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Peter Holmes

@pholmes8

Semi-retired trade economist, Emeritus @ UKTPO Sussex. Posts about Brexit, Freeports, WTO and anything else that catches my fancy. Migrating across from other place. Tweeted as @pholmes8. Blogs with others at https://blogs.sussex.ac.uk/uktpo/blog/

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Latest posts by Peter Holmes @pholmes8

That Trump repeats calls for Iran's unconditional surrender on same day he's got the defence industrial chiefs round for an emergency meeting on military supplies perfectly sums up his grasp of ends & means.

06.03.2026 19:48 πŸ‘ 637 πŸ” 160 πŸ’¬ 18 πŸ“Œ 3

I’m pretty astonished Badenoch and Farage both decided to get lockstep behind Trump as he walks off a cliff.

06.03.2026 21:03 πŸ‘ 100 πŸ” 27 πŸ’¬ 7 πŸ“Œ 2
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It looks like the US used Claude AI to strike the girls' school in southern Iran, killing 168 It’s been a couple of days since comedian Omid Djalili launched a bizarre attack on Zack Polanski, accusing the Green leader of spreading β€œmisinformation” on Twitter.

Yes, we’ve entered the nightmare era when machines decide on kills. My thoughts are with Sarah Connor at this difficult time.

www.councilestatemedia.uk/p/it-looks-l...

06.03.2026 18:14 πŸ‘ 94 πŸ” 43 πŸ’¬ 6 πŸ“Œ 7

@edconway.bsky.social points out there are limits to storing oil and even more so gas if Hormuz is closed, and facilities degrade if unused. AND the region is a main source of other scarce resources such as helium.
We can surely rely on Trump to have thought this through or.... 😱

06.03.2026 18:10 πŸ‘ 3 πŸ” 1 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0
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Oil Tanker Traffic in the Straits of Hormuz Oil tanker traffic is down to near zero from on average 60 ships per day before hostilities

Anyone with any knowledge of modern history knows that shutting down oil and gas supplies from the ME is going to have much bigger ramifications than markets are currently signalling
open.substack.com/pub/robinjbr...

06.03.2026 14:01 πŸ‘ 5 πŸ” 3 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

β€œMistakenly withheld”

06.03.2026 00:44 πŸ‘ 10 πŸ” 4 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0
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The U.S. is not in the business of nation-building, but it will pick Iran’s new leaders, bring it back from the brink of destruction and make it bigger, better and stronger than ever…

06.03.2026 16:30 πŸ‘ 11 πŸ” 2 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0
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Noem is gone, sort of, but there are lessons to be learned from her tenure, how she was fired, and why it didn’t happen earlier, why the Senate confirmed her in the first place, that we can”t afford to ignore joycevance.substack.com/p/fired-but-...

06.03.2026 16:23 πŸ‘ 2526 πŸ” 735 πŸ’¬ 152 πŸ“Œ 26
Preview
Gambling on War Is MAGA’s Latest Gold Rush Some lawmakers want to ban the prediction-market manipulations.

Read more from @cheetah.bsky.social in Press Pass bit.ly/40fdpsM

06.03.2026 15:49 πŸ‘ 38 πŸ” 10 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

I will miss Kristi Noem's inimitable constitutional insights, as when, asked by Sen. Maggie Hassan, D-N.H. at a Senate hearing to define "habeas corpus," she replied, "Habeas corpus is a constitutional right that the president has to be able to remove people from this country."

06.03.2026 02:15 πŸ‘ 2217 πŸ” 389 πŸ’¬ 68 πŸ“Œ 23

These headlines should always read β€œNew secondary moderns set to return”, since that’s where most kids will go under that system.

06.03.2026 07:26 πŸ‘ 184 πŸ” 56 πŸ’¬ 11 πŸ“Œ 0
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This is incredible. UK emissions fell 2.4% in 2025 as coal fell to a 400-year low. Incredibly, we used less coal last year than than in 1600, when Queen Elizabeth I was on the throne and Shakespeare was writing Hamlet
www.carbonbrief.org/analysis-uk-...

05.03.2026 20:33 πŸ‘ 468 πŸ” 149 πŸ’¬ 14 πŸ“Œ 5

bsky.app/profile/ones...

05.03.2026 15:28 πŸ‘ 1 πŸ” 3 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

They.
Just.
Lie.

