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ali

@zoonpolitikon

Trainer of humanitarian analysts. Into world politics (IR PhD). Social science groupie. Runs a lot, cycles not enough. Board game enthusiast. Rabbit hole aficionado. Owned by two cats. Posts mainly in English & Snark, sometimes in German and French. πŸ––πŸ½

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06.08.2023
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Latest posts by ali @zoonpolitikon

The unifying feature of Trump administration foreign and security "policy" is a failure to understand anything at all about strategy, like even at a conceptual level

06.03.2026 12:15 πŸ‘ 225 πŸ” 33 πŸ’¬ 4 πŸ“Œ 0

πŸ’―

06.03.2026 12:30 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

Wir alle haben da schon ein Kulturproblem. Einerseits wissen wir alle, dass wir Fehler machen und uns irren ("...ist menschlich" usw). Gleichzeitig ist falsch liegen sozial stigmatisiert.

In der Politik sind die Anreize leider so zu tun als ob man immer alles besser weiss.

06.03.2026 11:39 πŸ‘ 2 πŸ” 1 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0

Haben bestimmt auch FlΓΌge/Luftraum zur UnterstΓΌtzung der LuftschlΓ€ge zugelassen (weiss ich nicht, spekuliere). Mir schien es bisher das Ziel ist es zu eskalieren und indirekt Druck via Helfershelfer auf die USA auszuΓΌben. Dann macht das schon Sinn, oder?

05.03.2026 08:49 πŸ‘ 1 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

ArrestatedDevelopmentItMightWorkForUsMeme.jpg

04.03.2026 05:39 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

May I humbly suggest we dial back the hyper-fixation on how long the administration says war will last. No one ever knows because war is unpredictable & adversary gets a vote. Where the administration should be hammered is on the incoherent explanation of why they started the war in the first place.

03.03.2026 14:29 πŸ‘ 41 πŸ” 11 πŸ’¬ 3 πŸ“Œ 0

*North African Swiss enters the chat*

*Nods knowingly*

02.03.2026 19:49 πŸ‘ 1 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0

Diplomatie, aber als Familienunternehmen.

02.03.2026 10:34 πŸ‘ 1 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0
01.03.2026 12:16 πŸ‘ 8 πŸ” 2 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 1
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Laura Rozen
@lrozen
Β·
2h
From US admin official background briefing recording listening to, seriously question if US negotiators understood what Iranians were proposing. One official keeps saying acronym for β€œIAEA” wrong.
They seem astonished Iran would not agree to the US supplying them nuclear fuel
Laura Rozen
@lrozen
Β·
2h
They took as suspicious proposals that Iran saw as concessionary.
Laura Rozen
@lrozen
Β·
2h
Explains why Oman FM tried to come to DC to explain what US negotiators may not have fully understood
Laura Rozen
@lrozen
Am not saying what Iran proposed would have been enough, I dont know, but it seems US negotiators did not have the expert guidance to understand it correctly

Post See new posts Conversation Laura Rozen @lrozen Β· 2h From US admin official background briefing recording listening to, seriously question if US negotiators understood what Iranians were proposing. One official keeps saying acronym for β€œIAEA” wrong. They seem astonished Iran would not agree to the US supplying them nuclear fuel Laura Rozen @lrozen Β· 2h They took as suspicious proposals that Iran saw as concessionary. Laura Rozen @lrozen Β· 2h Explains why Oman FM tried to come to DC to explain what US negotiators may not have fully understood Laura Rozen @lrozen Am not saying what Iran proposed would have been enough, I dont know, but it seems US negotiators did not have the expert guidance to understand it correctly

On top of all the reporting that this war of aggression was planned well in advance, it seems that the reporting also indicates that the US political leadership are quite literally too stupid to understand basic diplomacy. I mean literally not smart enough.

28.02.2026 23:27 πŸ‘ 8186 πŸ” 2456 πŸ’¬ 232 πŸ“Œ 238
Preview
β€˜I live in constant fear’: surge in giant sinkholes threatens Turkey’s farmers Falling groundwater, extreme heat and water-intensive farming are accelerating land collapse, forcing a rethink in agricultural practices

Welcome to the FAFOcene.
www.theguardian.com/world/2026/f...

01.03.2026 04:49 πŸ‘ 73 πŸ” 27 πŸ’¬ 2 πŸ“Œ 2
A leaflet headlined "Smaller Hungary!" showing a map of Hungary having ceded territory to surrounding countries. The remaining territory takes the shape but not size of the pre-Treaty of Trianon Kingdom of Hungary, as a deliberate pisstake of people who want to re-expand Hungary's borders to take back the territories it lost then, even though they are mostly occupied by non-Hungarians.

