This should be a great talk by Bernie Tamas, a leading scholar on third parties.
@bernardtamas
Professor of Politics | Dad & Husband | Author of book on US Third Parties http://amzn.to/3BOXiEu | Coined the term "asymmetrical disproportionality" https://t.co/ZCLSPSUOma | Media commentator on elections | Standard disclaimers (he/him)
This should be a great talk by Bernie Tamas, a leading scholar on third parties.
Hi there, I'm not the author of the starter pack, but please feel free to connect with @scholars.org to be included in it. (You may also need to be an existing member of one of SSN's state/local chapters. Information about membership/joining SSN: scholars.org/membership)
Please register and join us on Tuesday, October 14
Elon Musk claims his America party will change US politics. Experts disagree
Radio interview with the Australian Broadcasting Corporation: I'm not currently convinced that #ElonMusk is serious about mounting a 3rd party challenge. It could, however, change & this is what to look for: Is he making an organized & visible effort to get on the ballot in all, or a few, states?
My interview today on "The Dan Abrams Show": How Elon Musk's third party could succeed, and what might cause it to fail www.siriusxm.com/player/episo... (subscription to SiriusXM is required) #USthirdparties #elonmusk #theamericaparty
Therein also lies a fundamental dilemma for any 3rd party that is to be led by Musk. How does Musk distinguish his party's agenda from the GOP's? Eg: if the GOP loses voters owing to Medicare cuts, those voters aren't likely to flock to a billionaire who has called social security a "Ponzi scheme"
Current GOP is more like a movement - unified & moving to the extreme. Current Dems are more a coalition of interest groups. This makes the GOP an easier target for a moderate 3rd party to attack. Bigger-tent Dems are harder for a 3rd party to challenge (e.g. Greens vs Progressives within the Dems)π§΅
Deutsche Welle interviewed me for their article on Elon Musk's on-again, off-again, third-party ambitions: www.dw.com/en/donald-tr... #thirdparties #elonmusk
As it turns out, fascism, massive economic uncertainty, & dismantling the federal government is not especially popular with investors
This is a venn diagram showing how 69 Trump actions map onto domains covering: undermining democratic institutions; suppressing dissent and media; dismantling social protections; attacking science and education; destabilising the global order. A table version is available here https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1LZN7QnbSyFfUZJG8Sn1MWpK0VnfBtb0OSyZ1jxP3xBk/edit?usp=sharing
π§΅"So this is how liberty dies..."
Trumpβs first 3 weeks have been a relentless flood of actions. It's incredibly hard to keep up.
Iβve gone through 69 actions & mapped out the pattern - showing how they fall within 5 broad domains consistent with authoritarian states 1/9
The 3rd party vote in congressional elections peaked in 2016, but then dropped in the the next 3 cycles. Libertarians were in a strong position in 2024 to capitalize on GOP's MAGA shift, but instead appeared to self-destruct from internal conflict, including an attempted takeover by a MAGA faction
Thanks for highlighting this. That was a really engaging podcast w/ @dansally.bsky.social back in 2020 - which described a lot of what we're witnessing right now. And yes, fully agree about the need for third parties to run. Especially a centrist challenge against MAGA at the congressional level
Report and thread π§΅
thehill.com/business/509...
SSN starter pack: Democracy & Governance Experts bsky.app/starter-pack...
This is great β thank you and followed. Also adding @jennifermccoy.bsky.social @mevanspolisci.bsky.social @pamelametz.bsky.social
Thank you for putting together this initial starter pack of @scholars.org colleagues.
Reposting, and adding @jennifermccoy.bsky.social @mevanspolisci.bsky.social @pamelametz.bsky.social
The U.S. is facing political polarization post #2024Election. In this OpEd, @jennifermccoy.bsky.social writes that proportional representation & better incentives for leaders could help break the cycle of political polarization.
Read more in @bloomberg.com: www.bloomberg.com/news/article...
As professors, mentoring students is a big perk of our careers. An even greater perk is when we get to work with diligent students who are equally invested in the mentorship. Alyssa Archer is an impressive researcher with a bright future ahead of her #PoliticalScience #polisciresearch @scholars.org
www.nyu.edu/community/go... on Dec. 12 in DC and via Zoom.
Weak autocracies are far more common than strong autocracies.
They are also often far more dangerous and damaging than strong autocracies.
Never take hope from an autocratβs weakness. Instead, prepare for the worst.
A π§΅ based on 2 of my books: (1/N)
Anti-racism campaignerβs London book events cancelled amid threat of far-right violence Freedom of speech groups alarmed after events to promote book by Hope Not Hate employee are called off
Besides the potential impact of 3rd party votes in an election likely to have very tight margins, might we also see a "Nikki Haley voter" effect? Brief quotes from me in this Guardian piece, which also carries a good analysis of strategic voting for third parties when it comes to the Gaza crisis
Our amazing team at the Georgia Chapter of @scholars.org co-organized this timely, bipartisan event on "Election Protection in Georgia"
YouTube video segments of the main discussions are posted below #USElection2024
Additional coverage of the event: georgiarecorder.com/2024/10/17/i...
Includes latest data showing ballot access for the main third party candidates by state
@juliaazari.bsky.social and I are quoted in this piece on the potential of third-party 'spoilage' www.nytimes.com/2024/10/14/u...
safevotegeorgia.com
"Safeguarding our Democracy: A Bipartisan Discussion on Election Protection in Georgia".
Please attend and/or spread the word about this event in Atlanta, on the work being done to ensure a free, fair and orderly election (co-sponsored by the @scholars.org's Georgia chapter)
One of the best panels at #APSA2024 Standing room only, and that too at 8 am on a Sunday. tinyurl.com/2ygwy92b Excellent papers and discussions!
RFK Jr. quitting the race wasn't surprising. He ran a campaign antithetical to 3rd party strategies. Policies were confusing & progressively became indistinguishable from Trump's. No distinct or galvanizing issue. My take on News Hour (Al Jazeera English) mediaview.aljazeera.com/video/zvZHRG...