First turnout report in battleground county which usually has good turnout
791 early votes first day in 2025 and 359 in 2023
Expect today to be closer to 2023 turnout than 2025
Solid number, but not record breaking
Makes sense given Virginians not used to voting now
I wouldn’t discount possibility Dems could put another redistricting referendum on ballot in 2028
Don’t think would be full repeal of redistricting commission but could changes
Almost everyone agrees current structure doesn’t make sense
But current referendum wouldn’t do that
A valid question
Short answer is map would only apply for 3 elections
After 2030, VA would have to redraw maps due to census
Same Redistricting Commission as last time would be responsible, with VA Supreme Court as backstop
Would require another referendum for something else
Schedule and locations for polling locations from today's RTD:
Obligatory first day of early voting in Virginia selfie
Not super busy, but steady stream in Arlington
Election Day will be April 21 so plenty of time to cast a ballot
Make your plan to vote!
Today March 6 is the first day of early voting in Virginia for the redistricting referendum
All voters can cast ballots at their local election office and satellite locations in some places
Make your voice heard Virginia!
Link w more information below
www.elections.virginia.gov/casting-a-ba...
Local Dem groups are working on it
The regime fought a brutal 8 year war against Saddam
He bombed Iranian cities, sent his armies, and even used chemical weapons
That war is part of the regime’s core ideology
Difficult to imagine they would just give up
As much as I’d like to see them go
Tomorrow is start of early voting for VA redistricting referendum
Don’t think will reach 2025 levels of early voting which had 33K first day
Probably get more than 2023 state elections first day of 12K
Expect lots of over analysis, but will give a sense of potential turnout
Imagine the conversation will go something like this
Don’t recall these members having concerns when their Democratic colleagues in other states were gerrymandered
😂
Basically the Virginia Supreme Court
New Federal Fallout pod on Virginia Supreme Court decision
Kicking the can down the road one again
But need a final ruling if the referendum passes
Plus early voting starts tomorrow
But will voters be paying attention with everything going on in the world
podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/f...
Governor Spanberger with her strongest statement in support of Redistricting amendment
This comes as former President Obama also releases a video in support
Dems doing a full court press before start of early voting tomorrow
We’ll see if national GOP figures get involved
With early voting starting TOMORROW, Former President @barackobama.bsky.social endorses the YES campaign for the Virginia redistricting amendment bluevirginia.us/2026/03/thur... h/t @meidastouch.com
It worked
bsky.app/profile/sams...
Wish Virginia Supreme Court would have cited Doja Cat’s Paint the Town Red
The GOP’s “illness don’t come with no remedy”
(At least for now)
Virginia Supreme Court explicitly says if referendum is voted down, case is moot
If it passes, then will make the final judgment
Opinion seems like court was thorn about whether to rule now or later
But Dems will take it and live to fight another day
Democrats are celebrating this ruling
But it is very procedural in nature
Virginia Supreme Court says “these issues are of grave concern to the Court”
Just won’t stop vote
Could just mean they will take their time to decide final issue
But the case is far from over…
We finally got a Virginia Supreme Court ruling!
Confirmation redistricting referendum is happening
Early voting starts this Friday
Essentially a shadow docket ruling and not on final merits
But highest court in Virginia will let voters go to the polls
A lawsuit has been filed to try to stop Virginia's proposed reproductive rights constitutional amendment from making it to statewide ballots later this year.
virginiamercury.com/2026/03/04/b...
All indications are early voting will start as expected on Friday for redistricting referendum
Only thing that could stop it is explicit order from Virginia Supreme Court not to do so
Complicated in Tazewell county due to local judge’s order
Hearing going on today there
Tom Bonier: "Here are 4 districts the TX GOP gerrymandered to gain seats in November, with the Dem and GOP primary vote. Dems outvoted GOPs in every one of them." (CD9, CD28, CD34, CD35)
Wow, that's wild: "4 districts the TX GOP gerrymandered to gain seats in November, with the Dem and GOP primary vote. Dems outvoted GOPs in every one of them." bluevirginia.us/2026/03/wedn... h/t @tbonier.bsky.social
Finally called at nearly 2am
I'll post the final numbers when I can get them, but for now...
THE DEMOCRATS HAVE FLIPPED ARKANSAS'S #HD70 (Harris+2)
Looks like a pretty good-sized overperformance from 2024 too
Yeah GOP Rep Dan Crenshaw looks finished in his primary
Meanwhile GOP Rep. Dan Crenshaw looks in trouble in his primary
James Talarico looks on his way to winning the Dem nomination for Texas Senate without a runoff
The GOP race likely going to runoff between incumbent John Cornyn and Ken Paxton
Boosts Dems as they try to overcome long odds to take back Senate
