82nd was used in 2019/20.
www.militarytimes.com/flashpoints/...
06.03.2026 17:23
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I agree with this expert. This is “no-brainer”.
There is no evidence of a brain being employed with this plan.
Could be:
1. Nothing.
2.Reinforcing the security at US embassies in the region.
3. An absolutely mad plan to seize Kharg Island.
1 or 2 feel more likely.
I think the Greenland stuff was mostly about that.
I wonder if this is ‘old man in a hurry’ stuff? Seems very set on achieving a legacy - renaming Kennedy Center etc. And was interesting how the initial statement at the start really went big on Iran being an enemy for almost 5 decades.
Very useful from @rajakorman.bsky.social on the economic impacts across the Global South.
responsiblestatecraft.org/war-ian-glob...
No. But imagine Israel would consider an Iran that looks something like Libya and without any serious ballistic missile capacity a success. But as long as it can fire drones that’s a problem for the Gulf States and shipping in the Strait.
I can see how Israel can achieve its strategic aims here. I’m really struggling to see how this ends well for the US.
I mostly buy on kindle nowadays. Partially about having almost run out of shelf space, partially just easier to carry around and partially cost.
They look really nice on a shelf.
Also unusual in that they are straight to paperback.
I do think asking people to spend £25-£35 on HB non-fiction is an increasingly tough ask.
Shortest History of series, which does very well, is a good argument that UK readers will buy that sort of length.
“Experts say Amazon’s facilities were likely targeted by Iran”.
Glad these experts are ruling out spontaneous combustion.
Another non-energy side plot. Not something I’d given much thought to.
www.ft.com/content/09fa... Iran hits Amazon data centres in jolt to Gulf AI drive
I’d also take the “we’ll only accept unconditional surrender” just as seriously.
It's not just oil, the way. Fertilisers, and therefore food prices also in the firing line. www.ft.com/content/7efe...
The important bit.
www.wsj.com/business/ene...
I’d take this about as seriously as Trump declaring US munitions inventories have never been higher.
Good news: can be reasonably sure BLS numbers aren’t being manipulated.
HUGE payrolls miss, wow
Feb Payrolls -92k vs +55k est/+130k prev
2m net revision -69k
Unemplomyent 4.4% vs 4.3% est/4.3% prev
Avg hourly earn YoY +3.8% vs +3.7% est+/3.7% prev
Jan Retail sales MoM -0.2% vs -0.3% est/0.0% prev
Control group est MoM +0.3% vs+0.3% est/-0.1% prev
Ok. We are currently not adding enough capability. But in practice, it’s very similar over the short term.
I don’t know. Thinking as a father of three, I think I’d prefer to know all three had access to a good education rather than hoping that one, two or three of them would get access to a really excellent one.
That’s my read at the moment. The other interesting niggle: I am much more confident they can almost entirely degrade Iran’s ability launch ballistic missiles - which removes most of the threat to Israel. The drones are a bigger problem for the Gulf states and shipping.
Yes. It being more difficult to switch off is the key point I think.
And it’s not just Trump that holds for. The Iranians seem to have devolved firing decisions to local units whilst leadership structures and communications have been hit hard. It may not be easy for them to stop either.
At least you’re in the right profession.
I had an incredibly vivid dream that Trump made me Vice President the other day. Was deeply confusing.
Adding Qatar’s energy minister to the list of oil and energy market types beginning to really freak out.
www.ft.com/content/be12...
Yeah. Definitely a bond market reaction.
My theory:
Macro people look at crude markets (over supplied, fairly benign)
Energy people look at product markets (oh god did another refinery just blow up?)
I have been really surprised by how much Trump posts “we’ll escort tankers through the straits”/“we have a plan to lower oil prices”/etc have caused rallies.