@hauterjakob
Leverhulme Early Career Postdoc Fellow researching the causes of Russia's wars at the University of Reading. Current Affairs, Media and OSINT Analyst. PhD from UCL SSEES. Focusing on Ukraine & Russia but regularly distracted by German & UK politics. he/him
A brief German-language introduction to my research at @uniofreading.bsky.social (kindly supported by @leverhulme.ac.uk with an Early Career Fellowship) and its links to the current situation in Ukraine. English subtitles are available. www.youtube.com/watch?v=lrL0...
Ich wurde letzte Woche freundlicherweise eingeladen, einen Impulsvortrag zu einem Seminar über die aktuelle Lage in der Ukraine beizusteuern. Das Video ist nun öffentlich verfügbar. www.youtube.com/watch?v=lrL0...
Portrait of Prof Robert Van de Noort, Vice Chancellor of University of Reading, alongside a campus sign and a message about climate change and sustainability efforts.
Climate change is not a distant threat. It is already shaping life in Berkshire and beyond.
In his latest column in Reading Today, Professor Robert Van de Noort, reflects on the extreme weather we are experiencing locally and why the work of the IPCC matters to communities like ours.
#UoR100
Looks like a thorough and measured analysis - unlike the sensationalist claims I've seen elsewhere.
Taurus ist natürlich das eine. Aber wie wäre es mit europäischer Luftabwehr über der West- und Zentralukraine?
„In diesen Tagen, in denen das sonst so hartnäckige Kyjiw in Teilen kollabiert, wächst in mir die Furcht, dass die Worte, die wir aus der Ukraine in den Westen schicken, verhallen.“
@oliviakortas.bsky.social mit einem Hilferuf, der hoffentlich gehört wird.
Wenn ihr das Geld erübrigen könnt (man kann auch zusammenlegen). Jedes Kit hilft!
Ukraine2Power hat ein Überlebenskit für 80€ (Gaskocher, Heizdecken, Hand/Fusswärmer, Thermoskanne, Powerbank) zusammengestellt.
Konto: We Aid gGmbH
IBAN: DE 52370205000001838801
Kennwort: Ukraine2Power
Danke 🙏
Just listened to this and very much recommend it to anyone who is interested in what Europe can and should do for Ukraine. Whether or not you agree with Mark's criticism of the French-UK coalition-of-the-willing initiative, there are lots of well-argued and constructive proposals in there.
Anyway, overall I think we agree that making sure Ukraine can deter Russia and defend itself is not only the right thing to do but also in Europe's best self-interest. Currently, the main factor that reduces the likelihood of the book's scenario is not NATO policy, but the Ukrainian Armed Forces.
I doubt that Russia would be content with anything short of a consolidated and highly repressive puppet dictatorship in Ukraine. Of course, if it came to this horror scenario, the Russian regime might shift focus and start looking more seriously at military aggression in Moldova or the Baltics.
And even if Ukraine faced some political turmoil after agreeing to an unjust and painful ceasefire deal, I doubt that Russia would be content and move on to attack Estonia. I strongly suspect it would remain Putin's primary goal to destroy Ukraine as an independent nation once and for all.
However, I have some issues with the book's depiction of a Ukrainian defeat. I doubt that there is any possibility of pro-Russian political forces gaining a parliamentary majority in Kyiv if the unoccupied parts of Ukraine remain free, regardless of the huge post-war challenges facing the country.
Me sitting on a couch holding the book "If Russia Wins" with a cat sitting on my legs.
Loki and I read "If Russia Wins" by @carlomasala1.bsky.social recently. An interesting book. Scenarios and contingencies are something that political scientists (and maybe even politicians?) too often shy away from. I think scenario building is actually more useful than trying to predict the future.
Cheers to a new year and to the launch of my personal website: www.jakobhauter.co.uk. Regarding world politics, may the rest of 2026 turn out better than the first two weeks.
