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Jeff Meiser

@jwmeiser

Former war college professor NDU now UPortland. Posts on politics, IR, strategy, hip hop. Book: Power and Restraint. My views rep only me.

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14.12.2023
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Latest posts by Jeff Meiser @jwmeiser

Can anyone think of an example where the weakness of the enemy was the justification for war given by American leaders?

Like “hey they look weak let’s take this opportunity to smash them!”

To the extent this is the reason for war with Iran, it seems unusual in the American experience.

06.03.2026 19:57 👍 3 🔁 0 💬 1 📌 0

More good news for Russia

www.wsj.com/livecoverage...

06.03.2026 02:51 👍 11 🔁 5 💬 1 📌 0
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The Drone Attrition Trap The Middle East conflict shows Washington hasn’t yet learned enough about cheap drones from Kyiv.

Petraeus said drone swarms so everyone has to finish their drink.
Sorry I don’t make the rules.

foreignpolicy.com/2026/03/05/i...

06.03.2026 02:25 👍 11 🔁 3 💬 1 📌 0

I mean I always thought that these “axis” labels were lame but some really invested in them as organizing concepts

05.03.2026 19:13 👍 2 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0
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Iran Has Friends, but Where Are They Now?

Updating priors #1

“It is a rude wake-up call for those who believed that there was an emergent anti-West axis,”

(See all the Foreign Affairs, Bloomberg etc. articles on “axis of upheaval” “axis of chaos”)

www.nytimes.com/2026/03/05/w...

05.03.2026 15:09 👍 1 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 1
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Russia Is Big Winner as Iran War Drains Supplies That Ukraine Needs The conflict is draining supplies Ukraine needs for its defense, while surging oil prices are boosting the Russian economy.

Russia Is Big Winner as Iran War Drains Supplies That Ukraine Needs

www.wsj.com/world/europe...

05.03.2026 06:12 👍 9 🔁 2 💬 1 📌 5

Overwhelming feeling of 90s nostalgia

04.03.2026 00:37 👍 9 🔁 1 💬 0 📌 0

For those asking why Iran’s “allies” are not lifting a finger, well I think they believe the US is weakening itself and they are fine trading Iran for a diminished United States.

04.03.2026 00:18 👍 10 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0
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Why Ali Khamenei may have welcomed the nature of his death The ideology of martyrdom could prolong Iran’s regime—and the war

“the hardline cleric appears to have chosen martyrdom, and in doing so, may have prolonged the life of the system he built.”

www.economist.com/middle-east-...

03.03.2026 21:52 👍 3 🔁 1 💬 0 📌 0

Nobody really thinks the Iranian people are going to rise up for an immaculate regime change. Israel is mowing the grass and the US now committed to the that shitty shitty strategy.

01.03.2026 05:27 👍 8 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0

Everyone please read this.

01.03.2026 04:00 👍 4 🔁 1 💬 0 📌 0

Nope I guess not!

28.02.2026 06:51 👍 8 🔁 1 💬 0 📌 0
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Thanks to Trump, Xi Has Time on His Side With Taiwan Beijing is less likely to risk an invasion while Trump is facilitating its pressure campaign against Taipei.

Well. I guess this is one way to respond to the Davidson window.

foreignpolicy.com/2026/02/25/t...

27.02.2026 21:42 👍 1 🔁 1 💬 0 📌 0
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Rubio to visit Israel next week as US-Iran tensions soar Secretary of State Marco Rubio will make a quick trip to Israel early next week as tensions between the United States and Iran soar amid a massive buildup of U.S. forces in the Middle East, the State ...

Does this mean the Friday evening strikes are off?

apnews.com/article/iran...

27.02.2026 15:54 👍 1 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 1
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Americans' sympathies in the Israeli-Palestinian conflict have shifted dramatically, new poll shows A new Gallup poll shows that American sympathies in the Middle East have shifted dramatically toward the Palestinians after decades of overwhelming support for the Israelis.

