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Dr Tom Harris

@drtomharris

UK based Climate Science Writer & Advocate writing on Substack under Climate Uncovered. Soon to be retired Management Consultant specialising in Government funded R&D.

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Latest posts by Dr Tom Harris @drtomharris

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Global Warming Has Accelerated Significantly During the last decade, the rate at which Earth warmed increased substantially After removing the influence of known natural variability factors, the increase of the warming rate is statistically...

I found it: agupubs.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/abs/10.1...
But it's paywalled 🀬

06.03.2026 16:30 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0

Can you please provide the link to the paper.
Thanks πŸ™‚

06.03.2026 14:26 πŸ‘ 1 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0
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Humanity heating planet faster than ever before, study finds Researchers identify sharp rise to about 0.35C every decade, after excluding natural fluctuations such as El NiΓ±o

The Guardian on our new study, which shows that global heating is significantly gathering speed. Our efforts to overcome our fossil fuel addiction should do the same.
www.theguardian.com/environment/...

06.03.2026 14:19 πŸ‘ 453 πŸ” 288 πŸ’¬ 18 πŸ“Œ 30

The continental grounding line record provides crucial benchmarks for next-generation ice sheet models tasked with projecting future sea level rise.

05.03.2026 09:06 πŸ‘ 3 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

On a more positive note, the study revealed that 77% of the continental coastline remains stable for now. As the graphic from the paper shows, most of the retreat is concentrated on the more fragile West Antarctic Ice Sheet, but retreat is also evident in the Wilkes Land region in the East.

05.03.2026 09:06 πŸ‘ 3 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0

Ice has been retreating from the grounding line at an average of 442km per year. The most dramatic changes occurred in the Amundsen Sea and Getz sectors, where glaciers retreated 10 to about 40km. Pine Island Glacier retreated 33km, Thwaites Glacier 26km, and Smith Glacier an extraordinary 42km.

05.03.2026 09:06 πŸ‘ 3 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0

When ice shelves become un-grounded, the buttressing effect is lost allowing the ice shelf, and the glaciers that feed it, to accelerate, flowing faster into the open sea and raising sea levels.

05.03.2026 09:06 πŸ‘ 3 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0
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Thirty years of glacier grounding line retreat in Antarctica | PNAS The Grounding Line (GL)—the transition from ice grounded on the continent and ice afloat in the ocean—is a sensitive indicator of glacier stability...

A multiple-satellite study of Antarctica’s grounding line area show a loss of 12,820 km2 over the last 30 years. Grounding lines are the contact points where continental ice sheets anchor to the seabed, slowing their flow into the oceans.
www.pnas.org/doi/10.1073/...

#Antarctica #sealevelrise

05.03.2026 09:06 πŸ‘ 33 πŸ” 17 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0

What can the long overlooked story of rare earth metals, energy resources, and industrial capacity tell us about ongoing geopolitical events?

04.03.2026 16:56 πŸ‘ 8 πŸ” 1 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

It's a fair point and one I have researched and written about. I use it sparingly as posts with strong images drive twice the traffic and it's about getting the message across. I don't have budget or skill for human made art. Image generation is a fraction of the energy/water costs of LLM chats.

04.03.2026 10:11 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

To stabilise a burning world, we must move beyond suppression and focus on the evolutionary blueprint of rehydration: restoring the biotic pump and the fungal networks that once made the earth fire-resilient.

04.03.2026 09:10 πŸ‘ 6 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

By moving from fire-driven consumption back to moisture-dependent decompositionβ€”through mesophication, the restoration of mega-herbivore dynamics, and active "re-plumbing" of the landscapeβ€”we can break the successional trap.

04.03.2026 09:10 πŸ‘ 5 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0
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The Fire-Water Axis: Why we can’t β€œfire-fight” our way out of climate change. By shifting from fire as a primary recycler back to moisture-dependent decomposition, can we reverse the landscape-scale successional traps of climate change?

This article explores the Fire-Water Axis, arguing that wildfire is not an inevitable climate destiny, but a biological "recycling profile" that can be shifted.

drtomharris.substack.com/p/the-fire-w...

04.03.2026 09:10 πŸ‘ 5 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0
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As climate change accelerates "fire weather," we are witnessing a global shift toward successional trapsβ€”dehydrated landscapes locked in a cycle of frequent, high-intensity burning.
#climatechange #wildfire #firemanagement #hydrology #watermanagement #mesophication #bioticpump #deforestation

04.03.2026 09:10 πŸ‘ 41 πŸ” 17 πŸ’¬ 4 πŸ“Œ 3
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The strikes on Iran show why quitting oil is more important than ever Oil isn’t a normal commodity – it shapes politics around the world.

