Darío San Segundo Molina's Avatar

Darío San Segundo Molina

@dario-ssm

PhD Candidate at Universidad de Alcalá. Focused on thermal ecology of major crop pests.

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05.02.2025
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Latest posts by Darío San Segundo Molina @dario-ssm

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Mean daily temperatures predict the thermal limits of malaria transmission better than hourly rate summation - Nature Communications Malaria transmission is sensitive to temperature and models of malaria typically account for daily fluctuations in temperature through a ‘rate summation’ approach. Here, the authors conduct experiment...

New paper out! A common computational approach to predict organismal fitness and distributions in the field could vastly overpredict the potential range of thermal suitability for malaria transmission relative to performance characterized at constant temperatures: www.nature.com/articles/s41...

11.04.2025 10:39 👍 28 🔁 9 💬 1 📌 1
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03.12.2025 22:30 👍 0 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0
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Hoy en el wrapped me ha salido @rufustf.bsky.social como mi principal acompañante.

En medio del caos, algunas cosas buenas que lo valen todo.
(Foto de una pradera al norte de Madrid en una mañana de domingo de paseo con mi madre)

03.12.2025 22:30 👍 2 🔁 1 💬 1 📌 0

Same fort me Paco, It's also been a pleasure for me :) Thanks a lot for your effort!

20.11.2025 19:32 👍 1 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0

Two years ago we got together in a beautiful mountain to learn and develop #rstats packages for ecology

After {labeleR} (ecologyr.github.io/labeleR/) and {BlueCarbon} (ecologyr.github.io/BlueCarbon/), {mappestRisk} is now officially out! See thread by lead author @dario-ssm.bsky.social 👇

20.11.2025 19:17 👍 22 🔁 13 💬 1 📌 0

gracias :))

20.11.2025 18:29 👍 1 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0

Gracias Julen :)

20.11.2025 17:51 👍 1 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0

If you have any question or if you want to contribute and/or report possible bugs, please open an issue in the repo (github.com/EcologyR/map...). Thanks! :)
github.com/EcologyR/map...

20.11.2025 16:34 👍 1 🔁 0 💬 1 📌 0
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This workshop has been one of the best moments in these PhD years, as it was celebrated in an inspiring place near Grazalema, in Southern Spain

20.11.2025 16:34 👍 2 🔁 0 💬 1 📌 0
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mappestRisk has been possible thanks to the Workshop on R packages for ecology (ecologyr.github.io/workshop/), a great initiative by
@frodsan.bsky.social
). The R packages BlueCarbon (github.com/EcologyR/Blu...) and labeler (github.com/EcologyR/lab...) are also results of this workshop.

20.11.2025 16:34 👍 5 🔁 0 💬 2 📌 0
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padpadpadpad/rTPC R package to help fit Thermal Performance Curves. Contribute to padpadpadpad/rTPC development by creating an account on GitHub.

We also thanks authors of recent open-source software products, and particularly to
@padpadpadpad.bsky.social and @franwin.co.uk for the development of `rTPC` R package.
github.com/padpadpadpad...

20.11.2025 16:34 👍 5 🔁 0 💬 1 📌 0
Preview
GitHub - EcologyR/mappestRisk Contribute to EcologyR/mappestRisk development by creating an account on GitHub.

This package has been developed by the collaboration of
@frodsan.bsky.social
@ambarbosa.bsky.social @ajpelu.bsky.social , and myself (@dario-ssm.bsky.social)
github.com/EcologyR/map...

20.11.2025 16:34 👍 2 🔁 0 💬 1 📌 0
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mappestRisk: Create Maps Forecasting Risk of Pest Occurrence There are three different modules: (1) model fitting and selection using a set of the most commonly used equations describing developmental responses to temperature helped by already existing R packag...

You can install the package directly from CRAN by running in R `install.packages("mappestRisk")` or from its GitHub development version using `remotes::install_github("EcologyR/mappestRisk")`
cran.r-project.org/web/packages...

20.11.2025 16:34 👍 2 🔁 0 💬 1 📌 0
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4. The function map_risk() automatically downloads climatic data from WorldClim (worldclim.org/data/worldcl...) for the user-defined target region and calculate how many months per year would have optimal temperatures for pest development. The output is a raster map with the potential pest risk.

20.11.2025 16:34 👍 2 🔁 0 💬 1 📌 0
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4. Calculate the range of temperatures that result optimal for pest development with therm_suit_bounds().

