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Brendan Tuma

@toomuchtuma

Head of MLB Info at Underdog; words for Baseball America.

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18.10.2023
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Latest posts by Brendan Tuma @toomuchtuma

Preview
Saying Goodbye to a Dream Job And What Comes Next

This past Friday, I was part of the layoffs at Underdog.

I wrote about my journey to landing that dream job.

And also what comes next:

brendantuma.substack.com/p/saying-goo...

04.03.2026 14:13 πŸ‘ 4 πŸ” 1 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0
Preview
Saying Goodbye to a Dream Job And What Comes Next

This past Friday, I was part of the layoffs at Underdog.

I wrote about my journey to landing that dream job.

And also what comes next:

brendantuma.substack.com/p/saying-goo...

04.03.2026 14:13 πŸ‘ 4 πŸ” 1 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0
Preview
New Tricks: Six Pitchers Who Reinvented Their Arsenal in 2025 Happy new pitch season!

I wrote about 6 pitchers who overhauled their arsenals in 2025

Useful context for evaluating new pitch hype this spring

brendantuma.substack.com/p/new-tricks...

02.03.2026 14:05 πŸ‘ 1 πŸ” 1 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0
Preview
New Tricks: Six Pitchers Who Reinvented Their Arsenal in 2025 Happy new pitch season!

I wrote about 6 pitchers who overhauled their arsenals in 2025

Useful context for evaluating new pitch hype this spring

brendantuma.substack.com/p/new-tricks...

02.03.2026 14:05 πŸ‘ 1 πŸ” 1 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0
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Volume Is a Multiplier, Not a Shield How roto scoring amplifies pitching variance

Fantasy baseball doesn’t directly reward the best skills.

It rewards outcomes.

And two of the four SP categories are ratio stats driven by variance.

brendantuma.substack.com/p/volume-is-...

21.02.2026 16:09 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0
Preview
Volume Is a Multiplier, Not a Shield How roto scoring amplifies pitching variance

New piece on pitcher archetypes and why volume isn’t always safe in fantasy baseball.

brendantuma.substack.com/p/volume-is-...

20.02.2026 21:10 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0
Preview
Volume Is a Multiplier, Not a Shield How roto scoring amplifies pitching variance

Pitcher value swings wildly because it’s concentrated in fewer, more volatile categories.

Hitters spread risk across five.

A principles-first look at what roto scoring actually rewards:

brendantuma.substack.com/p/volume-is-...

20.02.2026 13:56 πŸ‘ 1 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0
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ERA and WHIP are volatile.

And a mediocre 180 IP season can hurt you more than a risky 120 IP one.

That changed how I’m approaching starting pitching this year.

Tomorrow on Substack.

19.02.2026 16:51 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0
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Outfield Part 2 Is a Roster Construction Decision As discussed in Part 1, the top of the outfield pool provides well-rounded production.

When it comes to outfielders in fantasy baseball, "best available” often matters less than fit. The position is deep enough to support multiple paths to building a team, but only if you’re confident in what your roster needs at that point of the draft.

brendantuma.substack.com/p/outfield-p...

18.02.2026 16:04 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0
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2026 Fantasy Outfield Tiers: Ceiling at the Top, Options Everywhere Else 2026 Fantasy Baseball Position Preview

Outfield hasn’t fundamentally evolved in fantasy, but the top has pulled away.

My full 2026 OF tiers break down what that means for draft strategy, risk tolerance, and roster construction.

Live now ⬇️

brendantuma.substack.com/p/2026-fanta...

07.02.2026 15:05 πŸ‘ 3 πŸ” 1 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0
Preview
2026 Fantasy Outfield Tiers: Ceiling at the Top, Options Everywhere Else 2026 Fantasy Baseball Position Preview

Outfield hasn’t fundamentally evolved in fantasy, but the top has pulled away.

My full 2026 OF tiers break down what that means for draft strategy, risk tolerance, and roster construction.

Live now ⬇️

brendantuma.substack.com/p/2026-fanta...

07.02.2026 15:05 πŸ‘ 3 πŸ” 1 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0
Preview
2026 Fantasy Outfield Tiers: Ceiling at the Top, Options Everywhere Else 2026 Fantasy Baseball Position Preview

New 2026 outfield tiers:

β€’ Elite separation at the top
β€’ Strategic freedom everywhere else

brendantuma.substack.com/p/2026-fanta...

06.02.2026 14:42 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0
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Drafting Third Base in 2026 Means Avoiding the Tier Cliff 2026 Fantasy Baseball Position Preview

Third Base Tiers

* J-Ram's legendary run
* Is Caminero next?
* Austin Riley bounces back
* Maikel Garcia belief
* Royce Lewis ...?

brendantuma.substack.com/p/drafting-t...

27.01.2026 15:11 πŸ‘ 1 πŸ” 1 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0
Preview
Drafting Third Base in 2026 Means Avoiding the Tier Cliff 2026 Fantasy Baseball Position Preview

Third Base Tiers

* J-Ram's legendary run
* Is Caminero next?
* Austin Riley bounces back
* Maikel Garcia belief
* Royce Lewis ...?

brendantuma.substack.com/p/drafting-t...

27.01.2026 15:11 πŸ‘ 1 πŸ” 1 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

Webb, Sale, deGrom are musts.

I like Glasnow and Wheeler too. Strider I just need to see in spring having his heater back before I can go back in.