Two months into my @leverhulme.ac.uk fellowship @uniofreading.bsky.social. Excited to be back in academia. Lots of reading to catch up on, but also working on paper drafts and submitted some conference abstracts. More on that soon, hopefully. In the meantime, let me introduce a new family member.
In other news, today I had a conference call with splendid people from places as varied as the #CaymanIslands, #Ghana, #TrinidadandTobago and #Wales - and yes that’s a turtle, thanks for asking 🇰🇾🇬🇭🇹🇹🏴
I love finding new ways to make a crescent moon and star, and the winners of the corresponding #FlagTypes category - #Algeria, #Libya, #Malaysia and #Pakistan - showcase four different approaches 🇩🇿🇱🇾🇲🇾🇵🇰
"We should have considerable uncertainty about the causes of complex social and political outcomes and trends ... Nevertheless, the current balance of evidence does not support blaming America’s epistemic challenges on social media." asteriskmag.com/issues/11/sc...
Im Rückblick erscheint die ganze Affäre als unnötig und als politischer Fehler Selenskyjs sowie seiner Berater. Gleichzeitig hat die Ukraine ihre Demokratiefähigkeit und politische Freiheit auch in Kriegszeiten bewiesen.
@sceeus-ui.bsky.social @uisweden.bsky.social @kiu-network.bsky.social
Ukraine Anti-Corruption Investigation Thread
1/10 🧵
How Ukraine’s president went from promising to jail “all top corruption officials” to dismantling the very agencies investigating his inner circle. A stunning reversal revealed by Ukrayinska Pravda.
www.pravda.com.ua/articles/20...
Many thanks to Martin Laryš from Charles University Prague for reviewing my book!
My book on the 2014 outbreak of war in Ukraine's Donbas is available for purchase.
EUR: www.ibidem.eu/en/Topics/So...
GPB: blackwells.co.uk/bookshop/pro...
USD: cup.columbia.edu/book/russias...
und auf Deutsch: www.ibidem.eu/en/Topics/So...
Looks like Amazon UK is having some trouble stocking and dispatching my book. So maybe go for @blackwells.bsky.social if you want to buy it from the UK - might be a better choice for other reasons as well. blackwells.co.uk/bookshop/pro...
Immer wieder wird behauptet, der russisch-ukrainische Krieg habe 2014 mit einem Angriff der Ukraine auf sich selbst begonnen.
Einschlägig zum Beginn des Donbas-Kriegs ist die @uclssees.bsky.social-Dissertation von Dr. @hauterjakob.bsky.social @uniofreading.bsky.social:
@dgoberlin.bsky.social
Academia, I'm coming back! I am thrilled to announce that
@leverhulme.ac.uk has offered me an Early Career Fellowship to research the causes of Russia's war against Ukraine at @uniofreading.bsky.social. I am starting on 1st September and super excited about it! www.reading.ac.uk/news/2025/Re...
Excellent long-read analysis by Ukraine's former Minister of Defense, Andriy Zagorodnyuk, who - as peace through military means or negotiations are as unlikely as a Russian withdrawal - suggest Ukraine should adopt a "strategic neutralization" approach: carnegieendowment.org/research/202...
Interesting read on the challenges of using FPV drones at the front line in Ukraine.
Professor Yuriy Savelyev of Taras Shevchenko National University in Kyiv has reviewed my book in @europe-asia.bsky.social. Many thanks for your thoughtful comments! www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10.... fyi @umland.bsky.social @columbiaup.bsky.social
Another moment of truth. If Russia does not accept, which is not unlikely as they have not achieved what the want, it could lead to a twist that has been part of the Ukrainian Trump calculus from the start: Putin doesn't deliver, Trump gets angry. Will he then back Ukraine? An open question.
1/ In 🇩🇪 and elsewhere the discussion on whether or not the F35 should be cancelled or not starts to gain traction. Can we afford to cancel it? Can we replace it?
Complicated, and the discussion would be more credible if not led by commercial rivals of Lockheed-Martin.
www.welt.de/politik/deut...