20.11.2025 16:34 👍 2 🔁 0 💬 1 📌 0
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3. Simulate multiple curves with bootstrap to propagate uncertainty in the parameters of the fitted TPCs and draw ribbons with predict_curves() and plot_uncertainties()

20.11.2025 16:34 👍 2 🔁 0 💬 1 📌 0
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2. Visualize and compare fitted curves easily with plot_devmodels().

20.11.2025 16:34 👍 2 🔁 0 💬 1 📌 0

We suggest following this workflow:

1. Fit thermal performance curves (TPCs) with multiple nonlinear models using fit_devmodels() (For now, 16 TPC model equations; we'll include soon new equations available in the development version of `rTPC` package

20.11.2025 16:34 👍 2 🔁 0 💬 1 📌 0
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Create Maps Forecasting Risk of Pest Occurrence There are three different modules: (1) model fitting and selection using a set of the most commonly used equations describing developmental responses to temperature helped by already existing R packag...

Take a look at the website here:
ecologyr.github.io/mappestRisk/

20.11.2025 16:34 👍 1 🔁 0 💬 1 📌 0
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GitHub - EcologyR/mappestRisk Contribute to EcologyR/mappestRisk development by creating an account on GitHub.

🗺️🐛 mappestRisk is now on CRAN! We developed this R package to help non-expert R users create pest-risk maps based on experimental data of the thermal biology of crop-pest species.

github.com/EcologyR/map...

20.11.2025 16:34 👍 11 🔁 7 💬 3 📌 2
EcologyR/mappestRisk Contribute to EcologyR/mappestRisk development by creating an account on GitHub.

We hope that this package contributes to facilitate ecological forecasts on pest risk for the scientific community and R users.

If you have any question or if you want to contribute and/or report possible bugs, please open an issue in the repo (github.com/EcologyR/map...).

Thanks! :)

20.11.2025 13:50 👍 0 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0
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which was celebrated in an inspiring place near Grazalema, in Southern Spain.

20.11.2025 13:50 👍 0 🔁 0 💬 1 📌 0
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…and would not have been possible without the R packages for ecology workshop (ecologyr.github.io/workshop/), a great initiative by @frodsan.bsky.social).
The R packages BlueCarbon (github.com/EcologyR/Blu...) and labeler (github.com/EcologyR/lab...) are also results of this workshop.

20.11.2025 13:50 👍 0 🔁 0 💬 1 📌 0

We also thanks authors of recent open-source software products, and particularly to @padpadpadpad.bsky.social and all the contributors to `rTPC` and `nls.multstart` R packages.

20.11.2025 13:50 👍 0 🔁 0 💬 1 📌 0

This package has been developed by the collaboration of @frodsan.bsky.social an.bsky.social, @ambarbosa.bsky.social osa.bsky.social, u.bsky.social and myself (@dario-ssm.bsky.social).

20.11.2025 13:50 👍 0 🔁 0 💬 1 📌 0
Preview
mappestRisk: Create Maps Forecasting Risk of Pest Occurrence There are three different modules: (1) model fitting and selection using a set of the most commonly used equations describing developmental responses to temperature helped by already existing R packag...

You can install the package directly from CRAN by running in R `install.packages("mappestRisk")` or from its GitHub development version using `remotes::install_github("EcologyR/mappestRisk")`

cran.r-project.org/web/packages...

20.11.2025 13:50 👍 0 🔁 0 💬 1 📌 0
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4. The function map_risk() automatically downloads climatic data from WorldClim (worldclim.org/data/worldcl...) for the user-defined target region and calculate how many months per year would have optimal temperatures for pest development. The output is a raster map with the potential pest risk.

20.11.2025 13:50 👍 0 🔁 0 💬 1 📌 0
Post image

3. Calculate the range of temperatures that result optimal for pest development with therm_suit_bounds().

20.11.2025 13:50 👍 0 🔁 0 💬 1 📌 0
Post image

3. Simulate multiple curves with bootstrap to propagate uncertainty in the parameters of the fitted TPCs and draw ribbons with predict_curves() and plot_uncertainties()

20.11.2025 13:50 👍 0 🔁 0 💬 1 📌 0
Post image

2. Visualize and compare fitted curves easily with plot_devmodels().

20.11.2025 13:50 👍 0 🔁 0 💬 1 📌 0