The strikes on Iran show why quitting oil is more important than ever

Electrification + renewables = energy that isn’t shipped through chokepoints.

Decarbonisation is national security.

theconversation.com/the-strikes-...

03.03.2026 05:51 πŸ‘ 221 πŸ” 76 πŸ’¬ 5 πŸ“Œ 5
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El Nino may return in 2026 and make planet even hotter The warming El NiΓ±o weather phenomenon could form later this year, potentially pushing global temperatures to record heights.

Your 'moment of doom' for Mar. 2, 2026 ~ a greater sorrow.

"there is a risk of 2026 being the warmest year on record even without El NiΓ±o, due to the global warming trend"

phys.org/news/2026-03...

02.03.2026 14:46 πŸ‘ 113 πŸ” 41 πŸ’¬ 4 πŸ“Œ 3

It has gotten worse with three additional years of data.

We really need that global climate model - NASA CERES satellite data comparison project!

01.03.2026 22:51 πŸ‘ 30 πŸ” 10 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0

More evidence for Climate Sensitivity to be 4ΒΊC or above and there being more warming β€œin the pipeline” once emissions of GHGs and coincident aerosols slow down. This has impacts on so called β€œRemaining Carbon Budgets” and temperature trajectories over the coming years and decades.

01.03.2026 11:28 πŸ‘ 15 πŸ” 8 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0

Thanks for the event link. Sounds interesting, pity its not available on-line.

01.03.2026 10:49 πŸ‘ 1 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

It's a fair point. I have written about AI energy use. Image generation is not as energy intensive as LLM chats, but you are right.
I use it sparingly to attract attention - a good image doubles traffic to the message, I don't the skill or budget to create my own. I also share all images freely.

01.03.2026 10:46 πŸ‘ 2 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 2 πŸ“Œ 0

The study calls for atmospheric composition and population biomarkers to be tracked alongside traditional climate indicators to better understand how gradual environmental change may influence human biology and health over decades.

28.02.2026 14:56 πŸ‘ 2 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

This represents an emerging risk of carbon emissions beyond weather events and warming. This is an emerging public health issue which will effect todays youth later in their lives. Since CO2 is a fully mixed gas in the atmosphere, it will effect the whole global population equally.

28.02.2026 14:56 πŸ‘ 3 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0

Humans evolved in an atmosphere containing roughly 280–300ppm of COβ‚‚. Today it's 427ppm. The data suggests that humans are not adapting fast enough to cope with the increases in the air we breath.

28.02.2026 14:56 πŸ‘ 3 πŸ” 1 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0

If current emission rates continue, average bicarbonate levels could approach the upper limit of today's accepted healthy range within 50 years. Calcium and phosphorus levels could also reach the lower end of their healthy ranges later this century.

28.02.2026 14:56 πŸ‘ 2 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0

Bicarbonate levels are increasing while calcium and phosphorus are reducing. Bicarbonate maintains the body's acid–base balance. When COβ‚‚ levels rise, the body retains more bicarbonate to stabilise blood pH. Over time, however, sustained compensation may carry physiological consequences.

28.02.2026 14:56 πŸ‘ 2 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0

The team analysed serum bicarbonate (HCO3βˆ’), calcium (Ca) and phosphorus (P) levels from the U.S. National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (NHANES) from 1999 to 2020.

They detected a gradual shift in blood chemistry that mirrors the rise in atmospheric carbon dioxide.

28.02.2026 14:56 πŸ‘ 2 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0
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Carbon dioxide overload, detected in human blood, suggests a potentially toxic atmosphere within 50 years according to a new peer reviewed study of 7,000 human subjects over 20 years.

link.springer.com/article/10.1...

#emissions #humanhealth #publichealth #pollution #blood #chemistry #biology

28.02.2026 14:56 πŸ‘ 13 πŸ” 4 πŸ’¬ 3 πŸ“Œ 2

The causes need more research, although drought (through warming) and human encroachment/degradation are likely.

27.02.2026 17:00 πŸ‘ 2 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

Changes in water level also release the more powerful GHGs N20 and CH4. The higher the water level, the more effectively microorganisms break down CH4. If the water levels are low, e.g. during the dry season, methane is broken down less effectively and escapes from the lake in larger quantities.

27.02.2026 14:09 πŸ‘ 4 πŸ” 1 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

Climate changes and altered land use, especially the conversion of forest to cropland, could exacerbate this trend, lowering water levels and creating conditions of forest degradation – with consequences for the global climate.

27.02.2026 14:09 πŸ‘ 4 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0