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Flavio Azevedo

@flavioazevedo

Asst Prof in Interdisciplinary Social Sciences at Utrecht University https://flavioazevedo.com Director of FORRT @forrt.bsky.social http://forrt.org Google Scholar https://scholar.google.com/citations?user=O2Mp3ygAAAAJ&hl=en

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29.07.2023
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Latest posts by Flavio Azevedo @flavioazevedo

⏳ 2 weeks left to apply to the Making Replications Count Hackathon (Münster, 4–6 May 2026). Join us to build open tools that make replications impossible to ignore. Apply by 16 March: indico.uni-muenster.de/e/marco2

04.03.2026 16:57 👍 5 🔁 7 💬 0 📌 0

Thank you John, we didn't know of this very important work. We will incorporate it in the review.

03.03.2026 07:05 👍 2 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 1
Abstract: This piece critiques the dominant assumption in social and political psychology, as well as in political science and other disciplines, that polarization is inherently undesirable and should therefore be reduced under all circumstances. We argue that this premise reflects a neutrality bias (or depoliticizing bias) that obscures the asymmetrical nature of contemporary political conflict. We distinguish democratic polarization—agonistic contestation among actors who accept multicultural pluralism, democratic institutions and election outcomes, civil and human rights, and epistemic accountability—from anti-democratic polarization, in which conflict is strategically mobilized to delegitimize opponents, erode institutional constraints, and normalize dehumanization, scapegoating, misinformation, anti-scientific, and conspiratorial narratives as a route to political power. In a global context marked by the growing...

Abstract: This piece critiques the dominant assumption in social and political psychology, as well as in political science and other disciplines, that polarization is inherently undesirable and should therefore be reduced under all circumstances. We argue that this premise reflects a neutrality bias (or depoliticizing bias) that obscures the asymmetrical nature of contemporary political conflict. We distinguish democratic polarization—agonistic contestation among actors who accept multicultural pluralism, democratic institutions and election outcomes, civil and human rights, and epistemic accountability—from anti-democratic polarization, in which conflict is strategically mobilized to delegitimize opponents, erode institutional constraints, and normalize dehumanization, scapegoating, misinformation, anti-scientific, and conspiratorial narratives as a route to political power. In a global context marked by the growing...

“Not all polarization is equivalent nor undesirable”

New preprint by Felipe Vilanova and @flavioazevedo.bsky.social:

osf.io/preprints/ps...

01.03.2026 11:49 👍 37 🔁 17 💬 2 📌 1
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It’s the FORRT that counts | BPS How the Framework for Open and Reproducible Research Training (FORRT) are tackling big problems with a big community. Dr Flavio Azevedo, Dr Madeleine Pownall, and the FORRT Community.

It’s the FORRT that counts…
How the Framework for Open and Reproducible Research Training are tackling big problems with a big community. Dr @flavioazevedo.bsky.social, Dr @maddipow.bsky.social, and the @forrt.bsky.social Community.
www.bps.org.uk/psychologist...

26.02.2026 17:27 👍 7 🔁 3 💬 0 📌 0
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It’s the FORRT that counts | BPS How the Framework for Open and Reproducible Research Training (FORRT) are tackling big problems with a big community. Dr Flavio Azevedo, Dr Madeleine Pownall, and the FORRT Community.

"@forrt.bsky.social's work is, and always has been, driven by a core belief in the power of community to solve the complex problems that no single researcher, lab, or institution can fix alone." Our feature is out today in The Psychologist!
@flavioazevedo.bsky.social❤️ www.bps.org.uk/psychologist...

27.02.2026 07:46 👍 8 🔁 2 💬 1 📌 0

Amazing Maddi is at it again! 💓🥳👏

27.02.2026 09:46 👍 0 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0
APA PsycNet

Economic System Justification Predicts Stigmatization of Mental Illness in the United States -- new article in American Psychologist with Jussi Valtonen and @flavioazevedo.bsky.social

psycnet.apa.org/doiLanding?d...

24.02.2026 18:58 👍 1 🔁 1 💬 0 📌 0
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Paper on statistical power necessary for interaction effects
doi.org/10.1177/2515...

20.02.2026 09:17 👍 146 🔁 57 💬 4 📌 8

As always amazing work!!

20.02.2026 12:54 👍 1 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0

Two preprints from my PhD are now up!

