One of the coolest applications of LLMs in politics Iβve seen, and genuinely useful. Chat bots are the new Google!
The peltola page is cool, her slogan alliteration captivates even the models!
One of the coolest applications of LLMs in politics Iβve seen, and genuinely useful. Chat bots are the new Google!
The peltola page is cool, her slogan alliteration captivates even the models!
There's a lot of attention on AI right now β regulation, job displacement, capability growth.
AI is also increasingly where voters get political information, and we donβt know a lot about what chatbots are telling folks about candidates in the wild.
We built a tool to track: caucus-ai.com
The FCC has given the gift of incredibly good free PR to the Talarico campaign
someone should invent a Gas Town for girls, where you can make the Claudes kiss
Bar chart titled βWhoβs Really Blocking California Development?β showing the share of CEQA lawsuits by plaintiff type. HOAs and NIMBY groups account for the majority at 54%. Business and commercial plaintiffs file 20% of cases, government entities 13%, environmental groups 8%, tribal or cultural groups 4%, and labor unions 2%. The chart notes the analysis is based on 1,234 CEQA court opinions from 1973β2025 using CourtListener data, with HOAs/NIMBYs defined as homeowner associations, neighborhood groups, and ad hoc project-opposition groups.
The Abundance movement often points to environmental groups as the obstacles to building. But who actually files the lawsuits blocking projects? Itβs not environmental groups. Itβs been lawyered-up HOAs protecting property values all along. Regulation by litigation is the problem.
Cory this is sick!!
Even accounting for the new congressional maps, a swing like Aftyn Behn's (Trump+22 to D-8.6) would net Dems 259 seats in the midterms.
Even if the swing is *half* of tonight's, Dems win the House with 229 seats
Data: docs.google.com/spreadsheets...
One thing I keep mulling over is the role that market share/monopoly plays here β DoorDash and Lyft have competitors but itβs not like theyβre _only_ competing on price. On the one hand they can make demands, on the other hand agents might increase price-based competition. Curious for your thoughts!
wild to watch twitter melt people's brains, I say to myself, smugly, scrolling twitter (genuinely is sad to see a bunch of polling analysts get vulgar and petty the minute there's money to be made)
"When electoral gains from moderation have been exhaustedβwhen Democrats are running moderates in every competitive district and still losingβthe task isnβt to moderate harder. Itβs to give voters reason to believe politics can deliver real change." data4democracy.substack.com/p/the-new-yo...
nytimes editorial board dedicating itself to providing some of the dumbest ideas possible: www.nytimes.com/2025/10/20/o...
"Thereβs a false choice to say we either talk about how expensive things are under Trump, but we can only talk about that and we canβt talk about these assaults on our freedoms. And for a while that was the common wisdom among pollsters," says @vanhollen.senate.gov. newrepublic.com/article/2013...
Wait, Tyler Cowen has been writing about how to find virgins since 2009 while he was a professor at George Mason University
democrats can now reach young men by telling them that trump wants to take away their naruto and their one piece
I think it's wild to have the main takeaway from 2016 being that Clinton used language that was alienating to "deplorables"
I wish Ezra had engaged with this idea during their interview, given multiple chances to
This is what politics is, so many have forgotten
WGA Statement on ABC's Decision to Pull βJimmy Kimmel Live!β The right to speak our minds and to disagree with each other - to disturb, even - is at the very heart of what it means to be a free people. It is not to be denied. Not by violence, not by the abuse of governmental power, nor by acts of corporate cowardice. As a Guild, we stand united in opposition to anyone who uses their power and influence to silence the voices of writers, or anyone who speaks in dissent. If free speech applied only to ideas we like, we needn't have bothered to write it into the Constitution. What we have signed on to - painful as it may be at times - is the freeing agreement to disagree. Shame on those in government who forget this founding truth. As for our employers, our words have made you rich. Silencing us impoverishes the whole world. The WGA stands with Jimmy Kimmel and his writers.
The following is a statement from the WGA on ABCβs decision to pull βJimmy Kimmel Live!β
Good morning. Here is my reply to Matt Yglesias' "reply" to my article on moderates. This is a comprehensive accounting of my and other evidence, with some clarifications of findings and my position. I hope you will read and share.
www.gelliottmorris.com/p/data-over-...
This is my read too which is wild
OK here's the blog post.
1) Split Ticket's WAR model is biased in favor of moderates
2) We create our own WAR measure w/ stronger model; correlates w/ @gelliottmorris.com's
3) Correlation β causation. Diff-in-diffs & RDDs show no moderation effects
data4democracy.substack.com/p/do-moderat...
was wondering when someone was gonna say this. ideological moderates do not have systematically higher WAR. i have a piece on this coming out tomorrow
bao wow
I genuinely cannot believe how many Democrats are spending their energy on destroying Mamdani when the GOP is trying to turn ICE into a full on secret police by drastically raising their budget
itβs not too late to endorse @zohrankmamdani.bsky.social, final results wonβt be in for a while
Some very welcome good news! There's never been a better time to support our worker-led local newsroom! 51st.news/we-received-...
anyone doing work on climate geo-engineering risk estimation and management?
i just watched a clip of stephen miller talking to hannity from a few days ago and my god is that guy a stone cold freak. like, everything about him is profoundly off-putting, like a bug in an eggar suit
if your grand approach to politics is bloodless poll-testing so that you're always aligned with wherever public opinion happens to be, you've already lost
This is correct! Hereβs why & why it matters: www.bostonglobe.com/2025/05/14/b...