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Josef Woldense

@woldense

josefwoldense.com

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20.09.2023
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Latest posts by Josef Woldense @woldense

A Day in the Life of an Ensh*ttificator
A Day in the Life of an Ensh*ttificator YouTube video by Forbrukerrรฅdet - Norwegian Consumer Council

A 4 minute comedy skit worth your time

www.youtube.com/watch?v=T4Up...

27.02.2026 22:08 ๐Ÿ‘ 2 ๐Ÿ” 1 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0 ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
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Russia, Venezuela, Iran, China, the Sahel region, the United States ...

Want to know why state agents carry out brutal repression โ€” or participate in illegal coups?

Our new book "Making a Career in Dictatorship" provides answers โ€” it just got published by @academic.oup.com:

tinyurl.com/ystwm3tf

16.02.2026 11:09 ๐Ÿ‘ 134 ๐Ÿ” 73 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 13 ๐Ÿ“Œ 10

Congrats!!!

16.02.2026 12:20 ๐Ÿ‘ 1 ๐Ÿ” 0 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0 ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

Academics, don't just critique. Show your displeasure by putting an axe through tables at your next seminar. You too will be featured in a music video. Eternal fame awaits you

05.02.2026 12:57 ๐Ÿ‘ 1 ๐Ÿ” 0 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0 ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

I love that he has an axe readily at hand. He just carries it around all day in case the need arises

05.02.2026 12:25 ๐Ÿ‘ 1 ๐Ÿ” 0 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1 ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
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We are happy to release the Paths to Power Dashboard. It is the perfect tool for politics nerds!

You can find it here: ptp.isv.sv.uio.no/ptp/

It allows you to explore governments from 1966-2021 using the PtP and WhoGov datasets. See examples below.

The app has been programmed by Stuart Bramwell.

14.01.2026 11:44 ๐Ÿ‘ 102 ๐Ÿ” 39 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1 ๐Ÿ“Œ 6
Research fellow (m/f/d) in the field of โ€œcontentious politics/political violence/autocratic politicsโ€ - Humboldt-Universitรคt zu Berlin

๐ŸšจJob alert! ๐Ÿšจ

I'm advertising a PhD position (66%) in Comparative Politics at HU Berlin. Ideal candidates combine a research interest in autocratic politics, conflict, and/or political violence with strong quantitative methods skills.

โณ 4 (+2) years | ๐Ÿ—“ DL 16.01; Start March/April 26

More info:

06.01.2026 11:17 ๐Ÿ‘ 46 ๐Ÿ” 48 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0 ๐Ÿ“Œ 3

The visual for the 11% car reduction was clever

06.01.2026 02:58 ๐Ÿ‘ 1 ๐Ÿ” 0 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0 ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

the analogy I use with friends and family all the time is the jump from collegiate to professional sports. as soon as I explain it that way, it clicks in their brains what the academic job market is like.

19.12.2025 15:52 ๐Ÿ‘ 226 ๐Ÿ” 48 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 9 ๐Ÿ“Œ 4

I am hiring a post-doctoral fellow (2 years) to work on all things political finance in Africa. There are no teaching obligations, and lots of opportunities for fieldwork. A PhD in Political Science is a requirement. Please spread the word! Happy to answer questions - send them to my LSE email.

17.12.2025 11:58 ๐Ÿ‘ 29 ๐Ÿ” 35 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0 ๐Ÿ“Œ 1
Will you incorporate LLMs and AI prompting into the course in the future?
No.

Why wonโ€™t you incorporate LLMs and AI prompting into the course?
These tools are useful for coding (see this for my personal take on this).

However, theyโ€™re only useful if you know what youโ€™re doing first. If you skip the learning-the-process-of-writing-code step and just copy/paste output from ChatGPT, you will not learn. You cannot learn. You cannot improve. You will not understand the code.

Will you incorporate LLMs and AI prompting into the course in the future? No. Why wonโ€™t you incorporate LLMs and AI prompting into the course? These tools are useful for coding (see this for my personal take on this). However, theyโ€™re only useful if you know what youโ€™re doing first. If you skip the learning-the-process-of-writing-code step and just copy/paste output from ChatGPT, you will not learn. You cannot learn. You cannot improve. You will not understand the code.

In that post, it warns that you cannot use it as a beginner:

โ€ฆto use Databot effectively and safely, you still need the skills of a data scientist: background and domain knowledge, data analysis expertise, and coding ability.

There is no LLM-based shortcut to those skills. You cannot LLM your way into domain knowledge, data analysis expertise, or coding ability.

The only way to gain domain knowledge, data analysis expertise, and coding ability is to struggle. To get errors. To google those errors. To look over the documentation. To copy/paste your own code and adapt it for different purposes. To explore messy datasets. To struggle to clean those datasets. To spend an hour looking for a missing comma.