Both ask: is the Statistics Anxiety Rating Scale (STARS) is measuring something distinct from the Revised Mathematics Anxiety Scale (R-MARS), or is this a jangle fallacy?

Study 1: osf.io/preprints/ps...
Study 2: osf.io/preprints/ps...

20.02.2026 11:49 👍 19 🔁 5 💬 2 📌 2
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If progress is not to falter, students must be trained in open research The how and why of conducting transparent, rigorous, ethical research must be explicitly taught, say Madeleine Pownall, Charlotte Pennington and Flavio Azevedo

“Open research is about more than the tightening of analytical and methodological standards. The movement also invites us to reconsider how, and by whom, knowledge is created, shared and evaluated”

By @maddipow.bsky.social, @drcpennington.bsky.social, & @flavioazevedo.bsky.social

#MetaSci #OpenSci

16.02.2026 18:10 👍 25 🔁 12 💬 0 📌 0

👏 @batoolmm.bsky.social 👏

16.02.2026 11:21 👍 2 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0
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Metascience for whom? A question as old as science. Before we fix science, we need to ask who built it!

“We should be careful not to marginalise questions of power, because in wearing that aura of clean objectivity, metascience risks becoming strangely depoliticised.”

By @batoolmm.bsky.social

16.02.2026 11:09 👍 34 🔁 5 💬 2 📌 2
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Happy Valentine's Day from us at FORRT! ❤️

forrt.org

13.02.2026 09:12 👍 9 🔁 2 💬 0 📌 0
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🎓 This Friday (13.02), we welcome @flavioazevedo.bsky.social as our guest in the #HotPoliticsLab! He will present his work on building academic infrastructures for credibility and inclusivity.

📍 Location: Common Room (REC-B9.22)
💻 Or join us online 👉 teams.microsoft.com/dl/launcher/...

12.02.2026 10:32 👍 2 🔁 2 💬 0 📌 0

"Scientific literacy has long been a cornerstone of higher education but the open research movement has redefined what it means to be literate as a researcher" with @flavioazevedo.bsky.social & @drcpennington.bsky.social

www.timeshighereducation.com/opinion/if-p...

12.02.2026 08:43 👍 11 🔁 7 💬 0 📌 0
It must be very hard to publish null results
Publication practices in the social sciences act as a filter that favors statistically significant results over null findings. While the problem of selection on significance (SoS) is well-known in theory, it has been difficult to measure its scope empirically, and it has been challenging to determine how selection varies across contexts. In this article, we use large language models to extract granular and validated data on about 100,000 articles published in over 150 political science journals from 2010 to 2024. We show that fewer than 2% of articles that rely on statistical methods report null-only findings in their abstracts, while over 90% of papers highlight significant results. To put these findings in perspective, we develop and calibrate a simple model of publication bias. Across a range of plausible assumptions, we find that statistically significant results are estimated to be one to two orders of magnitude more likely to enter the published record than null results. Leveraging metadata extracted from individual articles, we show that the pattern of strong SoS holds across subfields, journals, methods, and time periods. However, a few factors such as pre-registration and randomized experiments correlate with greater acceptance of null results. We conclude by discussing implications for the field and the potential of our new dataset for investigating other questions about political science.

It must be very hard to publish null results Publication practices in the social sciences act as a filter that favors statistically significant results over null findings. While the problem of selection on significance (SoS) is well-known in theory, it has been difficult to measure its scope empirically, and it has been challenging to determine how selection varies across contexts. In this article, we use large language models to extract granular and validated data on about 100,000 articles published in over 150 political science journals from 2010 to 2024. We show that fewer than 2% of articles that rely on statistical methods report null-only findings in their abstracts, while over 90% of papers highlight significant results. To put these findings in perspective, we develop and calibrate a simple model of publication bias. Across a range of plausible assumptions, we find that statistically significant results are estimated to be one to two orders of magnitude more likely to enter the published record than null results. Leveraging metadata extracted from individual articles, we show that the pattern of strong SoS holds across subfields, journals, methods, and time periods. However, a few factors such as pre-registration and randomized experiments correlate with greater acceptance of null results. We conclude by discussing implications for the field and the potential of our new dataset for investigating other questions about political science.

