Julien Barnes-Dacey

Strategic lunacy: Why Europeans must stand up to Trump’s illegal war in Iran – European Council on Foreign Relations Too many Europeans are quietly aligning with America and Israel’s war against Iran. Instead, they urgently need to pursue difficult diplomacy to halt a spiralli

It would be strategic lunacy for Europe to support the US/Israeli war on Iran. It is an illegal war that comes with huge costs: regional spillover, higher energy costs, helping Putin in Ukraine. It risks drawing Europe into a new regime change quagmire
ecfr.eu/article/stra...

Strategic lunacy: Why Europeans must stand up to Trump’s illegal war in Iran – European Council on Foreign Relations Too many Europeans are quietly aligning with America and Israel’s war against Iran. Instead, they urgently need to pursue difficult diplomacy to halt a spiralli

Strategic lunacy: Why Europeans must stand up to Trump’s illegal war in Iran
- my new piece with Ellie Geranmayeh @ecfr.eu ecfr.eu/article/stra...

Europe’s View on Operation Epic Fury Developing strong, pragmatic and principled national security and defense policies.

A pleasure to discuss Europe's response to the Iran war with @stevenerlanger.bsky.social on the CNAS Brussels Sprouts podcast with Andrea Kendall-Taylor & @jteurope.bsky.social www.cnas.org/publications...

Strategic lunacy: Why Europeans must stand up to Trump’s illegal war in Iran – European Council on Foreign Relations Too many Europeans are quietly aligning with America and Israel’s war against Iran. Instead, they urgently need to pursue difficult diplomacy to halt a spiralli

Strategic lunacy: Why Europeans must stand up to Trump’s illegal war in Iran
- my new piece with Ellie Geranmayeh @ecfr.eu ecfr.eu/article/stra...

A year after Assad: The search for Syria’s future – European Council on Foreign Relations Syrians are rebuilding their country from the ruins of dictatorship, but progress could stall without a clear vision for the future

For the EU, Syria should be seen as the perfect partner to showcase and advance the opportunities afforded by the new Pact for the Mediterranean, with a wider range of tools that could be quickly deployed by the new DG MENA, writes @jbdacey.bsky.social buff.ly/UK1FDIO

Our collective piece on the regional and global drivers, theatres & implications of the Iran war from across @ecfr.eu, with thread below ecfr.eu/article/a-wa...

A year after Assad: The search for Syria’s future – European Council on Foreign Relations Syrians are rebuilding their country from the ruins of dictatorship, but progress could stall without a clear vision for the future

A little leftfield amid current regional developments but:

A new piece from me on Syria's transition one year since the formation of the transitional government after a series of trips to the country ecfr.eu/article/a-ye... @ecfr.eu

A war with no winners: The costs of US-Israeli aggression on Iran – European Council on Foreign Relations US and Israeli strikes on Iran have plunged the Middle East into wider war. Retaliation, regional entanglements and disrupted trade make one outcome clear: no s

US and Israeli strikes on Iran have plunged the Middle East into wider war. Retaliation, regional entanglements and disrupted trade make one outcome clear: no side will achieve an easy victory, write colleagues from ECFR's programmes in this 360 degree reaction
ecfr.eu/article/a-wa...

A war with no winners: The costs of US-Israeli aggression on Iran – European Council on Foreign Relations US and Israeli strikes on Iran have plunged the Middle East into wider war. Retaliation, regional entanglements and disrupted trade make one outcome clear: no s

Our big @ecfr.eu 360° reaction piece to the Iran conflict, assessing regional & global positioning, risks and implications as the war plays out in devastating fashion across the Middle East - and beyond ecfr.eu/article/a-wa...

A war with no winners: The costs of US-Israeli aggression on Iran – European Council on Foreign Relations US and Israeli strikes on Iran have plunged the Middle East into wider war. Retaliation, regional entanglements and disrupted trade make one outcome clear: no s

Our big @ecfr.eu 360° reaction piece to the Iran conflict, assessing regional & global positioning, risks and implications as the war plays out in devastating fashion across the Middle East - and beyond ecfr.eu/article/a-wa...

Trump’s strikes on Iran are an illegal war of choice—and Europeans should say so – European Council on Foreign Relations As the conflict threatens to escalate, European governments must make an assertive case for diplomacy and prepare for humanitarian catastrophe

New @ecfr.eu: Trump’s strikes on Iran are an illegal war of choice—and Europeans should say so, by Ellie Geranmayeh with a strong list of immediate action for Europeans who need to quickly snap out of passivity & acceptance of this new regional conflict ecfr.eu/article/trum...

Trump’s strikes on Iran are an illegal war of choice—and Europeans should say so – European Council on Foreign Relations As the conflict threatens to escalate, European governments must make an assertive case for diplomacy and prepare for humanitarian catastrophe

New @ecfr.eu: Trump’s strikes on Iran are an illegal war of choice—and Europeans should say so, by Ellie Geranmayeh with a strong list of immediate action for Europeans who need to quickly snap out of passivity & acceptance of this new regional conflict ecfr.eu/article/trum...

Big continued Euro focus on keeping Trump happy & Euros clearly have no time for Tehran, but if, and one hopes not, this really feeds prolonged regional war/internal Iranian conflict with all its destabilising implications, Euros will regret timidity. (Like Trump) Euros just hoping this lands well

Iranian regime horrific but EU’s Kallas coming out here without any line of condemnation/vague pressure on US/Israel which have preemptively provoked regional conflict without immediate threat at moment when Iran had put real concessions on table in ongoing negots

🧵US-Iran talks resumed in Geneva this week. The parallel US military buildup in the Middle East suggests Trump could order imminent strikes against Iran. @ecfr.eu experts comment on the risks, regional reactions, legality of such strikes, and what Europeans should be doing 👇

Dispelling Trump’s dystopia: A European blueprint for Gaza’s renewal – European Council on Foreign Relations Donald Trump’s economic development plan for Gaza highlights the president’s preference for real estate over rights. Europeans and Arab states need to help Pale

📑 NEW @ecfr.eu commentary by @muhammadshehada.bsky.social: Donald Trump’s economic development plan for Gaza highlights the president’s preference for real estate over rights. Europeans and Arab states need to help Palestinians chart their own future 👇 ecfr.eu/article/disp...