This isnโ€™t a form of programming hazing, like โ€œI had to walk to school uphill both ways in the snow and now you must too.โ€ Itโ€™s the actual process of learning and growing and developing and improving. Youโ€™ve gotta struggle.

In that post, it warns that you cannot use it as a beginner: โ€ฆto use Databot effectively and safely, you still need the skills of a data scientist: background and domain knowledge, data analysis expertise, and coding ability. There is no LLM-based shortcut to those skills. You cannot LLM your way into domain knowledge, data analysis expertise, or coding ability. The only way to gain domain knowledge, data analysis expertise, and coding ability is to struggle. To get errors. To google those errors. To look over the documentation. To copy/paste your own code and adapt it for different purposes. To explore messy datasets. To struggle to clean those datasets. To spend an hour looking for a missing comma. This isnโ€™t a form of programming hazing, like โ€œI had to walk to school uphill both ways in the snow and now you must too.โ€ Itโ€™s the actual process of learning and growing and developing and improving. Youโ€™ve gotta struggle.

This Tumblr post puts it well (itโ€™s about art specifically, but it applies to coding and data analysis too):

Contrary to popular belief the biggest beginnerโ€™s roadblock to art isnโ€™t even technical skill itโ€™s frustration tolerance, especially in the age of social media. It hurts and the frustration is endless but you must build the frustration tolerance equivalent to a roachโ€™s capacity to survive a nuclear explosion. Thatโ€™s how you build on the technical skill. Throw that โ€œwonโ€™t even start because Iโ€™m afraid it wonโ€™t be perfectโ€ shit out the window. Just do it. Just start. Good luck. (The original post has disappeared, but hereโ€™s a reblog.)

Itโ€™s hard, but struggling is the only way to learn anything.

This Tumblr post puts it well (itโ€™s about art specifically, but it applies to coding and data analysis too): Contrary to popular belief the biggest beginnerโ€™s roadblock to art isnโ€™t even technical skill itโ€™s frustration tolerance, especially in the age of social media. It hurts and the frustration is endless but you must build the frustration tolerance equivalent to a roachโ€™s capacity to survive a nuclear explosion. Thatโ€™s how you build on the technical skill. Throw that โ€œwonโ€™t even start because Iโ€™m afraid it wonโ€™t be perfectโ€ shit out the window. Just do it. Just start. Good luck. (The original post has disappeared, but hereโ€™s a reblog.) Itโ€™s hard, but struggling is the only way to learn anything.

You might not enjoy code as much as Williams does (or I do), but thereโ€™s still value in maintaining codings skills as you improve and learn more. You donโ€™t want your skills to atrophy.

As I discuss here, when I do use LLMs for coding-related tasks, I purposely throw as much friction into the process as possible:

To avoid falling into over-reliance on LLM-assisted code help, I add as much friction into my workflow as possible. I only use GitHub Copilot and Claude in the browser, not through the chat sidebar in Positron or Visual Studio Code. I treat the code it generates like random answers from StackOverflow or blog posts and generally rewrite it completely. I disable the inline LLM-based auto complete in text editors. For routine tasks like generating {roxygen2} documentation scaffolding for functions, I use the {chores} package, which requires a bunch of pointing and clicking to use.

Even though I use Positron, I purposely do not use either Positron Assistant or Databot. I have them disabled.

So in the end, for pedagogical reasons, I donโ€™t foresee me incorporating LLMs into this class. Iโ€™m pedagogically opposed to it. Iโ€™m facing all sorts of external pressure to do it, but Iโ€™m resisting.

Youโ€™ve got to learn first.

You might not enjoy code as much as Williams does (or I do), but thereโ€™s still value in maintaining codings skills as you improve and learn more. You donโ€™t want your skills to atrophy. As I discuss here, when I do use LLMs for coding-related tasks, I purposely throw as much friction into the process as possible: To avoid falling into over-reliance on LLM-assisted code help, I add as much friction into my workflow as possible. I only use GitHub Copilot and Claude in the browser, not through the chat sidebar in Positron or Visual Studio Code. I treat the code it generates like random answers from StackOverflow or blog posts and generally rewrite it completely. I disable the inline LLM-based auto complete in text editors. For routine tasks like generating {roxygen2} documentation scaffolding for functions, I use the {chores} package, which requires a bunch of pointing and clicking to use. Even though I use Positron, I purposely do not use either Positron Assistant or Databot. I have them disabled. So in the end, for pedagogical reasons, I donโ€™t foresee me incorporating LLMs into this class. Iโ€™m pedagogically opposed to it. Iโ€™m facing all sorts of external pressure to do it, but Iโ€™m resisting. Youโ€™ve got to learn first.

Some closing thoughts for my students this semester on LLMs and learning #rstats datavizf25.classes.andrewheiss.com/news/2025-12...

