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Thoreau Away

@thoreauaway

Christian, American, liberal, geoist. Big fan of compassion and taxing rents. Not a fan of oathbreakers or NIMBYs. Everything in politics is now secondary to preserving our Constitution.

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Latest posts by Thoreau Away @thoreauaway

So AGI, then

06.03.2026 22:01 πŸ‘ 1 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0
Preview
Selective Service Act of 1917 - Wikipedia

But didn’t Congress reactivate the draft?

en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Selecti...

06.03.2026 22:00 πŸ‘ 3 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0

I guess the steelman is that Trump somehow satisfies Bibi that the threat is neutralized?

06.03.2026 21:33 πŸ‘ 2 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

Can the President even reactivate the draft unilaterally?

06.03.2026 21:23 πŸ‘ 4 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0

A: ah, I thought β€œshut-in” meant the product was shut inside the Gulf, not inside the well

B: but the Senate was informed that Jedha was destroyed in a mining disaster

06.03.2026 21:13 πŸ‘ 8 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

How long until they run out of storage capacity and have to turn off the wells? How long after the war ends would it take to turn them back on?

06.03.2026 20:55 πŸ‘ 15 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0

I guess I just wonder what signs you’re seeing? β€œTrump declares victory and walks away” - his usual way of avoiding a fight he’ll lose at home, and what his people seem to be signaling - doesn’t open up the straits without Iranian cooperation!

Maybe I’m missing something?

06.03.2026 20:49 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0
06.03.2026 19:50 πŸ‘ 177 πŸ” 64 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 1

Biden did this! For four years!

06.03.2026 20:42 πŸ‘ 30 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 1

I don’t see it. The timeline for the war gets longer every day

06.03.2026 20:37 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0

This is why I have a hard time taking β€œthis will be over imminently” people seriously

06.03.2026 20:36 πŸ‘ 1 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

Tough when the new guy is the son of the last guy you killed!

06.03.2026 20:35 πŸ‘ 1 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0

Thriller movie idea: terminally ill man purchases oil futures in wife’s name, commits suicide attack against oil infrastructure to spike price

06.03.2026 20:06 πŸ‘ 14 πŸ” 1 πŸ’¬ 3 πŸ“Œ 2

What’s your model? Sure, TACO, but Trump chickening out won’t resolve the problem. Israel wants an Iranian failstate, and Iran choking off the oil supply is its only way of resisting that.

06.03.2026 20:02 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0

Six years is too long for someone that old. Dianne Feinstein seemed to be in perfectly decent health in 2018.

That being said, when the alternative is a Nazi,

06.03.2026 19:29 πŸ‘ 1 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

Definitely doesn’t help that Trump’s people are more or less (falsely) saying β€œyes, we’re letting Israel dictate our FP, but don’t worry that’s a good thing”

06.03.2026 18:52 πŸ‘ 12 πŸ” 3 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

Btw, the only evidence that Platner is married to a Jewish woman is a VDARE writer hypothesizing from his wife’s surname.

06.03.2026 18:43 πŸ‘ 3 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0

Who is doing the negotiating? Can we speak with them for a week before we or Israel bury them under a pile of rubble?

06.03.2026 04:22 πŸ‘ 1 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

Real Merrimack Valley hours

06.03.2026 02:43 πŸ‘ 2 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

…did he?

05.03.2026 18:47 πŸ‘ 2 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0

Kind of difficult given that the strait is 50 miles wide at its narrowest point

05.03.2026 18:41 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

The crazy thing is, Charles is fairly liberal for a man who was raised in an institution founded on the premise that his family was chosen by God to rule. If a Reform government elected by 1/3 of voters tried to pass deeply illiberal and unpopular legislation… does he intervene?

05.03.2026 18:34 πŸ‘ 4 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

Oh, and Trump felt emboldened by the total tactical success of the Maduro raid and the subservience of the Venezuelan government since then. (Also a factor in the brief renewal of his crusade for Greenland!)

05.03.2026 17:28 πŸ‘ 1 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

And most bus drivers aren’t suicidal!

05.03.2026 17:27 πŸ‘ 5 πŸ” 1 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

It was a confluence of factors. Trump wants revenge for the assassination plots. The military wanted to distract him from Greenland, and has wanted this war anyways. The protests raised the salience of Iran for hawks. And Bibi felt emboldened by the neutering of Iran’s proxies.

05.03.2026 17:26 πŸ‘ 4 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0

It’s funny how all the old bromides about the President not controlling the economy don’t apply anymore.

Different bus drivers won’t normally get you to your destination much faster or slower. But a suicidal one can absolutely drive you into a ditch.

05.03.2026 17:16 πŸ‘ 14 πŸ” 1 πŸ’¬ 2 πŸ“Œ 0

The way the timeline for this war doubles every day kind of reminds me of the chessboard rice problem

05.03.2026 17:12 πŸ‘ 6 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

Heck, everyone on my program arguably qualifies. Every job related to nuclear weapons engineering is a BS job until we’re at DEFCON 1.

05.03.2026 17:09 πŸ‘ 12 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0

Everyone knows this is the case for, like, security guards. My dad is in a similar situation as a cybersecurity guy for a hospital. His days are boring most of the time, with the occasional five alarm fire because some hotshot unfireable doctor downloaded a virus onto the hospital servers.

05.03.2026 17:06 πŸ‘ 22 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0

Even the allegation is just that Claude incorrectly classified the school as part of the military base. Nobody is claiming that it had control over the firing systems.

And ofc one instance of Claude isn’t going to have any special insight into the failure modes of another instance.

05.03.2026 17:00 πŸ‘ 3 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0