties and broader gender inequality

2) explores how motherhood penalties are stratified

www.demography.ox.ac.uk/news/two-new...

18.02.2026 13:54 πŸ‘ 6 πŸ” 3 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 1
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GLP1R expression protects against 58 diseases but raises risk for 34 diseases and neonatal health Cardiometabolic gene-target drugs such as Glucagon-Like Peptide 1 Receptor agonists are used extensively, yet risks and repurposing have not been systematically evaluated across a comprehensive set of...

find the preprint here:

www.medrxiv.org/content/10.6...

17.02.2026 16:19 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0