Iran war has given Ze a Royal Flush What is now pretty clear is that we are seeing a battle for endurance and supply chains in ballistic missile, drones and anti missile and anti drone space as this war in Iran plays out.

timothyash.substack.com/p/iran-war-h...

Iran risks - some fresh perspective This multipolar world that Trump, Putin et al appear to be trying to create does not seem to be creating a safer and more predictable world - quite the opposite if we think of the situation with the o...

open.substack.com/pub/timothya...

www.bfbs.com/radio/podcas...

Hungarian elections as a read out to US midterms? For me the two most important elections globally this year will be midterms in the US in November, and elections in Hungary on April 12.

open.substack.com/pub/timothya...

Putin the failure Four years to the day from the start of Putin’s full scale invasion of Ukraine, and close to 12 years since the annexation of Crimea, and it’s worthwhile looking back at how far from a win this is all...

Putin has failed catastrophically in Ukraine, a log of his failures. open.substack.com/pub/timothya...

Orban looks to screw Ukraine to win re-election Viktor Orban is facing his biggest political challenge for two decades when he goes to the polls on April 12 - the opposition Tisza party, and its leader Peter Magyar, have a ten point lead on Orban’s...

open.substack.com/pub/timothya...

Elections in Hungary will test transatlantic unity The year since JD Vance’s Munich Security Conference reading of the riot act to Europe has seen relations between the US and Europe lurch from one crisis to another.

open.substack.com/pub/timothya...

Tim Ash on the Latest Episode of The Dictators Recording of earlier livestream of my weekly livestream with Jonathan Fink

www.protectingtherepublic.com/p/tim-ash-on...

Ukraine - scenarios for peace & war Thinking thru scenarios now for the on-going war in Ukraine:

open.substack.com/pub/timothya...

Putin 101 for Steve Witkoff The FT is reporting today that Zelensky is likely to announce elections and a referendum on any peace agreement concluded under the current Trump peace initiative.

open.substack.com/pub/timothya...

Trying to gauge geopolitical risk In an increasingly uncertain and fractured world, how to gauge geopolitical risk going forward?

open.substack.com/pub/timothya...

Türkiye - trip notes I spent the last few days in Turkiye meeting with think tanks, analysts, journalists and diplomats trying to better understand the Turkiye story.

Some notes from a recent trip to Türkiye, open.substack.com/pub/timothya...

Trump’s Ukraine peace talks are going nowhere It’s a read my lips moment, Trump’s Ukraine peace talks are just not serious.

Trump’s Ukraine peace process is going nowhere - the Emperor has no clothes. open.substack.com/pub/timothya...

The U.K. and Turkiye need to tighten defence cooperation Turkiye and the UK have much more in common when it comes to defence and national security interests than perhaps at any time in recent history.

Need more Turkiye - UK defence cooperation to counter Russia. open.substack.com/pub/timothya...

Europe finds its balls in Davos But China is the ultimate winner

Europe found its balls in Davos but China was the ultimate winner. open.substack.com/pub/timothya...

Ukraine - impressions from Davos I spent the day speaking at Davos at Ukraine House, listening then to Zelensky’s speech and talking with various Ukraine related contacts.

open.substack.com/pub/timothya...

European defence - its not just about the money The Trump administration seems happy to push two narratives around Russia’s war on Ukraine which seem inconsistent.

open.substack.com/pub/timothya...

Iran now reveals the limitations of US power Over the past year in Iran we have likely seen both the highs and the lows in terms of U.S.

open.substack.com/pub/timothya...

Ukraine - do the numbers now add up? The EC has finally announced details of its new €90 billion loan facility for Ukraine agreed at the EU council meeting in December.

I look at whether the EU’s €90 billion for Ukraine is enough? timothyash.substack.com/p/ukraine-do...

Ukraine’s Finances 2026–2027 YouTube video by U.S.-Ukraine Foundation

Great to speak on Ukraine financing with Anders Aslund and Phil Zelikow. Thanks to the U.S. - Ukraine Foundation for facilitating. youtu.be/ipDZSUs1Mrg

What wakes Putin up in a cold sweat? And what’s his ultimate wet dream?

open.substack.com/pub/timothya...

Trump seems set to wag the husky dog in Greenland After Trump’s decapitation exercise in Venezuela, his sights appear clearly set on Greenland.

Trump is set to Wag the Husky Dog next in Greenland. Has Denmark got a defence? Perhaps open.substack.com/pub/timothya...

Venezuela and the Sun King POTUS There are so many different angles to find from the US intervention in Venezuela over the past weekend.

Some bigger picture out-takes on events in Venezuela. open.substack.com/pub/timothya...

Ukraine - Putin is the problem I agree with President Putin.

Putin is actually the problem, open.substack.com/pub/timothya...

TRT World - 2025, the year Türkiye’s long game paid off As 2025 draws to a close, Türkiye’s patient diplomacy, expanding defence industry, and strategic autonomy have positioned it as a pivotal power across Europe, the Middle East, and Eurasia.

I wrote for TRT World on the geopolitical outturns for Turkiye in 25’. www.trtworld.com/article/9722...

Europe Rescues Ukraine, Sort Of “The greatest treason,” As written buy the poet TS Elliot, is “to do the right deed for the wrong reason."

cepa.org/article/euro...

Brussels defeats Brussels But Ukraine pays the price, not Russia

open.substack.com/pub/timothya...

Will British bankers please reveal themselves? Or shut up

Have British bankers got any balls? open.substack.com/pub/timothya...

Ukraine - peace talks are on a road to nowhere I don’t think the current US-managed Ukraine peace process is serious.

Trump’s peace talks on Ukraine are about him, not peace. open.substack.com/pub/timothya...

Modi 'at risk' as Putin tries to save Russian economic collapse with Indian trade deal YouTube video by Times Radio

I spoke with Times Radio about Putin’s trip to India, youtu.be/UdG4zXAI4h8?...