09.12.2025 20:17 ๐Ÿ‘ 331 ๐Ÿ” 99 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 14 ๐Ÿ“Œ 31
Research Officer Research Officer, , <p style="background: white; margin: 0cm; text-align: center;"><em><span style="color: #333333;">LSE is committed to building a diverse, equitable and truly inclusive university</s...

๐ŸšจJobs!๐Ÿšจ

3-year PostDoc positions (aka Research Officers) at @lsegovernment.bsky.social to work with me on the local consequences of border change. Please reach out for questions and apply by Jan 4th to join the team and department: Iโ€™d love to hear from you!

Job ad: jobs.lse.ac.uk/Vacancies/W/...

06.12.2025 15:35 ๐Ÿ‘ 65 ๐Ÿ” 58 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1 ๐Ÿ“Œ 6

For anyone interested in the visualisation workshop materials I mention in this thread, you can find them here:

github.com/ddekadt/MY58...

29.11.2025 13:05 ๐Ÿ‘ 6 ๐Ÿ” 2 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0 ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
Satellite image of a commercial development along a stroad. On the left there's a big box store that says "Property taxes: $102,485, Parcel Size: 17,766 meter square. On the right there's two apartment buildings that read "Property taxes: $626,002, Parcel Size: 10,930 meter square"

Satellite image of a commercial development along a stroad. On the left there's a big box store that says "Property taxes: $102,485, Parcel Size: 17,766 meter square. On the right there's two apartment buildings that read "Property taxes: $626,002, Parcel Size: 10,930 meter square"

Minimum parking requirements create financially insolvent land use patterns.

The two apartment buildings on the right generate six times more in property taxes than the big box store on the left, while occupying almost half the space!

#BlackFridayParking

28.11.2025 21:07 ๐Ÿ‘ 111 ๐Ÿ” 43 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1 ๐Ÿ“Œ 3
Why is knowledge getting so expensive? | Jeffrey Edmunds | TEDxPSU
Why is knowledge getting so expensive? | Jeffrey Edmunds | TEDxPSU YouTube video by TEDx Talks

Excellent presentation. Worth a watch even if you're not an academic

youtu.be/PygUK16aQgk?...

21.11.2025 20:29 ๐Ÿ‘ 1 ๐Ÿ” 0 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0 ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
Preview
What Next: TBD Tech, power, and the future with Lizzie Oโ€™Leary.

Just listened to an episode about this:

What Next: TBD | Tech, power, and the future: How Meta Profits Off Fraud

Episode webpage: slate.com/podcasts/wha...

16.11.2025 17:01 ๐Ÿ‘ 6 ๐Ÿ” 1 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0 ๐Ÿ“Œ 1

Aditya published a new article...๐Ÿง...let me see what new creative research design he's implementing... Never fails

Congrats!

08.11.2025 22:07 ๐Ÿ‘ 2 ๐Ÿ” 0 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1 ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
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Do architecture and urban planning affect political behavior? Happy to share a paper that @tesaliarizzo.bsky.social and I have coming out at the APSR which uses computer vision to investigate how the built environment shapes inequalities in civic participation in Mexico: osf.io/preprints/so.... ๐Ÿงต1/5

08.11.2025 21:29 ๐Ÿ‘ 45 ๐Ÿ” 10 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1 ๐Ÿ“Œ 1

Giving coaches these crazy contracts, but then complain about paying players....๐Ÿค”

02.11.2025 20:40 ๐Ÿ‘ 1 ๐Ÿ” 0 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0 ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
Preview
Has Tanzania Reached Its Breaking Point? | Journal of Democracy President Hassan promised Tanzanians freedom, transparency, and reform. Instead, she has delivered repression, violence, and arrests as she bars anyone who dares challenge her.

Great analysis of the situation in Tanzania by Dan Paget

31.10.2025 17:38 ๐Ÿ‘ 15 ๐Ÿ” 7 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1 ๐Ÿ“Œ 1

Awesome! Makes me think how many other distributions could be represented in this way.

๐Ÿค”...I guess the binomial could be with the Galton board by assuming balls on either side of the mean to be yes/no

30.10.2025 12:10 ๐Ÿ‘ 2 ๐Ÿ” 0 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0 ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

You just got them another customer. Time to purchase that sweet board.

Do you use it when teaching?

