Fear built the nuclear bomb β only trust can ensure it is never used again
If the nuclear bomb was born out of fear, then ensuring it is never used again requires replacing fear with trust.
80 years into the nuclear age and "arms control has all but collapsed while reliable and trusted channels of communication between major nuclear adversaries are virtually non-existent." We're going to need more than luck to survive another 80 years.
theconversation.com/fear-built-t...
05.08.2025 21:32
π 3
π 0
π¬ 0
π 0
Could we live with a nuclear-armed Iran? Reluctantly, yes
Both Israel and the US claim a nuclear-armed Iran would pose an existential threat. It wouldnβt. Hereβs why.
After being repeatedly asked about this for the better part of a fortnight, I figured I'd just write it up in one spot. It's not an endorsement of nuclear deterrence, nor a nuclear-armed Iran. But could we live with that outcome? Yep. theconversation.com/could-we-liv...
30.06.2025 00:40
π 2
π 2
π¬ 0
π 0
Afternoon Briefing
Your daily download of everything you need to know about politics, national and global affairs. Patricia Karvelas asks politicians the tough questions and talks to key players and experts on the issue...
For Australia-based followers, I joined βͺ@patskarvelas.bsky.socialβ¬ on Afternoon Briefing yesterday (17/6) to discuss the Israeli strikes against Iran and the likelihood of this counter-proliferation strike leading to the much wider goal of regime change in Tehran: iview.abc.net.au/show/afterno...
18.06.2025 00:13
π 1
π 0
π¬ 0
π 0
Who Will Shape the Third Nuclear Era? β War on the Rocks
New ep on "Who Will Shape the Third Nuclear Era?" of the @warontherocks.bsky.social Thinking the Unthinkable pod w/ @nktpnd.bsky.social chatting to yours truly. warontherocks.com/episode/thin...
12.06.2025 06:42
π 5
π 2
π¬ 0
π 0
Well, look what arrived in the post today - my Third Nuclear Age project merch! @erc.europa.eu It's been an absolute pleasure to have been part of the project since it started. Check out www.thethirdnuclearage.com
10.04.2025 04:35
π 7
π 0
π¬ 0
π 0
Dorison & Lauffray's Long John Silver is amazing. www.cinebook.co.uk/long-john-si...
20.03.2025 09:10
π 1
π 0
π¬ 1
π 0
Really glad to have an article in this excellent special issue. Mine, with @andrewfutter.bsky.social, is on "The Return of Nuclear Great Power Politics (or why we stopped worrying about terrorists and the bomb)" www.cambridge.org/core/journal...
19.03.2025 21:39
π 8
π 5
π¬ 0
π 0
Wa hey! Congrats mate. Will be terrific to have you back in Oz.
19.02.2025 05:16
π 0
π 0
π¬ 0
π 0
Both a very narrow reading of 19th century great power politics and a very generous reading of the Trump Admin's foreign policy.
17.02.2025 10:54
π 1
π 0
π¬ 0
π 0
A New Trend in Geopolitics? Great Power Coordination in the Expansion of Spheres of Influence - Australian Institute of International Affairs
Good piece on the likelihood of a return to great power tacit collusion. However, big difference b/n Ukraine & Taiwan on the one hand and Greenland on the other given what a sphere in each does for Russia, China & the US. Greenland is the odd one out. www.internationalaffairs.org.au/australianou...
17.02.2025 03:07
π 1
π 0
π¬ 0
π 0
One of the more significant military developments in Asia over the last year.
30.01.2025 10:28
π 1
π 0
π¬ 0
π 0
Opinion | A LOOK AT . . . Missile Defense
It won't, but should be a lesson to all the advocates of "limited" missile defence (and there was a LOT of them) re: wishful thinking. Eg. from @washingtonpost.com @brookings.edu @carnegieendowment.org @csis.org tinyurl.com/bdfn2xm6 tinyurl.com/3xz3u3h9 tinyurl.com/yu3tvyhw tinyurl.com/44j5kucj 4/4
28.01.2025 09:54
π 1
π 0
π¬ 0
π 0
There is absolutely nothing limited about US missile defence plans now and it is openly aimed at 'peers' and 'near-peers' as well as 'rogues.' It is exactly why some of us have said for years that any BMD (even "limited" and only aimed at "rogues") was a worse option than none. 3/4
28.01.2025 09:54
π 1
π 0
π¬ 1
π 0
The official US position on this from Clinton onwards just never got to grips with the fact that they couldn't guarantee that it would only ever be limited and aimed at (what the US would unilaterally decide are) "rogue" states. The 2010 response to Russian concerns illustrated this perfectly. 2/4
28.01.2025 09:54
π 1
π 0
π¬ 1
π 0
Trump's #IronDome executive order on missile defence proves what those of us who have consistently opposed any missile defence always knew: That promises of a "limited" system were just that - promises. Stability between nuclear-armed great powers can never rest only on unilateral promises. 1/4
28.01.2025 09:54
π 1
π 0
π¬ 1
π 0
No idea who the old guy on the right is.
24.01.2025 03:02
π 2
π 0
π¬ 0
π 0