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@florian23

In my opinion Powder and Artillery are the most efficacious, Sure, and infallibly conciliatory Measures We can adopt. - John Adams.

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Latest posts by @florian23

The entire war is a crime, but if it consisted exclusively of sinking Iranian ships while they were manned and underway it would be so much less bad than it is.

07.03.2026 03:55 ๐Ÿ‘ 6 ๐Ÿ” 0 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0 ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

which is why starting an illegal war is a big deal, because it comes with all these costs without the things that make it broadly defensible

07.03.2026 02:49 ๐Ÿ‘ 95 ๐Ÿ” 11 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1 ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

Imagine i said "military personnel" if that makes you feel better.

07.03.2026 03:35 ๐Ÿ‘ 0 ๐Ÿ” 0 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0 ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

Yeah, its not a constitutionally valid declaration of war from a US law perspective, but if we were a dictatorship and that didn't matter im not sure how much more of a war declaration would be given.

07.03.2026 02:13 ๐Ÿ‘ 2 ๐Ÿ” 0 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0 ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

Im not really sure what I said to warrant the hostility tbh. In terms of terrible stuff that's happened in this war the sinking of an Iranian warship is so far down the list it barely bears mentioning.

07.03.2026 01:11 ๐Ÿ‘ 3 ๐Ÿ” 0 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1 ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

It acted as a warship because that's what warships do. Surrender in the face of bad odds before you've even engaged the enemy is usually considered cowardice. "Why didn't they do the in retrospect logically optimal thing?" Well because they didn't, though ive seen reports that it was being debated

06.03.2026 23:30 ๐Ÿ‘ 2 ๐Ÿ” 0 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1 ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

The usual reasons, duty, love of country, ideological commitment to the cause, professional pride. Soldiers do very risky stuff all the time.

We also dont know that they were unarmed or low on ammo, AFAIK that's sourced off of one random tweet.

06.03.2026 22:50 ๐Ÿ‘ 3 ๐Ÿ” 0 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1 ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

So is where I feel the need to remind folks that the selective service system still exists.

But in practice, yeah. Super-lazy back-of-the-envelope, holding all of Iran might require c. 600,000 ground troops. (~3x our max Iraq deployment).

But you also need rotations, so 2x or 3x that.

06.03.2026 21:04 ๐Ÿ‘ 257 ๐Ÿ” 33 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 14 ๐Ÿ“Œ 3

Probably enough Iranian expats in the US to account for that number.

06.03.2026 21:19 ๐Ÿ‘ 2 ๐Ÿ” 0 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0 ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

No they were not, but the economy of Japan was the thing allowing those atrocities to continue, and given the sheer imprecision of contemporary weapons tech there simply wasn't a way to hit targets smaller than city-sized. I'm not going to argue it wasn't horrific, but it was a horrific war.

06.03.2026 21:17 ๐Ÿ‘ 0 ๐Ÿ” 0 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1 ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

As I understand it *right now* if everyone stops shooting and insurers believe it's for real, mostly yes. But the longer it goes on the more production goes offline because turning a well off isnt like a tap, you can't turn it back on like nothing has changed. Often need to re-drill and the like.

06.03.2026 20:57 ๐Ÿ‘ 32 ๐Ÿ” 1 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0 ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

Imperial Japan was bad. In fact it was much worse for Asians generally than for westerners. Ever asked a Chinese person about the atomic bombings?

06.03.2026 20:44 ๐Ÿ‘ 0 ๐Ÿ” 0 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1 ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

You know who was mostly dying by 1945? It was Chinese and Thai and Malaysian civilians. The Japanese empire was a machine of death. Putting a stop to it by any means necessary was righteous. A month earlier might have saved a million lives, a month later cost another million.

06.03.2026 20:35 ๐Ÿ‘ 1 ๐Ÿ” 0 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1 ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

Yes, under the conditions that they be allowed to keep occupying big parts of China. They were willing to make peace if they got to keep their empire. That's not really a negotiation in good faith and unsurprisingly no one took them up on it. Their own diplomats told leadership as much.

06.03.2026 20:33 ๐Ÿ‘ 1 ๐Ÿ” 0 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1 ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

You're right, the decision wasn't particularly complex because it flowed form continued practice of doing violence to Japan until they quit. Total wars are nasty like that. Japan's leaders couldn't muster the moral courage to surrender until Aug 14th 1945.