30.10.2025 12:02 ๐Ÿ‘ 2 ๐Ÿ” 0 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1 ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

An entire emotional arch captured in one moment. By far one of my favorite memes

24.10.2025 20:41 ๐Ÿ‘ 1 ๐Ÿ” 0 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0 ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
Abstract for the article: How does right-wing terrorism affect electoral support for populist radical right parties (PRRPs)? Recent research has produced contrary answers to this question. We argue that only high-intensity attacks, whose motives and targets mirror PRRPsโ€™ nativist agenda, are likely to generate a media backlash that dampens electoral support for PRRPs. We test this argument by combining high-frequency survey and social media data with a natural and survey experimental design. We find that right-wing terror reduced support for the radical right party Alternative fรผr Deutschland after one of the most intense nativist attacks in recent German history. An analysis of all ninety-eight fatal right-wing attacks in Germany between 1990 and 2020 supports our argument. Our findings contribute to an understanding of how political violence triggers partisan detachment and have important implications for media responsibility in the aftermath of terrorist attacks.

Abstract for the article: How does right-wing terrorism affect electoral support for populist radical right parties (PRRPs)? Recent research has produced contrary answers to this question. We argue that only high-intensity attacks, whose motives and targets mirror PRRPsโ€™ nativist agenda, are likely to generate a media backlash that dampens electoral support for PRRPs. We test this argument by combining high-frequency survey and social media data with a natural and survey experimental design. We find that right-wing terror reduced support for the radical right party Alternative fรผr Deutschland after one of the most intense nativist attacks in recent German history. An analysis of all ninety-eight fatal right-wing attacks in Germany between 1990 and 2020 supports our argument. Our findings contribute to an understanding of how political violence triggers partisan detachment and have important implications for media responsibility in the aftermath of terrorist attacks.

๐Ÿšจ New article out!

โ€œRight-Wing Terror, Media Backlash, and Voting Preferences for the Far Rightโ€ in @bjpols.bsky.social

๐Ÿ‘‰ doi.org/10.1017/S000...

We (Alex De Juan, @juvoss.bsky.social & I) examine how right-wing attacks shape support for the far-right in Germany.

Short summary thread below ๐Ÿ‘‡

22.10.2025 15:14 ๐Ÿ‘ 117 ๐Ÿ” 49 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1 ๐Ÿ“Œ 5
Preview
The Risk of a New Ethiopian-Eritrean War Is Growing Changing dynamics in Tigray could erode the current balance of uncertainty.

New essay in Foreign Policy with Abel Abate D. on Eritrea-Ethiopia tensions. It covers the sources of mutual restraint thus far; some of the factors that are eroding this delicate balance; and what can be done to avert another war the Horn of Africa cannot afford.

foreignpolicy.com/2025/10/21/e...

22.10.2025 18:16 ๐Ÿ‘ 4 ๐Ÿ” 5 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0 ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
What the Books Get Wrong about AI [Double Descent]
What the Books Get Wrong about AI [Double Descent] YouTube video by Welch Labs

Excellent video on bias-variance tradeoff in stats/AI

youtu.be/z64a7USuGX0?...

20.10.2025 18:37 ๐Ÿ‘ 1 ๐Ÿ” 0 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0 ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
Paths to Power: A New Dataset on the Social Profile of Governments | British Journal of Political Science | Cambridge Core Paths to Power: A New Dataset on the Social Profile of Governments - Volume 55

Paths to Power (PtP) is out in @bjpols.bsky.social! It is a database with data on cabinet members' social profile globally from 1966-2021.

This is a great team effort with @chknutsen.bsky.social, @peterla.bsky.social, @inalkristiansen.bsky.social. But many more helped us along the way ๐Ÿ™

A short ๐Ÿงต

20.10.2025 13:51 ๐Ÿ‘ 112 ๐Ÿ” 47 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 3 ๐Ÿ“Œ 2

Just out of curiosity, what problems do you see with strong towns?

16.10.2025 15:03 ๐Ÿ‘ 2 ๐Ÿ” 0 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0 ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

Cool paper. I'm going to shamelessly plug my work here that also deals with LLMs for research

bsky.app/profile/wold...

08.10.2025 11:22 ๐Ÿ‘ 3 ๐Ÿ” 1 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0 ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
Virtual PASS Course. The Research Presentation as Storytelling: A Two-Part Training. Part 1: October 9. Part 2: October 10. 11 AM to 3 PM (ET). Part 1 Cost: $35. Part 2 Cost: $35. ISA logo. Background: An open laptop with an open book sitting on the keyboard.

Virtual PASS Course. The Research Presentation as Storytelling: A Two-Part Training. Part 1: October 9. Part 2: October 10. 11 AM to 3 PM (ET). Part 1 Cost: $35. Part 2 Cost: $35. ISA logo. Background: An open laptop with an open book sitting on the keyboard.

Preparing for your upcoming #ResearchTalk? Sign up for two courses, taught by @woldense.bsky.social, to enhance your #Communication and apply #Storytelling principles to your #Presenting, and #Teaching skills! Open to both ISA Members and non-members. Register: buff.ly/PUXowRN

24.09.2025 16:10 ๐Ÿ‘ 0 ๐Ÿ” 1 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0 ๐Ÿ“Œ 0