Seems like a significant inversion

apnews.com/article/poll...

27.02.2026 15:48 👍 4 🔁 1 💬 0 📌 1
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Pakistan Strikes Afghanistan in ‘Open War’ Against Taliban Regime

“We must have strategic depth!” shouted the Pakistani general

www.nytimes.com/2026/02/26/w...

27.02.2026 05:19 👍 1 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0
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My copy arrived!

23.01.2026 19:38 👍 1 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0

The coda for these days.

“The pluralists had lost.”

17.01.2026 02:33 👍 2 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0
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They Wanted a University Without Cancel Culture. Then Dissenters Were Ousted. Inside the civil war at the anti-woke university backed by Bari Weiss.

Wow. I guess not surprising but still, wow.
www.politico.com/news/magazin...

17.01.2026 02:21 👍 2 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 1
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Trump’s Military Buildup in Caribbean Limits His Options in Iran While no U.S. aircraft-carrier strike group is in the Middle East, U.S. officials insist there are sufficient military assets in the region to strike Iran.

What is strategy?

www.wsj.com/politics/nat...

15.01.2026 02:16 👍 13 🔁 2 💬 0 📌 1
Post image Post image

It is great to see this book, expertly edited by @amosfox.bsky.social and @hoanssolo.bsky.social on the streets.
I give a simple account of the origins of the army's concept.
That is followed by great analysis from others including @heatheratacts.bsky.social @jwmeiser.bsky.social.
lnkd.in/gPvpMjHR

10.01.2026 22:19 👍 6 🔁 2 💬 0 📌 1
Preview
a woman sitting at a desk with something worse written on the screen ALT: a woman sitting at a desk with something worse written on the screen

vibe rn

09.01.2026 01:25 👍 3 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0
Post image

“In the end, U.S. consumers will wind up shouldering most of Trump’s tariffs, sending the inflation contribution of tariffs up as well.”

02.01.2026 17:40 👍 1 🔁 1 💬 1 📌 0
27.12.2025 03:32 👍 205 🔁 24 💬 4 📌 2
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The Pentagon and A.I. Giants Have a Weakness. Both Need China’s Batteries, Badly.

This caught my attention.

“There are foreign parts in 100 percent of our weapon systems and military platforms.”

www.nytimes.com/2025/12/23/c...

24.12.2025 01:31 👍 14 🔁 4 💬 0 📌 2
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CEOs Are Learning to Live With Trump’s Turn to State Capitalism Some businesses have figured out how to take advantage of an expanded government presence in their boardrooms.

What a sad headline

“CEOs Are Learning to Live With Trump’s Turn to State Capitalism”

www.wsj.com/politics/pol...

16.12.2025 02:44 👍 9 🔁 2 💬 0 📌 0
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'Hero' who wrestled gun from Bondi shooter named as Ahmed al Ahmed Fifteen people were killed in the shooting at Australia's Bondi Beach, as crowds attended an event to celebrate Hanukkah.

Ahmed al Ahmed thank you brother!

www.bbc.com/news/article...

15.12.2025 04:17 👍 7 🔁 1 💬 0 📌 0
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a man sitting in front of a wall of knives says there is one guilty party behind it all .. ALT: a man sitting in front of a wall of knives says there is one guilty party behind it all ..

The 2025 NSS says a strategy is “a concrete plan.”
Who’s responsible for this?

05.12.2025 20:55 👍 2 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0
03.12.2025 03:41 👍 6 🔁 1 💬 1 📌 1
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Uncomfortable with the First Thanksgiving Narrative? Good News, it’s Actually a Civil War Holiday Take heart, all you who grow unsettled at the time of year where the narrative of friendly Pilgrims and American Indians is spread around to make us feel good about a brief moment in American histo…

Happy Victory for US Arms and Down With Treasonous Slavers Day!

27.11.2025 17:25 👍 585 🔁 206 💬 11 📌 16