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juanitorduz

@juanitorduz

Applied Scientist | Math PhD | Open Source PyMC Labs https://juanitorduz.github.io

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07.11.2024
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Latest posts by juanitorduz @juanitorduz

I love having physical books and I pay for them (I have yours πŸ˜„). But I think I’m a minority these days.

09.03.2026 20:52 πŸ‘ 5 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0

Yes!!! πŸ’―

11.02.2026 22:04 πŸ‘ 2 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0
Fixed and Random Effects Models: A Simulated Study - Dr. Juan Camilo Orduz

@rmcelreath.bsky.social this lecture was (particularly) amazing! I could not resist to replicate this in PyMC juanitorduz.github.io/fixed_random/

03.02.2026 17:18 πŸ‘ 6 πŸ” 1 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

Nice!

30.01.2026 21:43 πŸ‘ 2 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

I am super excited to join @pymc-labs.bsky.social full-time! I will be working on open-source projects, helping companies leverage Bayesian methods for decision-making, developing tailored educational workshops for industry practitioners, and serving as a product manager for our AI products.

01.01.2026 14:23 πŸ‘ 10 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0

Very keen to read it πŸ™ƒ

21.12.2025 14:55 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

πŸ’―

30.11.2025 09:41 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

πŸ’―

30.11.2025 09:41 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0
LinkedIn This link will take you to a page that’s not on LinkedIn

Here are two examples on causal inference and through the lens of probabilistic programming languages (PPLs):

- Introduction to Causal Inference with PPLs juanitorduz.github.io/intro_causal...

- Causal Inference with Multilevel Models: juanitorduz.github.io/ci_multilevel/

Implementations in PyMC.

29.11.2025 09:58 πŸ‘ 4 πŸ” 1 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0
Scaling Probabilistic Models with Variational Inference
Scaling Probabilistic Models with Variational Inference YouTube video by PyData

Here is the recording of my talk

PyData Berlin 2025: Introduction to Stochastic Variational Inference with NumPyro

Notebook: juanitorduz.github.io/intro_svi/

youtu.be/wG0no-mUMf0?...

#pydata #berlin #bayes

23.11.2025 18:18 πŸ‘ 13 πŸ” 4 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

Causal discovery is an interesting field. But as always these algorithms work under assumptions and conditions … which as always … people just ignore 🫠

19.11.2025 18:06 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

Statistical Rethinking πŸ’― xcelab.net/rm/

07.11.2025 22:25 πŸ‘ 2 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

Proud of this decision and the community 🫢!

27.10.2025 18:52 πŸ‘ 2 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0
Preview
Open Science and Open Source only with Diversity, Equity, Inclusion, and Accessibility Including all of humanity is and always will be at the heart of open science.

Open Science and Open Source only with Diversity, Equity, Inclusion and Accessibility.

Inclusion is essential to science, and science is only worthwhile if it lifts everyone up together.

ropensci.org/blog/2025/02... #OpenSource #OpenScience

05.02.2025 15:40 πŸ‘ 100 πŸ” 39 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 1

Ok! So I read it and it’s amazing! I already migrated some custom ugly code to simply using datagrid πŸ™

27.10.2025 15:20 πŸ‘ 1 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0

Indeed! I was there a week ago 🫠

24.10.2025 11:17 πŸ‘ 1 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

Yes! You have support of hierarchical models and Gaussian process components. I will try to work out some examples and test the API :)

22.10.2025 19:02 πŸ‘ 1 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0
Examples – Bambi

I am almost done with it (yes, it was hard to stop reading it!), and it’s a must read for anyone doing statical modeling πŸ’ͺ.

Btw: you can add in the online version a comment on the adoption of the (your) API by Bambi

bambinos.github.io/bambi/notebo...

22.10.2025 18:52 πŸ‘ 3 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0

Looking forward to reading it !

22.10.2025 15:21 πŸ‘ 2 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0
Instrumental Variable Modelling (IV) with pymc models β€” CausalPy 0.5.0 documentation

Thanks πŸ˜„ Actually, @nathanielforde.bsky.social ported this implementation into causalpy causalpy.readthedocs.io/en/stable/no... Check it out :)

22.10.2025 15:10 πŸ‘ 2 πŸ” 1 πŸ’¬ 2 πŸ“Œ 0
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I got mail! I can’t not wait @vincentab.bsky.social I’ll try to do many of these examples by β€œhand” (learning by doing).

14.10.2025 12:22 πŸ‘ 8 πŸ” 1 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0

πŸ’―

11.10.2025 17:59 πŸ‘ 1 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0
7 reasons to use Bayesian inference! | Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science

7 reasons to use Bayesian inference!
statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2025/10/11/7...

11.10.2025 13:54 πŸ‘ 28 πŸ” 13 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 1

IMO 80% data science problem in the industry can be solved with a (good!) linear regression (I also consider GLM as just regressions with a link function)

11.10.2025 17:53 πŸ‘ 3 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 1

Exited about notebooks in 2026 πŸš€

04.10.2025 13:03 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0
Finally! Bayesian Hierarchical Modelling atΒ Scale For a long time, Bayesian Hierarchical Modelling has been a very powerful tool that sadly could not be applied often due to its high computations costs. With NumPyro and the latest advances in high-pe...

I have not tried this myself but this great blog (and the corresponding GitHub repository) might be helpful florianwilhelm.info/2020/10/baye...

04.10.2025 10:51 πŸ‘ 1 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

Thank you @patrickdoupe.bsky.social

03.10.2025 18:24 πŸ‘ 1 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0
Bayesian Vector Autoregressive Models in NumPyro - Dr. Juan Camilo Orduz

It was fun (painful πŸ˜…) to implement VAR(p) models from scratch juanitorduz.github.io/var_numpyro/

03.10.2025 18:22 πŸ‘ 14 πŸ” 3 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0
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Festival der Riesendrachen
#Berlin

27.09.2025 17:59 πŸ‘ 4 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

I'm learning causal inference β€œon the street” πŸ˜„

26.09.2025 06:04 πŸ‘ 2 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0