Stephen Nuñez

Aren't we all Bayesians though?

The American political class is utterly delusional, adrift in a dream of normality, unable to process the actual reality of events on the ground, where the US just launched a completely unprovoked war against a massive country, murdered its leadership, and demanded its conversion to a vassal state.

Estimating the Costs and Impacts of the SSI Restoration Act of 2024 with Stephen Nuñez YouTube video by The Roosevelt Institute

Would you like to see my talking head distill the main findings from my report with @jacklandry.bsky.social on the SSI Restoration Act in under 5 minutes? Well then take a look here!

@rooseveltinstitute.org

www.youtube.com/watch?v=Bp6w...

This is a flopsweat answer.

Polymarket vi @Polymarket X.com BREAKING: Saudi Arabia abandons plans for "the line" — a planned 170km long megacity... will be converting it into an Al data center instead.

there’s a lot going on here..

uh, let’s start with latency. i never imagined saying this, but even the speed of light says this is an unusually bad idea

www.youtube.com/watch?v=NRtv...

The Tinder-ization of the job market Why nobody's getting hired in a "good" economy

Oh, this was the eventual product of this conversation:

www.theargumentmag.com/p/the-tinder...

I'm just watching the strait

I pleased to announce that I have taken a new job as SHIELD OF THE AMERICAS

@cjkarr.bsky.social Zentradi confirmed

Well there is this ill-conceived war thing happening right now that is threatening an oil shock so it is possible this is a time limited problem.

Trump's War If Trump campaigned as a President of peace, he has governed as the opposite

"Asked whether Americans should be worried about retaliatory attacks at home, Trump acknowledges the possibility. 'I guess,' he says."

"meh" economy intensifies.

* GOOLSBEE: STAGFLATION IS WORST-CASE SCENARIO FOR CENTRAL BANKS

The Nephilim have sick jets

oh man I feel seen

what

Map of Israeli airstrikes in the Beirut suburbs over the last few hours (6 MaRCH 2026). Image from https://israelpalestine.liveuamap.com/en/2026/6-march-13-the-israeli-raid-that-targeted-the-southern-suburbs

Israel is extensively bombing the suburban area of Dahiya, south of Beirut. This is the namesake of the 'Dahiya Doctrine', a strategy whereby the IDF targets civilians and civilian infrastructure to put political pressure on governments they don't like. It's literally the definition of a war crime.

I am guessing a bunch of investors were pulling out money because they are searching for liquidity and Blackrock limited investor ability to do so in order to prevent the fund from collapsing. Bank run-esque.

hyakuGOjuuichi. sorry missed a number.

Pokemon Ending 1 Japones YouTube video by Heno Heno Kappa 2

hyakujuuichi! [151] (bask in the glory of this song)

www.youtube.com/watch?v=JN5b...

Hey, what the hell are you doing with my money in your [micro cap fund], Fred?!

Let's hope not but these things have a way of spinning out of control.

If the US is not going to do ground troops I favor Iran in the war of attrition here. Let the oil shock develop and watch the ordinance run low and then let's see about the unconditional surrender.

Iran just needs to blow up oil tankers and exhaust the anti-drone measures.

STAGLATION

Oog I am sorry. I have one of those pictures but for the L4-L5 disc. Going in for surgery in 3 weeks.

Honestly feels like we’re just bombing them because the admin can’t admit they didn’t have a real plan. Everything is very stupid.

Soon-to-be Ex-Senator Parent: "Trans people must go!"
DeKalb County Dems: "*Who* must go?"

Trump to Rubio: "Your next one is gonna be Cuba. He's waiting but he says, 'Let's get this one finished first.' We could do them all at the same time, but bad things happen."