New @ecfr.eu by @muhammadshehada.bsky.social:

Trump’s dystopian economic plan will turn Gaza into a real-estate bonanza for oligarchs, obliterating its historic, cultural and social fabric, and herding Palestinian into heavily surveilled gated communities.

t.co/d11lljJPfO

🧵US-Iran talks resumed in Geneva this week. The parallel US military buildup in the Middle East suggests Trump could order imminent strikes against Iran. @ecfr.eu experts comment on the risks, regional reactions, legality of such strikes, and what Europeans should be doing 👇

My longer read for @ecfr.eu on what Trump's Board of Peace means for Gaza, Europe's quest for strategic autonomy, and the future of the global order:

ecfr.eu/article/welc...

From partners to rivals: What the Saudi-UAE rupture means for Europeans  – European Council on Foreign Relations Saudi Arabia and the UAE are experiencing a fracture in their diplomatic relationship. Europeans need to understand the potential impact on their economic and p

✍️ A brief momentum for a Gulf front collapsed as strained Saudi-Emirati relations gave way to open rivalry, driven by mistrust and suspicions of parallel agendas. @cinziabianco.bsky.social for @ecfr.eu on the Saudi–UAE rupture and the European angle 👇 buff.ly/TUk8Evm

Will Trump bomb Iran? – European Council on Foreign Relations Mark Leonard and Ellie Geranmayeh discuss the ongoing protests in Iran and the chance of US intervention

🎙️ NEW @ecfr.eu podcast: @markhleonard.bsky.social & Ellie Geranmayeh discuss the ongoing protests in #Iran & the chance of #US invasion. Listen to it here 👇 ecfr.eu/podcasts/epi...

One year after Assad: Syria’s struggle for security, recovery and reform Ellie Geranmayeh speaks with Syrian minister Hind Kabawat about the country’s turbulent first year after Assad, the challenges ahead, and her push to bring more women into leadership during Syria’s…

ECFR podcast with Syrian Minister Hind Kabawat as part of our ongoing Women of Middle East Network for Peacebuilding project - One year after Assad: Syria’s struggle for security, recovery and reform @ecfr.eu @ecfrmena.bsky.social ecfr.eu/podcasts/epi...

Averting West Bank collapse: How to revive Palestinian politics Hollowed out by violent Israeli control and Mahmoud Abbas’s personal rule, the Palestinian Authority is losing its grip on the West Bank. European and Arab states must intervene to rebuild legitimate…

Big & important new @ecfr.eu read: Averting West Bank collapse: How to revive Palestinian politics - by @hlovatt.bsky.social & @tahanimustafa.bsky.social ecfr.eu/publication/... @ecfrmena.bsky.social

Glad to see this out!
In my latest policy brief with @ecfr.eu, I argue that Europe needs a more coherent, horizontal and context-sensitive approach in its green energy relations with Tunisia to create mutual benefits and people-centered cooperation.
#EU #Tunisia #COP30 #energytransition

Our publications @ecfr.eu have been going gangbusters recently. This past month we have published a series of must-read policy briefs on Europe's southern flank:
ecfr.eu

The falcons and the secretary bird: Arab Gulf states in Sudan’s war The Arab Gulf states’ pursuits in Sudan keep fuelling violence. But their wealth and influence mean any lasting peace will necessarily hinge on their cooperation.

In Sudan, Rapid Support Forces captured the city of el-Fasher, resulting in fears of mass killings. To support long-term stability in Sudan, European policymakers can benefit from a closer understanding of Gulf interests, writes Jonas Horner @ecfrafrica.bsky.social
https://bit.ly/3WNGppP

The bear and the bot farm: Countering Russian hybrid warfare in Africa Russia has many quiet enemies in Africa. Working together, like-minded Africans and Europeans can roll back its troublesome influence.

Moscow has developed a powerful propaganda machine that taps into existing antipathy towards Europe, particularly France, to push African governments closer to its foreign policy objectives, writes @willbrownecfr.bsky.social @ecfrafrica.bsky.social
https://bit.ly/3Jmv4cS

Diplomacy next: The internal politics of Hamas and the power of European engagement Europeans have the potential to tip the scales in the coming diplomatic negotiations over Gaza, but they must move rapidly…

New by @muhammadshehada.bsky.social @ecfr.eu on internal Hamas dynamics after the ceasefire: “The question is not whether Hamas will change overnight but whether diplomacy can evolve fast enough to meet Hamas at its most flexible before it returns to logic of perpetual war” ecfr.eu/article/dipl...

Diplomacy next: The internal politics of Hamas and the power of European engagement Europeans have the potential to tip the scales in the coming diplomatic negotiations over Gaza, but they must move rapidly…

New by @muhammadshehada.bsky.social @ecfr.eu on internal Hamas dynamics after the ceasefire: “The question is not whether Hamas will change overnight but whether diplomacy can evolve fast enough to meet Hamas at its most flexible before it returns to logic of perpetual war” ecfr.eu/article/dipl...

Positive news to see Polisario updating its 2007 peace proposal -- long overdue and something we
@ecfr
have been advocating for the past 4 years.
On why this is needed, and how it can advance a Trump deal, here is my most recent piece: cidob.org/en/publicati...