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#1 Shoup Fan

@oneshoup

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28.07.2023
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Latest posts by #1 Shoup Fan @oneshoup

If Trump decides invading Iran went well, they'll do it in Cuba b/c it's so great.
If Trump decides invading Iran *did not* go well, they'll do it in Cuba to make themselves feel better.

Hard to imagine the third option where Cuba doesn't get invaded.

07.03.2026 02:29 👍 3 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0

One day Americans will realize they can have fully automated rail with modern platform screens on the mainland!

07.03.2026 02:22 👍 16 🔁 1 💬 0 📌 0
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Why It's So Hard to Build a Jet Engine Civilization's toughest technical challenges are those that require extraordinary (and constantly improving) performance to be delivered at a low cost.

I really like this article from construction physics on what happened to jet engine development on this theme

www.construction-physics.com/p/why-its-so...

06.03.2026 00:38 👍 2 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0

Obviously I'm aware the above chart isn't for rockets, I don't have a good graph of that at hand...

the point that once you've reached something where iteration t + 1 is costing some very large number you just don't know what you don't know and you won't get too many chances

05.03.2026 23:45 👍 4 🔁 0 💬 1 📌 0
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_flight_airspeed_records

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_flight_airspeed_records

Like I don't think there's much of a lesson from the max airspeed chart than "it is very hard to know what technologies are easy to develop and which ones are hard" particularly as things advance quickly. People predicted the end of the chart for decades, and then, were right

05.03.2026 23:43 👍 5 🔁 0 💬 1 📌 0
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The biggest drawback of driverless cars Driverless cars could save thousands of lives. They might also break our cities.

"AVs almost by definition lower the friction and costs associated with driving ... And we already know, from the last century-plus of experience in the US, what happens when we make driving easier: We will get more of it. And more concrete and asphalt infrastructure to accommodate it." #UrbanTruth

05.03.2026 20:58 👍 37 🔁 12 💬 0 📌 0

You should generally not assume that any sector receives 1%+ of all GDP as investment for more than a few years at a time.

Also the curves of technology are very unpredictable, it was not clear to anyone that it would be *so* hard to build better engines in the 60s. They were optimistic.

05.03.2026 23:39 👍 6 🔁 0 💬 1 📌 0
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From the MapPorn community on Reddit: Average Land Value by Zip Code in the US Explore this post and more from the MapPorn community

It's deeply weird how core Ft. Worth-Dallas doesn't have higher land values. The Houston core (sprawly metro) does

www.reddit.com/r/MapPorn/co...

05.03.2026 21:59 👍 1 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0

There's sort of 3 big causes:
- expensive metros
- retirees
- growth of service/manuf/logistics work that does well in medium sized metros/endless exurbs.

05.03.2026 21:54 👍 1 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0

- Yeah retirees are moving out from FL as the cost is rising
- The TX exurbs are now out to OK, and so I think it's all entangled with the Ozarks/NW AK thing
- I think it's all retirees/CA and big Mt West cities moving to lower population areas

05.03.2026 21:52 👍 1 🔁 0 💬 1 📌 0

It's crazy how bad Dallas-Ft. Worth is up there. With a more zoomed in map it's even crazier. At least Houston & Austin have some density being added.

05.03.2026 21:49 👍 1 🔁 0 💬 1 📌 0

I'm not really sure what to call the fast growing regions?
The Inner Mountain West (ID down to AZ but not CO)?
What is the blob from TX arcing to MO and AK?
There's the Southern Applachian blob?
The Greater FL coastline from Mobile to Wilmington?

Strange regions w/out a ton of historical backing.

05.03.2026 21:47 👍 1 🔁 0 💬 1 📌 0

I agree with the OP that most people don't want to live in towers and prefer detached houses, which is why we should open development. If people don't want it, it won't get built.

05.03.2026 21:39 👍 11 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0

This is a bad plan, it would give nothing to the bottom 40% while giving the most to people in the 60-80th percentiles of the income distribution.

05.03.2026 19:32 👍 441 🔁 70 💬 8 📌 3
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Unfortunately Pew doesn't break that down but adds this

05.03.2026 20:27 👍 0 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0

American say this but then mostly return wallets etc. in honesty studies that observe behavior, only a little bit behind Canadians. There is a strange gap between American behavior (live in a high trust society) and rhetoric (we are about to have a civil war)

www.npr.org/2019/06/20/7...