Totally get if you want to keep any of McLean, Miz, Yesavage too lol. It's a good group

26.01.2026 17:41 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0
Preview
Too Much Tuma | Brendan Tuma | Substack Baseball – Evidence-based breakdowns built for fans who want to think like front offices and sharp fantasy players. Off The Field – Stories about family, work, and the moments that connect it all. Cl...

Third base in 2026 has a real tier cliff.

You don’t need to win the position.

You just can’t afford to fall behind.

Full 3B preview on Substack tomorrow morning.

brendantuma.substack.com

26.01.2026 17:39 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0
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Drafting Catcher in 2026: The Narrow Path to Upside A 2026 Fantasy Baseball Position Preview

After studying Raleigh, Posey, Realmuto, Contreras, and Salvy, there are only three viable paths to a difference-making catcher year.

Without them, the position becomes about stability, not upside.

Full catcher preview is live on Substack.

brendantuma.substack.com/p/drafting-c...

19.01.2026 15:16 πŸ‘ 2 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0
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The First Base Problem: Why the Position Isn’t What It Used to Be Fewer Anchors, Bigger Tier Gaps (2026 Fantasy Preview)

The First Base Problem.

Why the position isn’t what it used to be, and how to draft it in 2026.

Now live on Substack.

brendantuma.substack.com/p/the-first-...

13.01.2026 14:39 πŸ‘ 3 πŸ” 1 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0
Preview
The First Base Problem: Why the Position Isn’t What It Used to Be Fewer Anchors, Bigger Tier Gaps (2026 Fantasy Preview)

The First Base Problem.

Why the position isn’t what it used to be, and how to draft it in 2026.

Now live on Substack.

brendantuma.substack.com/p/the-first-...

13.01.2026 14:39 πŸ‘ 3 πŸ” 1 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0
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Shortstop Preview: Understanding the 2026 Tier Structure Most position previews start with catcher.

Shortstop preview!

brendantuma.substack.com/p/shortstop-...

09.01.2026 14:15 πŸ‘ 1 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0
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Big new shortstop preview drops tomorrow on Substack.

* Why the position looks deep but isn’t
* The tier cliff that defines drafts
* What every β€œlegendary” SS season has in common
* Player-by-player writeups with visuals

Subscribe now so it hits your inbox first.

08.01.2026 22:51 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

Baseball + fantasy people on Substack, any tips for growing there?

It’s where all my writing lives, but I know I’m underusing the platform.

31.12.2025 15:27 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0
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What 2025’s League-Winning Hitters Had in Common I’m as guilty as anyone of trying to find β€œthis season’s draft-day steal.”

Usually around now, I’m looking for β€œthis year’s Geraldo Perdomo.”

This offseason, I took a different approach.

I studied what last year’s league-winning hitters actually had in common, and built a framework from there.

brendantuma.substack.com/p/what-2025s...

30.12.2025 14:56 πŸ‘ 2 πŸ” 1 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0
Preview
What 2025’s League-Winning Hitters Had in Common I’m as guilty as anyone of trying to find β€œthis season’s draft-day steal.”

Usually around now, I’m looking for β€œthis year’s Geraldo Perdomo.”

This offseason, I took a different approach.

I studied what last year’s league-winning hitters actually had in common, and built a framework from there.

brendantuma.substack.com/p/what-2025s...

30.12.2025 14:56 πŸ‘ 2 πŸ” 1 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0
Preview
Living in the Good Old Days Almost every night for the past few months, Bear (our 18-pound, 1-year-old cat with the personality of a high school linebacker) has strutted into the bedroom, locked eyes with the closet door, and st...

The good old days don’t announce themselves.

I wrote about learning to notice them in real time.

Happy holidays.

brendantuma.substack.com/p/living-in-...

23.12.2025 16:41 πŸ‘ 1 πŸ” 1 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0
Preview
Living in the Good Old Days Almost every night for the past few months, Bear (our 18-pound, 1-year-old cat with the personality of a high school linebacker) has strutted into the bedroom, locked eyes with the closet door, and st...

The good old days don’t announce themselves.

I wrote about learning to notice them in real time.

Happy holidays.

brendantuma.substack.com/p/living-in-...

23.12.2025 16:41 πŸ‘ 1 πŸ” 1 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

Notable SP who didn't pitch in 2025. Anyone missing?

Gerrit Cole
Grayson Rodriguez
Jared Jones
Shane McClanahan
Joe Musgrove
Kutter Crawford
Reynaldo LΓ³pez
Gavin Stone
River Ryan
Braxton Garrett
DJ Herz
Christian Scott
Patrick Sandoval
John Means
Cody Bradford
Jordan Montgomery
Luis Medina

02.12.2025 16:36 πŸ‘ 1 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

Devin Williams had a 55% strand rate last season.

Lowest by a qualified RP since 2022.

10th-lowest in a full season since 2000!

02.12.2025 14:58 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

The only 2025 pitches with a worse run value than Ryan Helsley’s four-seamer were all thrown by Colorado Rockies arms.

29.11.2025 22:54 πŸ‘ 1 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0
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2025–26 Free Agent Preview: Relief Pitchers Thoughts on This Year’s Class of Potential Closers

Free Agency Relief Pitcher Preview

Really happy with how it turned out!

brendantuma.substack.com/p/202526-fre...

25.11.2025 15:11 πŸ‘ 1 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0