I have a new paper. We look at ~all stats articles in political science post-2010 & show that 94% have abstracts that claim to reject a null. Only 2% present only null results. This is hard to explain unless the research process has a filter that only lets rejections through.

11.02.2026 17:00 👍 642 🔁 223 💬 30 📌 51
Dr. Alexandra Zapko-Willmes

Dr. Alexandra Zapko-Willmes

Professor Flavio Azevedo

Professor Flavio Azevedo

Join us Monday 9th Feb at 1pm for a presentation on Measuring Ideology: Current Practices, Its Consequences, and Recommendations by Alexandra Zapko-Willmes, University of Siegen & Flávio Azevedo @flavioazevedo.bsky.social, Utrecht University

To access the meeting, email maeve.maguire@ul.ie

06.02.2026 09:59 👍 5 🔁 2 💬 1 📌 0

i'll allow myself a contrived rhetoric for this once

academics: p-hacking should be criminalized. p-hackers should be jailed.

also academics: what if these men weren't pedos themselves but selflessly befriended and took money from one for the benefit of their labs?

01.02.2026 06:05 👍 137 🔁 13 💬 4 📌 1

Academics vying for a spot in Epstein‘s world. There are so many. I feel the need to make a thread, so I don’t keep confusing them. 1/

31.01.2026 21:02 👍 2940 🔁 1445 💬 75 📌 222
Preview
Making Replication Count: Spring Hackathon Join us for a three-day-hackathon to create a Zotero plug-in and a preprint bot to boost the visibility of replication studies! Background In the social, behavioral, and cognitive sciences, replicatio...

🚀 Making Replications Count Hackathon - in-person 🚀

3 days. 4 open tools. 1 goal: make replication studies impossible to ignore.

📆 4-6 May 2026 | Münster, Germany 
✈️ Travel & accommodation covered (UKRI-funded)

Apply by 16 March ➡️ indico.uni-muenster.de/e/marco2

🧵👇 What we will build?

26.01.2026 08:49 👍 21 🔁 9 💬 1 📌 3
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@forrt.bsky.social and the Münster Center for Open Science are organizing a Love Replications Week this year. Get in touch if you would like to contribute with tutorials, case studies, or discussions surrounding #reproductions and #replications! The full program will be announced soon!

22.01.2026 08:06 👍 16 🔁 20 💬 1 📌 0

100%! Join us!

22.01.2026 09:19 👍 2 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 1

So cuuuuuuute

21.01.2026 10:18 👍 0 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0
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A new paper by George Borjas—who served this past year in the Trump White House designing some of its anti-immigration policies—claims to display evidence of ideological bias among researchers who study immigration.

doi.org/10.1126/scia...

🧵 Thread—>

06.01.2026 19:59 👍 265 🔁 97 💬 4 📌 32
Toni Morrison on Trauma, Survival, and Finding Meaning
Toni Morrison on Trauma, Survival, and Finding Meaning YouTube video by CTFORUM

“Sometimes you don’t survive whole. You only survive in part. But the *grandeur* of life is that attempt. It’s not about the solution. It’s about being as fearless as one can and behaving as beautifully as one can under completely impossible circumstances.”

03.01.2026 16:14 👍 299 🔁 115 💬 6 📌 1
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Promoting a New Segregation The Trump administration wants to make anti-Black racism great again.

For @liberalcurrents.com fellow @vassar.bsky.social alum @jpygold.bsky.social and I wrote about the Trump administration's gutting of disparate impact liability as another advance in their segregationist agenda.

02.01.2026 21:23 👍 178 🔁 83 💬 5 📌 2

No economic conservatism, Chris? I replicate(d) these findings, but I always find economic conservatism as a main predictor of authoritarianism.

02.01.2026 19:19 👍 0 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0

Why decline all these chances to defend feminism? Because to participate would be accepting the premise that our rights and humanity are up for debate in the first place.

Once you’ve conceded that it’s reasonable to ask whether women’s equality was a mistake, you’ve already lost.

20.12.2025 23:00 👍 3617 🔁 888 💬 28 📌 57
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Our latest Coffee Lecture on Open Science Education is now available as a video: @flavioazevedo.bsky.social “Building the Future of Open Inclusive, Rigorous, and Open Research with FORRT”. www.youtube.com/watch?v=7Csp...

18.12.2025 09:18 👍 2 🔁 1 💬 0 📌 0