A leaflet headlined "Smaller Hungary!" showing a map of Hungary having ceded territory to surrounding countries. The remaining territory takes the shape but not size of the pre-Treaty of Trianon Kingdom of Hungary, as a deliberate pisstake of people who want to re-expand Hungary's borders to take back the territories it lost then, even though they are mostly occupied by non-Hungarians.

Hence it doesn't really have the scope for these weirdo fringe parties that other countries have; see also the Hungarian Two Tailed Dog Party who are responsible for one of the best shitpost political bits I have seen in my life

27.02.2026 10:37 πŸ‘ 86 πŸ” 11 πŸ’¬ 6 πŸ“Œ 2

Brilliant. This is so good.

27.02.2026 15:40 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

Is it still a Nobel Prize, if it is just for a prompt?

27.02.2026 07:44 πŸ‘ 1 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

"Like every four years the nihilists did not send anyone, insisting that it would be pointless."

25.02.2026 13:56 πŸ‘ 34 πŸ” 2 πŸ’¬ 2 πŸ“Œ 0

The state of the communion is disputed.

25.02.2026 12:48 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

Musk also made the cuts in the cruelest way possible: Humanitarians had to stop activities from one day to the next. As if to maximize the suffering. No time to plan for it or to mitigate. Imagine any industry losing 30-40% of their market over night. The whole aid delivery system was damaged.

24.02.2026 12:50 πŸ‘ 4 πŸ” 3 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0
Preview
What Elon Has Done Elon Musk's destruction of USAID has faded from public consciousness in America, despite leaving death and destruction in its wake.

Today, @mckay4senate.bsky.social urges us not to forget what Elon Musk do to USAID, something that is still likely to have the highest body count of the administration’s actions. McKay documents just what Elon has done in detail www.liberalcurrents.com/what-elon-ha...

24.02.2026 11:09 πŸ‘ 247 πŸ” 120 πŸ’¬ 5 πŸ“Œ 16

all the IR nerds are chanting "P - N - G"

23.02.2026 20:56 πŸ‘ 413 πŸ” 55 πŸ’¬ 9 πŸ“Œ 1
Preview
Trump Considers Targeted Strike Against Iran, Followed by Larger Attack

Bored of Peace

www.nytimes.com/2026/02/22/u...

23.02.2026 16:58 πŸ‘ 1 πŸ” 1 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

In this age of LLMs, it's trivially easy to get a Phd-level-expertℒ️ summary of any journal article that will extract the main arguments and findings for you and often even flags up the most relevant connections to the larger literature: just look for the bloody abstract, kid #AcademicLifeHacks

16.02.2026 07:50 πŸ‘ 48 πŸ” 16 πŸ’¬ 4 πŸ“Œ 0

Note that it has taken the US Supreme Court and *not* Congress to assert the proper role of Congress in this matter.

20.02.2026 15:20 πŸ‘ 132 πŸ” 24 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0

Hey! I know that lake 😁

15.02.2026 19:05 πŸ‘ 1 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0
Video thumbnail

Franzi Schimmer captured this Grizzly bear in Brooks Falls, Alaska just floating along, tippy-tapping down the river, browsing the salmon.

Prior to hibernation, up to 40% of a bear's body mass is fat, which is less dense than water (~0.9 g/cm^2), so the murder-monster is also a floaty-boaty.

14.02.2026 21:47 πŸ‘ 11919 πŸ” 3596 πŸ’¬ 147 πŸ“Œ 470

Ewoks partying. The end.

15.02.2026 09:17 πŸ‘ 1 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

New moral dilemma just dropped!

There is a runaway trolley heading towards a track where Vought might be at some point. You can pull a lever and redirect it to a track with 2.4 million starving children tied to it.

Itβ€˜s a tough one.

13.02.2026 15:30 πŸ‘ 5 πŸ” 1 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0

Die Aussage des CEOs ist zwei Wochen alt und glaube mich zu erinnern, dass er auch sagte sie suchen "alternative funding sources" fΓΌr die Entwicklung. Kann mir gut vorstellen, dass das Statement eigentlich genau auf so etwas abzielte ("Europa, gib uns Geld, und ihr kriegt die Impfung trotzdem").

13.02.2026 10:18 πŸ‘ 1 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

I wonder if this drives thermostatic politics: Voters with the most superficial understanding of politics, making every four years a very narrow on-the-spot decision to change the status quo. Change as in "not that anymore".

Then, the existence of such people is beyond my imagination.

12.02.2026 13:31 πŸ‘ 3 πŸ” 2 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

That's why Switzerland should not have signed one with them. They will ban chocolate and cheese any day now. Snow will be made illegal. And they will put a stop to picturesque landscapes and remove all mountain tops.

10.02.2026 14:25 πŸ‘ 1 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0

Bad Bunny dancing is a slap in the face of your 401(k). Got it.

09.02.2026 13:01 πŸ‘ 1 πŸ” 1 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0