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Cullen Hendrix

@cullenhendrix

Senior Fellow at Peterson Institute. Sustainability, security, and political economy. Heart masquerading as head since 1977. You may not believe in climate change, but your insurance company does.

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Latest posts by Cullen Hendrix @cullenhendrix

And think about this - in addition to all the ways it will make research faster, it will also make being conversant in English irrelevant for publishing in English-language journals.

04.03.2026 16:23 πŸ‘ 1 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

Indeed. I review less now (I publish less in academic fora now), but when I do I am always reminded of how tedious that process can be (on both ends). We are in an age of defection, in which we're finding that while law may be the skeletal system, the whole thing doesn't work without good faith.

04.03.2026 16:20 πŸ‘ 3 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0

Would you want to be in a foxhole with someone like him?

04.03.2026 16:16 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

Good read. The journal format may survive, but I think he's right about the deluge of manuscripts. It was already nearing a breaking point; acceptance rates across many subfield journals are now approaching the single-digit territory that used to characterize the Big 3.

04.03.2026 16:15 πŸ‘ 3 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0

Legalized, device-based gambling is a terrible, terrible idea.

04.03.2026 01:13 πŸ‘ 9 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

Glad you phrased it just that way. We are off the diagonal, so to speak.

03.03.2026 15:35 πŸ‘ 5 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0
Preview
Macron opens door to deploying French nuclear forces to European allies The plan is a β€œmajor evolution” of France’s deterrence posture, the president said in a long-awaited speech at the Île Longue naval base in Brittany.

In any normal week this would be a huge story. France moves toward extending a nuclear umbrella over European allies-- a major sign of declining credibility of US extended deterrence.
www.defensenews.com/global/europ...

03.03.2026 12:47 πŸ‘ 225 πŸ” 86 πŸ’¬ 8 πŸ“Œ 7
Preview
"Bankability" of critical minerals is in the eye of three beholders β€œBankability” has become a buzzword in US critical mineral discussions, appearing in many official and scholarly publications[1] and reflecting concerns that investments to produce these minerals requ...

β€œBankability” of critical minerals is in the eye of three beholders β€” investors (returns), users (low prices), and governments (security). You can’t optimize all three at once. That tension will shape the future of ex-China supply chains.

My latest for @piie.com.

26.02.2026 16:30 πŸ‘ 5 πŸ” 2 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

I would want to see benchmarks against other EVs, but for those old enough to remember this is a really damning association.

26.02.2026 16:12 πŸ‘ 3 πŸ” 2 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0

we don't yet know why superintendent carvalho had his home raised, but just some context:

25.02.2026 18:01 πŸ‘ 1688 πŸ” 570 πŸ’¬ 34 πŸ“Œ 21

Charades, BoP edition.

23.02.2026 18:21 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

This is a really good post. If the 122 tariffs were really about a balance of payments crisis equities and bond markets would not be nearly as sanguine.

23.02.2026 18:17 πŸ‘ 1 πŸ” 4 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

If you aren't already following @mclem.org, it's well worth your while. Foremost person I know working on the economics of immigration and immigration enforcement, a great guy, and my @piie.com colleague. Best of luck at Hopkins!

23.02.2026 18:15 πŸ‘ 3 πŸ” 1 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

Daaaaamn my man! This is awesome news all around. JHU is so fortunate to have you joining the fold! @piie.com

23.02.2026 18:14 πŸ‘ 1 πŸ” 1 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0

"Diversification at scale requires allies to accept near-term costs [...] But for the first time in decades, US political stability and policy continuity are themselves part of those allies’ risk calculations."
must read

17.02.2026 15:50 πŸ‘ 3 πŸ” 1 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0
Map showing tens of thousands of protests across the US between Trump's inauguration last year and January 31, 2026.

Map showing tens of thousands of protests across the US between Trump's inauguration last year and January 31, 2026.

The volume & geographic distribution of protest nationwide during year 1 of Trump's second term was extraordinary.

12.02.2026 18:18 πŸ‘ 2776 πŸ” 1072 πŸ’¬ 41 πŸ“Œ 106

You don't revoke scientific findings. You revoke those findings informing official US policy. Reality has not changed.

12.02.2026 19:54 πŸ‘ 23 πŸ” 7 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

For example, in the bottom of a locked filing cabinet stuck in a disused lavatory with a sign on the door saying β€˜Beware of the Leopard.'

12.02.2026 19:53 πŸ‘ 3 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

"Hegseth's Pentagon gives CBP an anti-drone laser and they almost immediately misuse it to fire on a child's party balloon, shutting down local airspace," would be rejected as a side plot in Veep for being too unrealistic and too on the nose as a metaphor.

