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Niclas Poitiers

@niclaspoitiers

Research Fellow at Bruegel, working on European Trade and Industrial Policy

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16.12.2024
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Latest posts by Niclas Poitiers @niclaspoitiers

The inability of Germany to create a decent private pension product for the masses is mind-blowing.

In the 2000s, *maybe* we didn't know how, not enough precedents. But now? Literally next door. πŸ‡³πŸ‡±πŸ‡ΈπŸ‡ͺ

26.02.2026 12:05 πŸ‘ 92 πŸ” 21 πŸ’¬ 10 πŸ“Œ 0

Industrial accelerator act delayed…until March. Rejected by 9 DGs and von der Leyen

17.02.2026 13:02 πŸ‘ 2 πŸ” 2 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 7
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πŸ’ͺ One million Europeans work in clean tech jobs. That is 2 jobs per 1,000 people and twice the level of 2010.

But clean tech employment varies across countries - Lithuania leads with 5.4 jobs per 1,000 people.

Find out more in our European Clean Tech Tracker (link in the comments).

11.02.2026 09:50 πŸ‘ 12 πŸ” 5 πŸ’¬ 2 πŸ“Œ 0
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🏭 β€˜Made with Europe’ not β€˜Made in Europe’ should guide EU industrial policy

πŸ’‘ Read the First Glance by Ignacio GarcΓ­a Bercero,
@bmcwilliams.bsky.social, @niclaspoitiers.bsky.social and @tagliapietra.bsky.social

πŸ”— www.bruegel.org/first-glance...
#EconSky

10.02.2026 14:45 πŸ‘ 7 πŸ” 4 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 2
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Today's Eurobarometer survey is a touch gloomy, but the kids are alright

72% are worried about wars, 69% disinformation, 68% hate speech

While 52% are pessimistic about the world's future, 80% of 15-30 yr olds are optimistic about their future, 65% about the EU, 50% the world

04.02.2026 07:37 πŸ‘ 12 πŸ” 3 πŸ’¬ 2 πŸ“Œ 0

This time, Europe’s leaders played the EU-US trade game well.

From the Franco-German tough line to Meloni’s off-ramps, backed by a credible €93bn retaliation threat, they made escalation for Trump costly, and de-escalation easy.

Markets and US politics did the rest β€” Rutte scoring on the assist.

21.01.2026 21:03 πŸ‘ 191 πŸ” 57 πŸ’¬ 10 πŸ“Œ 4

I think deterrence... worked. Europe's response was actually strong. They sent forces to Denmark, they threatened to retaliate with tariffs, they talked about selling US debt, they made markets nervous and it looked like Trump TACO'd... for now.

21.01.2026 15:21 πŸ‘ 167 πŸ” 36 πŸ’¬ 11 πŸ“Œ 6
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European GDP in current USD has just gone up 1%.
1% GDP growth in just 24 hours, who needs Mario Draghi?

20.01.2026 10:03 πŸ‘ 53 πŸ” 11 πŸ’¬ 2 πŸ“Œ 0
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The unfortunate consequence of tariffs and the uncertainty they create is that Transatlantic trade is slowly disappearing.

For clean tech products, EU - US exports have fallen by two-thirds this year while imports from the US are down by a half.

european-clean-tech-tracker.bruegel.org/s/vREcWw

20.01.2026 15:31 πŸ‘ 6 πŸ” 4 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

#BREAKING Trump threatens 200% tariffs on French wine and Champagne over France's intentions to decline invitation to join his Board of Peace
@afp.com

20.01.2026 05:45 πŸ‘ 15 πŸ” 6 πŸ’¬ 2 πŸ“Œ 3
A photo of a tomb for Spanish royalty at El Escorial.

A photo of a tomb for Spanish royalty at El Escorial.

The decline of child mortality, in one pictureβ€”

Some weeks ago, our colleague @bastianherre.bsky.social went to El Escorial, a royal palace near Madrid. Many of the Spanish kings are buried there, along with their family members.