06.03.2026 20:31 ๐Ÿ‘ 2 ๐Ÿ” 0 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1 ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

Sorry I don't have a pithy quote by an antiwar activist to give you about a complex process. Turns out you need to actually read something longer than a BlueSky post to understand what happened.

Or, you know, go look at the wikipedia article, it really does a decent job.

06.03.2026 20:10 ๐Ÿ‘ 1 ๐Ÿ” 0 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1 ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
Preview
Surrender of Japan - Wikipedia

en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Surrend...

This is actually a pretty good summary. The specific citation for it, btw, is Japanese.

06.03.2026 20:07 ๐Ÿ‘ 0 ๐Ÿ” 0 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0 ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

We were pretty cagey about what exactly they were until after Hiroshima. At that point they convinced themselves that we probably only had the one until there was second.

06.03.2026 20:03 ๐Ÿ‘ 0 ๐Ÿ” 0 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1 ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

You can go read the Japanese primary sources if you like. They in fact show the same record. The army launched a coup to try to prevent a surrender even when it finally happened. That's just a fact. That does not jive well with "willing to surrender".

06.03.2026 19:55 ๐Ÿ‘ 1 ๐Ÿ” 0 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1 ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

THEN WHY DIDN'T THEY? They had a lot of opportunities and yet until the emperor intervened personally nothing happened.

06.03.2026 19:49 ๐Ÿ‘ 0 ๐Ÿ” 0 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1 ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

If you read the whole thing you'll note that it points out that it nevertheless did "lubricate the process of peace". Do keep in mind that the strategic bombing survey was written by interviewing surviving enemy leaders and there's a lot of ass covering in there.

06.03.2026 19:48 ๐Ÿ‘ 0 ๐Ÿ” 0 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0 ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

And not just any conditional surrender (arguably the final surrender was conditional with the condition being the emperor is retained) but rather the demand was for Japan to keep a significant percentage of its conquests. The allies correctly considered those terms ludicrous.

06.03.2026 19:38 ๐Ÿ‘ 0 ๐Ÿ” 0 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1 ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
Preview
Surrender of Japan - Wikipedia

Almost like a full accounting of the end of the war requires more than a pithy sentence. The Wiki article is more or less correct though and much more accessible: en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Surrend...

06.03.2026 19:36 ๐Ÿ‘ 0 ๐Ÿ” 0 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1 ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
Preview
Downfall: The End of the Imperial Japanese Empire In a riveting narrative that includes information from declassified documents, acclaimed historian Richard B. Frank gives a scrupulously detailed explanation of the critical months leading up to the d...

What else can i conclude when I am shown a single passage in a more general book that contradicts several extremely reputable and well regarded books studying the topic in detail?
I too can link you to a book by a well regarded scholar: www.amazon.com/Downfall-End...

06.03.2026 19:21 ๐Ÿ‘ 0 ๐Ÿ” 0 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1 ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

I saw that bit from a book written by someone who clearly never read anything about it. How did they try?

06.03.2026 19:18 ๐Ÿ‘ 0 ๐Ÿ” 0 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1 ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

How did they try? And why were they suddenly able to do so on August 14th when they couldn't before?

06.03.2026 19:16 ๐Ÿ‘ 0 ๐Ÿ” 0 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1 ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

If the decision had been taken by all these leaders than why didn't Japan surrender before August 14th?

06.03.2026 19:14 ๐Ÿ‘ 0 ๐Ÿ” 0 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1 ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

There was a coup attempt in Japan to prevent the surrender, the head of the Army killed himself because of it. None of this ia particularly obscure, the timeline is well known. Heck, the US was monitoring internal Japanese diplomatic traffic looking for hints of surrender.

06.03.2026 18:57 ๐Ÿ‘ 1 ๐Ÿ” 0 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 2 ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

That is not true. Truman paused conventional bombing after Nagasaki because they were waiting for a Japanese reply that almost didn't come. "The emperor " wasn't trying to cable Truman unsuccessfully. We know this because when the surrender was broadcast on August 14th hostilities ended immediately

06.03.2026 18:55 ๐Ÿ‘ 0 ๐Ÿ” 0 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1 ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

[Citation needed]

06.03.2026 18:35 ๐Ÿ‘ 0 ๐Ÿ” 0 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1 ๐Ÿ“Œ 0