How conspiracy theories entered the mainstream in Spain
โ @josejavierolivas.bsky.social @maikherold.bsky.social & Felix Hormig @forum-midem.bsky.social blogs.lse.ac.uk/europpblog/2...
๐จ Very happy to see this article on the ๐ถ๐ฑ๐ฒ๐ผ๐น๐ผ๐ด๐ถ๐ฐ๐ฎ๐น ๐ฝ๐ฟ๐ผ๐ณ๐ถ๐น๐ฒ๐ ๐ผ๐ณ ๐๐ฆ๐ช ๐๐๐ฝ๐ฝ๐ผ๐ฟ๐๐ฒ๐ฟ๐ ๐ถ๐ป ๐๐ฎ๐๐๐ฒ๐ฟ๐ป ๐ฎ๐ป๐ฑ ๐ช๐ฒ๐๐๐ฒ๐ฟ๐ป ๐๐ฒ๐ฟ๐บ๐ฎ๐ป๐ published in German Politics (with @cyrillotteni.bsky.social). ๐
๐จWho believes in the โGreat Replacementโ? In my latest article in ๐๐ฐ๐ค๐ช๐ข๐ญ ๐๐ค๐ช๐ฆ๐ฏ๐ค๐ฆ ๐๐ถ๐ข๐ณ๐ต๐ฆ๐ณ๐ญ๐บ, I show that those who subscribe to this conspiracy theory are much more politically diverse than commonly assumed, and that their endorsement cannot always be explained by extreme political ideologies. ๐
๐จNew preprint online! We looked at the AfD and BSW in Thuringia during the 2024 state elections. Big question: could BSW actually pull voters away from the AfD? osf.io/preprints/os... ๐ณ๏ธ 1/3
Excited to co-organize this workshop in my old home, Florence! Together with a.o. @lenkadrazanova.bsky.social @maikherold.bsky.social @yuliala.bsky.social, weโll address key migration questions: policy shifts, polarization, and the situation of Ukrainian refugees
Join us on-site or tune in online!
๐ Neue Studie
Wo die AfD stark ist, sind Abwertungen und Spaltungen innerhalb der Gesellschaft ausgeprรคgt - und zwar in der gesamten Bevรถlkerung, nicht nur bei AfD-Wรคhler:innen. Basis: Reprรคsentative Befragung von 15.000 Menschen.
Mehr im Datenmonitor โฌ๏ธ
fgzrisc.hypotheses.org/5568
#Gesellschaft
๐ฅ New publication - Forum article on practices of (de)legitimation in world politics in International Studies Review @isanet.bsky.social Might be interesting for IR scholars interested in the practice turn, visuality, the body, emotions & new forms of communication!
academic.oup.com/isr/article-...
๐ขI'm happy to share my ๐ป๐ฒ๐ ๐ฎ๐ฟ๐๐ถ๐ฐ๐น๐ฒ "The impact of conspiracy belief on democratic culture", which examines how belief in conspiracies is related to democratic attitudes and preferred forms of political participation published in @misinforeview.bsky.social.
@dvpw @AnnaKurella @HartlandAlex @ortutt @StefanChristoph @verbalyte @M_Filsinger @ECPR_AffPol
@ForumMIDEM
Today is the last day of the @dvpw 2024 and finally it's โAffective Polarization Day!โ In two panels we will have great papers presented by Mahmoud Farag, @AnnaKurella, @HartlandAlex, @ortutt, @StefanChristoph, @verbalyte, @M_Filsinger and Felix Jรคger
#dvpw2024 @ECPR_AffPol
Read the full study here (in German): ๐
https://forum-midem.de/wp-content/uploads/2024/09/TUD_MIDEM_Report_Polarisierte_politische_Landschaften.pdf
@Felix_Hormig | @StSchaeller | @ForumMIDEM | @tudresden_de | @GSW_TUDresden
On the other hand, we find that the more sparsely populated a municipality is and the farther away it is from a major urban centre, the better the AfD's electoral performance. The same is true for places with lower quality and availability of local public services. (3/3)
We find significant correlations not with current, but with past unemployment rates: In municipalities where many people were unemployed in 2001, the AfD vote share is higher today, while the BSW vote share is lower. (2/3)
The elections in Saxony and Thuringia have shifted Germany's political landscape further to the right. In our recent study, we used structural data at the municipal level to test the influence of various socio-demographic and socio-economic factors on the election outcome. (1/3)
๐
https://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s41358-023-00362-6
Vor den #ltw2024 in #Sachsen lohnt sich ein Blick auf die Eigenheiten der sรคchs. polit. Kultur: Etwa, dass Politik- und Demokratieverdruss weniger in lรคndl. Regionen, sondern v.a. in den 'Mittelzentren' stark ist. Vgl. unseren Beitrag in @ZPol_journal:...
๐
https://www.courthousenews.com/germanys-new-populist-party-hopes-to-build-on-eu-election-success/
I had a chance to talk to @braneck about Germany's new @Buendnis_SahraW (BSW) party and its recent success in the European elections. His insightful report for @CourthouseNews can be found here....
@ForumMIDEM Further research on #BSW by us and others will follow: @CW_PoWi, @jpthomeczek, @SarahWagnerPhD, @Julius_Ktxt, @NilsSteiner, @ZoeLefkofridi, @MarkusWagnerAT, @JRob0922, @mhansenphd, @JeremyCliffe, @AdrianPabst1, @Buendnis_SahraW
@ForumMIDEM Overall, not only AfD (and #Linke ), but also SPD and CDU are likely to be affected by possible BSW vote gains.
On the other hand, ideological convergences of its supporter bases might pave the way for possible political alliances between BSW and SPD/CDU. (5/5)
@ForumMIDEM Does the BSW have the potential to significantly weaken the AfD?
We are rather skeptical. A rivalry between BSW and AfD arises primarily with regard to politically disillusioned voter groups, especially in eastern Germany. (4/5)
(3/5)
@ForumMIDEM Overall, in terms of their socio-econ. left-right orientation, BSW supporters are close to voters of the social democratic SPD, while regarding their socio-cult. views they are most similar to supporters of the CDU/CSU. Rather large is the ideolog. distance to the Linke....
Based on new survey data from @ForumMIDEM, we analyzed polit. positions of BSW supporters.
We found that, on average, BSW supporters can indeed be considered "left-conservative" even if the econ. left-orient. is more decisive than the cult. position for BSW affinity. (2/5)
๐ข*New Preprint* with @CyrillOtteni:
Who supports Bรผndnis Sahra #Wagenknecht?
Our research on #BSW and its impact on the political landscape in #Germany is now available at:
https://doi.org/10.31219/osf.io/7agyu
In a nutshell, here are some of our results: ๐(1/5๐งต)
โฆ with excellent contributions by @NaamaRivlin, @ofirwinter, @BeniSabti, @IsmiFallah, @link_morr, @sebalthoff and many others ...
Today is the third day of our workshop on #hate, its foundations, contexts, and variants - like #extremism and #antisemitism, by @tudresden_de @GSW_TUDresden @ForumMIDEM @TelAvivUni & @GifResearch. Looking forward to a continuation of the last days' great presentations & debates!
What is the relation btw. democratic backsliding and the popularity of conspiracy theories? How does polarization impact this relation? Find some answers at #CESConf in #Reykjavรญk today where I present a paper about #conspiracy belief in EU. @CES_Europe @ForumMIDEM @tudresden_de