05.03.2026 20:07 👍 3 🔁 0 💬 1 📌 0
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Japanese zoning and incineration techology allows a multilevel warehouse and trash incinerator to be safely located in a inner city residential area.

05.03.2026 07:17 👍 26 🔁 3 💬 0 📌 0
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2018 midterms: EXIT POLLING | CNN View CNN's 2018 election exit polls for Senate, House and governor races, including information on how different races, genders and age groups voted. For midterm election results, visit cnn.com/electi...

Eh people usually point to the Beto exit poll that found he won Texan born voters and lost transplants. This is probably overstated, but when polls do ask in TX transplants usually come out as about as con or more.

www.cnn.com/election/201...

05.03.2026 18:04 👍 0 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0

It makes sense how this was happening at the same time as Iodine was being discovered as a needed nutrient. I guess since Iodine was already isolated people knew it wasn't an amine and therefore not a vitamin?

05.03.2026 17:11 👍 0 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0

Now I actually sort of believe moderation does exist b/c these things aren't randomly distributed etc. and there is a thicker middle but admittedly this is a controversial opinion in public opinion polling research

05.03.2026 05:15 👍 2 🔁 0 💬 1 📌 0
GSS Data Explorer | NORC at the University of Chicago Web site created using create-react-app

GSS website: gssdataexplorer.norc.org/home

05.03.2026 05:15 👍 0 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0

Fun way to see this (from @xenocryptsite.bsky.social)
Go to GSS
Choose any pair you think are correlated (in this case whether god exists and approval of Marijuana)
Even if they are correlated, there are people all over. Atheists against weed etc.
Think about this for every pair of beliefs

05.03.2026 05:14 👍 4 🔁 0 💬 2 📌 0
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Looking for a cite about how many people Mulder and Scully kill (supposedly 9 each) and it's beautiful how there are still handcrafted html X-Files fansites from the 90s out there
www.lunacynet.com/xfiles/xfnli...
dflund.se/~ola/x-files...

05.03.2026 04:51 👍 3 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0
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1) Ever read the book non-fiction book CHRISTINE? I think that explains the origin of the evil car. *
2) Ever read the non-fiction book OPERATION CHAOS? Best book I've read on the Larouchites, if you have more I'd love to hear it...

*I can't believe King wrote 2 books about an evil car....

05.03.2026 04:47 👍 1 🔁 0 💬 1 📌 0

I am dying for a chance to say, "A wise guy, huh? Why I oughta—" but unfortunately I have a pretty boring life

04.03.2026 16:38 👍 1 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0

I'd never heard of this. It appears to be a 1950s Goodyear system of little cars on a conveyor belt? Very Gadgetbahn.

It doesn't slow down so do you run into the car before sitting?

www.mcny.org/story/questi...

04.03.2026 16:24 👍 1 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0
Say what you want about the car lobby but they shamelessly persuade the government to increase subsidies to their mode of transportation instead of demanding users to bear the burden. Transit advocates could learn a thing or two.

Say what you want about the car lobby but they shamelessly persuade the government to increase subsidies to their mode of transportation instead of demanding users to bear the burden. Transit advocates could learn a thing or two.

You see this a lot but the thing is: free/subsidized parking and driving makes driving worse for everyone including *drivers*. meanwhile stuff like pricing improves things.

so what is it that we have to learn?

04.03.2026 04:45 👍 56 🔁 9 💬 7 📌 0

Yes yes I've read RED PLENTY too (and I will probably read it again)

04.03.2026 05:52 👍 4 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0
A Taste of Armageddon - Wikipedia

You have to agree this would be much more civilized if we simulate it all

en.wikipedia.org/wiki/A_Taste...

04.03.2026 05:45 👍 1 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0
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I don't totally get the idea that Talarico is going to landslide when we don't have any EDay yet

Since Dallas hasn't reported its EV, Talarico is only "really" up a couple points in the cumulative EV

04.03.2026 02:29 👍 54 🔁 12 💬 3 📌 1