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Dan Goldstein

@dggoldst

Partner Research Manager at Microsoft Research NYC. AI, Economics, Decision Science.

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Latest posts by Dan Goldstein @dggoldst

Network Structures of Collective Intelligence: The Contingent Benefits of Group Discussion Research on belief formation has produced contradictory findings on whether and when communication between group members will improve the accuracy of numeric estimates such as economic forecasts, medi...

Today's SJDM Featured Paper is: Becker, J., Almaatouq, A., & Horvát, E.-Á. (2021). Network Structures of Collective Intelligence: The Contingent Benefits of Group Discussion. arXiv. doi.org/10.48550/arX...

06.03.2026 13:32 👍 0 🔁 1 💬 1 📌 0
Large language models can effectively convince people to believe conspiracies Large language models (LLMs) have been shown to be persuasive across a variety of contexts. But it remains unclear whether this persuasive power advantages truth over falsehood, or if LLMs can promote...

Today's SJDM Featured Paper is:

Costello, T. H., Pelrine, K., Kowal, M., Arechar, A. A., Godbout, J.-F., Gleave, A., Rand, D., & Pennycook, G. (2026). Large language models can effectively convince people to believe conspiracies. arXiv. doi.org/10.48550/arX...

05.03.2026 13:58 👍 7 🔁 3 💬 1 📌 0

Maybe they could only afford half the dataset

04.03.2026 18:13 👍 1 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0

Yes! I like the part in the R inferno about "don't grow an object". But if you pre-allocate you can do all kinds of things really fast.

28.02.2026 15:53 👍 5 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0

Informative and hilarious #goals

26.02.2026 11:18 👍 0 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0

From our group (Economics and Computation) at Microsoft Research

cacm.acm.org/opinion/the-...

25.02.2026 23:15 👍 7 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0
Preview
AI Economy Institute​ - Microsoft Research The AI Economy Institute (AIEI) is Microsoft’s flagship think tank dedicated to shaping an inclusive, trustworthy AI economy. We building a network of scholars and convening that network with our subj...

Opportunities for funding and more from Microsoft's AI Economy Institute

www.microsoft.com/en-us/resear...

25.02.2026 02:13 👍 6 🔁 3 💬 0 📌 0

How Significant are Significant Results?

How Powerful are Power Analyses

24.02.2026 20:35 👍 0 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0

Nordic policies (childcare, parental leave, etc) support two adults working and Nordic expensiveness motivates it

22.02.2026 11:09 👍 1 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0

Love it

20.02.2026 19:21 👍 0 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0

I feel pretty safe in saying that Canada would win under any reasonable approach. It's two to five times longer than the next country under a couple different measurement schemes.

20.02.2026 18:54 👍 1 🔁 0 💬 1 📌 0
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Wikipedia even leads with that

20.02.2026 18:44 👍 0 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0
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You might be surprised to learn that Canada is the country with the most coastline but this picture should fix that

20.02.2026 18:37 👍 4 🔁 0 💬 1 📌 0

Please don't say "from Duckworth," that's not how it works :)

19.02.2026 01:51 👍 0 🔁 0 💬 1 📌 0

Relevant? arxiv.org/abs/2502.02880

19.02.2026 01:39 👍 3 🔁 0 💬 1 📌 0

My bank texted me a code and then rejected it as incorrect and I was like look I'm just trying to be helpful and if you know the code then why are you asking me?

18.02.2026 13:30 👍 7 🔁 1 💬 1 📌 0

What's more, as English speakers we don't feel the language barrier pains that others do. This is a very big deal for much of the world!

10.02.2026 23:05 👍 1 🔁 0 💬 1 📌 0

Perhaps people having the ability to understand the language anywhere in the world offsets an exam proctoring challenge that will take months to overcome

10.02.2026 22:53 👍 1 🔁 0 💬 1 📌 0
Preview
AI-powered glasses offer real-time subtitles of Korean lectures - The Korea Times At Pusan National University (PNU) in the southeastern port city of Busan, an American student sits in a Korean literature class wearing what appea...

Imagine going anywhere on earth and being able to understand the language

www.koreatimes.co.kr/southkorea/g...

10.02.2026 11:42 👍 4 🔁 2 💬 1 📌 1

I went to an airport somewhere that had a "recombobulation area" after security

07.02.2026 17:23 👍 1 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0

Remember when people talked about the Winter Olympics and the opening ceremony was a big deal?

It was yesterday btw

07.02.2026 12:32 👍 4 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0

You rarely hear the word glottal outside the context of stops

07.02.2026 12:20 👍 7 🔁 0 💬 2 📌 0

Who can I contact about getting a block list?

29.01.2026 22:37 👍 1 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0

You clearly can't be trusted with that information Jeff!

28.01.2026 23:07 👍 1 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0
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It's so cold that soap bubbles freeze then burst, leaving behind frozen skeletons

24.01.2026 15:42 👍 7 🔁 1 💬 1 📌 0
OSF

Today's SJDM Featured Paper is: DeKay, M. L. (in press). Risky-choice framing effects persist when option descriptions are matched and complete: A replication and extension of DeKay and Dou (2024). Psychonomic Bulletin & Review. osf.io/preprints/ps...

09.01.2026 19:20 👍 4 🔁 2 💬 2 📌 1

Today's SJDM Featured Paper is: Dietvorst, B. J. (in press). Understanding people's preferences for predictions: People prioritize being right over minimizing how wrong they are in expectation. Management Science. doi.org/10.1287/mnsc...

08.01.2026 13:32 👍 6 🔁 3 💬 0 📌 1

What's more, the type of person who would decide to become a film critic is the type of person who wouldn't like this movie. The people who would like it are not film critics so they are not included in the tomatometer score.

07.01.2026 14:49 👍 1 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0

yes!

06.01.2026 20:04 👍 0 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0
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06.01.2026 16:52 👍 3 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0