16.01.2026 08:18 πŸ‘ 37 πŸ” 12 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0

You can discuss many aspects of this data, you may find a different measure that leads to a (slightly) different conclusion. But German negativity is extremely excessive. So the next time when you are confronted with typical German pessimism, use these facts to counter the narrative.

13.01.2026 13:39 πŸ‘ 189 πŸ” 15 πŸ’¬ 3 πŸ“Œ 4

A few quick thoughts about this morning's decision. Don't believe the spin from various Russians & others: it's a big deal. The EU has now unambiguously demonstrated that it is able and willing to provide the external financial support Ukraine needs, for as long and as much as it takes. (1/N)

19.12.2025 10:31 πŸ‘ 419 πŸ” 163 πŸ’¬ 2 πŸ“Œ 18

Most important is that Ukraine gets the money. Huge deal for EU:
1) if you want to do EU foreign policy, you need EU resources and debt. #EUCO delivered
2) First time this EU debt was decided without unanimity as far as I can remember

www.consilium.europa.eu/media/wqmkno...

19.12.2025 07:49 πŸ‘ 43 πŸ” 15 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 2

There’s gonna be a lot of hyperbolic talk about EU failing to meet the moment, yada, yada. But a 90 BILLION EU loan is a huge step for the EU and Ukraine! Europe just borrowed for war! EU crossed the joint borrowing rubicon. And they can still do the reparations loan in 2026.

19.12.2025 02:24 πŸ‘ 83 πŸ” 32 πŸ’¬ 3 πŸ“Œ 2

Here's a quick reminder of the composition of the economy of countries that are all too often perceived as agricultural:
Italy: 65.6% services, 21.7% industry - 2% agriculture
France: 70.4% services, 17.5% industry - 1.4% agriculture
Austria: 65.3% services, 23.1% industry - 1.2% agriculture

18.12.2025 20:19 πŸ‘ 26 πŸ” 6 πŸ’¬ 3 πŸ“Œ 3
The Baltic states all doubled their GDP per capita since 2000. Slope chart showing GDP per capita for Estonia, Lithuania, and Latvia with data points at 2000 and 2024. In 2000: Estonia $21k, Lithuania $16k, Latvia $15k. In 2024: Lithuania $47k, Estonia $42k, Latvia $39k. Each country’s two points are connected by a line showing roughly a doubling from 2000 to 2024. Data source: Eurostat, OECD, IMF, and World Bank (2025). Note: this data is expressed in international dollars at 2021 prices. License: CC BY to Our World in Data

The Baltic states all doubled their GDP per capita since 2000. Slope chart showing GDP per capita for Estonia, Lithuania, and Latvia with data points at 2000 and 2024. In 2000: Estonia $21k, Lithuania $16k, Latvia $15k. In 2024: Lithuania $47k, Estonia $42k, Latvia $39k. Each country’s two points are connected by a line showing roughly a doubling from 2000 to 2024. Data source: Eurostat, OECD, IMF, and World Bank (2025). Note: this data is expressed in international dollars at 2021 prices. License: CC BY to Our World in Data

GDP per capita has doubled in all three Baltic states since 2000β€”

Since 2000, GDP per capita has doubled in all three Baltic states: Estonia, Latvia, and Lithuania (where it has nearly tripled).

16.12.2025 13:05 πŸ‘ 74 πŸ” 15 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 2

Is Germany again dragging its feet and undermining a "simple" solution to the Ukraine financing problem, instead pushing the ubercomplex reparations loan?

It's a tempting eurocrisis reflex that if only there were a will in Berlin, there would be a better way.

But there isn't. Here is why:

16.12.2025 08:46 πŸ‘ 119 πŸ” 51 πŸ’¬ 4 πŸ“Œ 22

One big topic this week: the #Mercosur agreement. It would be absolutely appaling if the #EU again delayed. France should drop its absurd call for yet another delay. We have been debating this agreement for 25 years and yes, there are lot's of safeguards for special interests already.