12.02.2026 13:42 πŸ‘ 195 πŸ” 55 πŸ’¬ 5 πŸ“Œ 2

For non-academics, this is exactly what people mean when they mock these centers as "DEI for conservative viewpoints": there isn't a snowball's chance in hell this record gets you an assistant professorship at a regional comprehensive, much less a flagship R1, without a 800-ton thumb on the scale.

12.02.2026 16:02 πŸ‘ 3 πŸ” 1 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0
Preview
As US food aid retreats, can BRICS+ and biotechnology fill the world’s food security gap? Cuts to agricultural development assistance and food aid by the United States and other advanced economies are creating a global vacuum just as climate change and conflict drive global hunger up. Many...

The #BRICS have the least tangible but perhaps most important assets for tackling the growing food security gap: skin in the game and something to prove on the global stage.

Both provide strong incentives to step up as advanced economies retreat from food aid.

07.02.2026 15:15 πŸ‘ 6 πŸ” 2 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

β€˜One officer told me that I "had no chance of returning to Minnesota" and that "the best thing for (me] is self-deportation." …
She offered me $2600 to self-deport.
I refused.
I wanted to talk to my attorney.
They didn't tell me the judge had already ordered my release and return to Minnesota.’

05.02.2026 06:04 πŸ‘ 6860 πŸ” 3676 πŸ’¬ 69 πŸ“Œ 176

Can we talk about how incredible it is that Norway - with a population roughly that of Minnesota - just dominates the Winter Olympics?

05.02.2026 17:40 πŸ‘ 8 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0
Preview
Is the US posing a hidden risk in the West’s critical minerals strategy? The Trump administration’s recent official guidance on supply chain vulnerabilities related to critical minerals reached a striking conclusion. US policymakers are acknowledging that the United States...

The US seeks price floors with allies to build ex-China mineral supply chains.

If US allies and trading partners start pricing US political risk alongside Chinese leverage, Western minerals coordination will get much harder to sustain.

My latest at @piie.com.

www.piie.com/blogs/realti...

05.02.2026 17:26 πŸ‘ 24 πŸ” 10 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 4
Satirical campaign poster contrasting Jimmy Carter's focus on energy efficiency vs. Ronald Reagan's America strong rhetoric.

Satirical campaign poster contrasting Jimmy Carter's focus on energy efficiency vs. Ronald Reagan's America strong rhetoric.

One of my first memories of @theonion.com

03.02.2026 19:23 πŸ‘ 7 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0
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happening this morning in Minneapolis -- ICE agents drawing guns on observers. I reiterate again that it is only a matter of time before DHS kills more innocent people in Minnesota. Congress needs to shut this shit down right now.

03.02.2026 16:19 πŸ‘ 43248 πŸ” 19358 πŸ’¬ 2401 πŸ“Œ 1617
Preview
As US food aid retreats, can BRICS+ and biotechnology fill the world’s food security gap? Cuts to agricultural development assistance and food aid by the United States and other advanced economies are creating a global vacuum just as climate change and conflict drive global hunger up. Many...

BRICS+ have the strongest incentive of all: something to prove.

Stepping up on food security would let them show they can provide real global public goods β€” and reshape how the Global South sees leadership in a moment of geoeconomic fragmentation and competition.

www.piie.com/publications...

5/5

03.02.2026 14:25 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

But science alone isn’t enough.

Regulation, public trust, and geopolitics will determine whether these tools actually reach the people who need them most: producers of orphaned crops, subsistence farmers facing increasing drought and water insecurity, etc.

4/5

03.02.2026 14:25 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0

Countries like Brazil, India, and China have built serious capacity in crop science, seed development, and climate-resilient agriculture that could matter far beyond their borders.

3/5

03.02.2026 14:25 πŸ‘ 1 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 1
The picture is even worse for acute hunger: people facing near-term
catastrophe/starvation if relief is not forthcoming. In 2017, 124 million people
faced those conditions. By 2025, that number had more than doubled to 319
millionβ€”nearly the population of the United States (figure 2). Virtually all of
these people live in developing economies, and nearly 70 percent live in conflictaffected and fragile states (WFP 2025a).

The picture is even worse for acute hunger: people facing near-term catastrophe/starvation if relief is not forthcoming. In 2017, 124 million people faced those conditions. By 2025, that number had more than doubled to 319 millionβ€”nearly the population of the United States (figure 2). Virtually all of these people live in developing economies, and nearly 70 percent live in conflictaffected and fragile states (WFP 2025a).

For decades, wealthy countries' food aid was a backbone of emergency response.

That role is shrinking: the US is in retreat, other AEs increasing spending on defense.

Meanwhile, hunger risks are rising with climate shocks, conflict, and population growth.

Who will step in? And how?

2/5

03.02.2026 14:25 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0