05.03.2026 02:59 πŸ‘ 998 πŸ” 267 πŸ’¬ 34 πŸ“Œ 6

Pissing off India to sink a light frigate that posed basically no threat to any naval assets was a very stupid decision.

05.03.2026 16:07 πŸ‘ 119 πŸ” 9 πŸ’¬ 3 πŸ“Œ 1

He’s both.

05.03.2026 15:34 πŸ‘ 4 πŸ” 4 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

What on earth does she mean by 'we have located 145k children'?

05.03.2026 20:36 πŸ‘ 15 πŸ” 1 πŸ’¬ 4 πŸ“Œ 0
05.03.2026 20:27 πŸ‘ 139 πŸ” 8 πŸ’¬ 5 πŸ“Œ 0

Still they rise

05.03.2026 16:54 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 1 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

so far i think in the last 48 hours trump has called

- michael scherer at the atlantic
- jonathan karl, abc
- jake tapper, cnn
- axios
- bret baier, fox news
- the new york times
- the washington post

just noting that when he wants to sell a war, suddenly theyre not "fake news" anymore

02.03.2026 15:47 πŸ‘ 2646 πŸ” 780 πŸ’¬ 72 πŸ“Œ 45

GOP man on #Radio4 saying US military is better when it works with UK. But UK military isn't better joining a war with no plan, no exit strategy, no goal. Also illegal.

04.03.2026 08:14 πŸ‘ 235 πŸ” 43 πŸ’¬ 3 πŸ“Œ 2
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β€˜Treat us fairly’: skilled workers face having their dream of settling in UK snatched away As government mulls doubling requirement to 10 years, the uncertainty is putting many who came to Britain to work under strain

An economically, politically and morally bankrupt strategy.

Bad for individuals, bad for families, bad for businesses, bad for public services, bad for integration and cohesion.

www.theguardian.com/uk-news/2026...

04.03.2026 08:46 πŸ‘ 518 πŸ” 221 πŸ’¬ 21 πŸ“Œ 13

Well before Kristi Noem’s confirmation hearing to become DHS Secretary, Thom Tillis knew she gunned down her dog and goat

And if this wasn’t enough of a display that she has always been unqualified

She made it INFINITELY WORSE by putting this story IN A BOOK

Tillis voted to confirm her anyway

03.03.2026 20:48 πŸ‘ 174 πŸ” 55 πŸ’¬ 7 πŸ“Œ 1

sure isn’t
bsky.app/profile/zenz...

25.10.2025 02:44 πŸ‘ 10 πŸ” 3 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0

Fine, but Labour have no plans to substantially "break down trade barriers" with the EU. Perhaps because they judge that to be politically impossible but, if so, that needs to be said. Otherwise, we just continue the endless dishonesty which has characterized Brexit.

03.03.2026 20:10 πŸ‘ 222 πŸ” 86 πŸ’¬ 18 πŸ“Œ 7

I particularly resent rags like Daily Mail gleefully reporting Trump’s bullying of Starmer. It’s disloyal and hypocritical - they’d be screaming from rooftops if U.K. meekly followed European diktats, yet would have us unquestioningly kowtow to Trump. Starmer’s task is incredibly difficult.

03.03.2026 19:21 πŸ‘ 611 πŸ” 147 πŸ’¬ 26 πŸ“Œ 3

Yeah, I'm not sure that taking his advice would be a smart move.

We'll sit this one out.

03.03.2026 20:06 πŸ‘ 30 πŸ” 1 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0
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WELCH: Mr. Yoho is also the husband of your former spokesperson, Tricia McLaughlin?

NOEM: Yes

WELCH: So your former assistant and her husband are the ones that got the DHS no bid contract for $143m. Any dispute about that?

NOEM: No.

03.03.2026 18:37 πŸ‘ 16854 πŸ” 6396 πŸ’¬ 972 πŸ“Œ 703
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Thom Tillis Torches Kristi Noem For Failed Leadership Of ICE, FEMA And Her Dog The Republican senator threatened to hold up all Trump nominees until the DHS secretary answers his questions about her β€œdisastrous” tenure.

The Republican senator threatened to hold up all Trump nominees until the DHS secretary answers his questions about her β€œdisastrous” tenure.

03.03.2026 20:06 πŸ‘ 31 πŸ” 13 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 1