15.12.2025 08:19 πŸ‘ 42 πŸ” 16 πŸ’¬ 2 πŸ“Œ 3

It has become received wisdom in Brussels and Washington that there is a new β€œeuro-sclerosis”: that the EU economy is lagging the US

This view is wrong

A little primer on the measurement of productivity – and why reports of the economic death of Europe are greatly exaggerated🧡

12.12.2025 12:32 πŸ‘ 1165 πŸ” 604 πŸ’¬ 25 πŸ“Œ 90

When we focus on the "brilliance" of unaccountable perpetrators, we are forgoing the brilliance of the young people deterred from their fields

bsky.app/profile/coho...

18.11.2025 14:30 πŸ‘ 32 πŸ” 7 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0
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Bundesbank Head Says EU Must Be Ready to Retaliate Against China Bundesbank President Joachim Nagel said he hopes that Europe can overcome trade difficulties with China, but should be ready to take firm action if necessary.

Germany's unlikely new China hawk - president of central bank, has found his wings. Nagel says EU should be ready to retaliate against Beijing

If retaliation is a last resort, β€œI would say, okay, we have to be strong and have to take a bold decision"

25.10.2025 08:31 πŸ‘ 36 πŸ” 10 πŸ’¬ 2 πŸ“Œ 0

This was always a central flaw in the European chips policy: it chased the flashy smartphone chips whereas what Europe industry really depends on is much more mundane

24.10.2025 06:16 πŸ‘ 9 πŸ” 6 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

European Council summits are often treated by outside observers as foreign policy-style summits, especially when issues like frozen Russian assets are discussed. But really this is like domestic legislating. There's always haggling. This is how the EU sausage gets made.

23.10.2025 19:46 πŸ‘ 24 πŸ” 1 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

High time to get rid of the 'bazooka' framing. The ACI is not a magic weapon. It's a new procedural way of threatening retaliation and then imposing it. The effect really depends on the threats the EU is willing to make. Currently we're mainly deterring ourselves with the military analogies.

22.10.2025 12:28 πŸ‘ 4 πŸ” 2 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0
Ukraine’s average daily official and market exchange rates.

Ukraine’s average daily official and market exchange rates.

Ukraine's central bank has held the country's exchange rate relatively stable in the last year after the initial volatility caused by Russia’s full-scale invasion. But that might be about to change.

Read more: kyivindependent.com/will-ukraine...

21.10.2025 19:01 πŸ‘ 1 πŸ” 1 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0
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🏠 Heat pumps are a key enabler of buildings decarbonisation. After a jump during the energy crisis, their deployment has slowed-down. Reversing this is key for climate, security and competitiveness, as Europe is a leading manufacturer of the technology. See: european-clean-tech-tracker.bruegel.org

21.10.2025 10:33 πŸ‘ 18 πŸ” 6 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0
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⚑9.-KlÀssler:innen 2024 vs. 2018:

Mathe -24⬇️
Bio -24⬇️
Chemie -24⬇️
Physik -23⬇️

Die neuen Ergebnisse des IQB-Bildungstrends.

Ganz grob gesprochen: 9.-KlΓ€ssler:innen liegen heute etwa auf Niveau der 8.-KlΓ€ssler:innen noch vor 6 Jahren.
1/3

17.10.2025 05:32 πŸ‘ 21 πŸ” 12 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 2
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EU Considers Forced Tech Transfers for New Chinese Investments The European Union is considering forcing Chinese firms to hand over technology to European companies if they want to operate locally, in an aggressive new push to make the bloc’s industry more competitive.

Bloomberg: EU considering forcing Chinese firms to hand over tech to European companies if they want to operate locally. as part of a legislative proposal called the Industrial Accelerator Act - expected in November

14.10.2025 13:35 πŸ‘ 42 πŸ” 15 πŸ’¬ 2 πŸ“Œ 5
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No green growth without innovation This Policy Brief is a reissue of a Policy Brief published by Bruegel in November 2009

πŸŽ‰ Congratulations to former Bruegel Fellow Philippe Aghion for being awarded the @riksbank.se Nobel Prize in Economic Sciences

πŸ’‘ In 2009, Aghion co-authored a Policy Brief on 'No green growth without innovation', co-authored with Reinhilde Veugelers and David HΓ©mous
πŸ”— buff.ly/yXNJqEg

13.10.2025 13:22 πŸ‘ 1 πŸ” 2 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0